NYSE$QSR

Restaurant Brands International Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

RBI reported strong fourth quarter 2022 results with consolidated comparable sales up nearly 8% and net restaurant growth of 4%.

Restaurant Brands International Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2022, with nearly 8% consolidated comparable sales growth and 4% net restaurant growth.

  • Global fourth quarter system-wide sales grew nearly 12%.
  • Consolidated comparable sales increased by nearly 8%, driven by 11% growth at Tim Hortons Canada and Burger King International.
  • Digital sales grew over 30% year-over-year, reaching over $13.5 billion in 2022.
  • Restaurant growth accelerated to 1,266 net new units, with Popeyes achieving its strongest development year since joining RBI.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.69B

Previous: $1.55B+9.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.72

Previous: $0.74-2.7%
TH Comparable Sales

9.4%

Previous: 10.3%-8.7%
BK Comparable Sales

8.4%

Previous: 11.3%-25.7%
Popeyes Comparable Sales

3.8%

Previous: -0.4%+1050.0%
TH Restaurant Count

5.6K

Previous: 5.3K+5.8%
BK Restaurant Count

19.8K

Previous: 19.2K+2.8%
Popeyes Restaurant Count

4.1K

Previous: 3.7K+10.4%
Capital Expenditures

$48M

Previous: $36M+33.3%
Free Cash Flow

$375M

Previous: $1.62B-76.9%
Net Income

$336M

Previous: $262M+28.2%
Operating Income

$346M

Previous: $416M-16.8%
Gross Profit

$649M

Previous: $632M+2.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.18B

Previous: $1.09B+8.4%
Total Assets

$22.7B

Previous: $23.2B-2.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$43M

Previous: $40M+7.5%

Revenue & EPS history

RBI · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.69B

Q4 2022+9.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

RBI · $1.69B total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Tim Hortons
    $993M+8.4%
  • Burger King
    $490M+2.1%
  • Popeyes
    $170M+17.2%
  • Firehouse Subs
    $36M

Forward guidance

The company expects continued growth in 2023, driven by digital and marketing initiatives and strategies for each brand, while also mentioning the suspension of operations in Russia and its impact on results.

Tailwinds

  • Continued growth in 2023
  • Driven by digital and marketing initiatives
  • Strategies for each of our brands
  • Ability to drive long-term, sustainable growth
  • 2023 dividend targets

Headwinds

  • Effects and continued impact of the macro-economic pressures, such as inflation, rising interest rates and currency fluctuations
  • Impact on our results of operations, business, liquidity, prospects and restaurant operations and those of our franchisees, including local conditions and government-imposed limitations and restrictions
  • Development and growth of our Firehouse brand
  • Suspension of operations in Russia
  • Risks related to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

19 / 53 earnings

Positive

+8.3%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-7.0%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.5%-4.2%-11.1%
Q4 2025-6.2%-3.6%+2.8%
Q3 2025-2.0%+0.0%+8.0%
Q1 2025-0.5%-0.1%+5.0%
Q4 2024-1.6%-3.5%-1.2%
Q3 2024-2.5%-2.9%-0.4%
Q2 2024-0.0%+0.2%-4.1%
Q1 2024-0.8%+2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2023-2.2%-1.4%+4.2%
Q3 2023-3.0%-1.3%+5.1%
Q2 2023-1.7%-2.1%-9.6%
Q1 2023+1.7%+1.4%+6.7%
Q4 2022-3.5%-1.4%-9.6%
Q3 2022+4.5%+4.8%+14.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+7.7%+7.7%
Q1 2022-4.7%-7.8%-7.2%
Q4 2021+2.5%-0.2%+1.3%
Q3 2021-7.0%-8.6%-5.2%
Q2 2021+3.1%+0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2021+3.9%+1.8%+2.9%
Q4 2020-1.7%-1.3%+5.7%
Q3 2020-4.9%-6.2%+7.0%
Q2 2020-6.9%-3.9%-2.9%
Q1 2020-0.6%-0.8%+10.7%
Q4 2019+4.0%+5.3%-25.1%
Q3 2019-5.2%-4.7%-3.2%
Q2 2019+4.7%+7.2%+7.8%
Q1 2019-1.8%+0.5%-0.8%
Q4 2018+2.5%+3.2%+0.5%
Q3 2018-0.8%-6.2%-2.6%
Q2 2018+0.8%-0.2%-9.1%
Q1 2018+2.6%+1.3%+8.3%
Q4 2017+2.2%+4.4%+2.8%
Q3 2017-3.3%-4.2%-2.0%
Q2 2017+2.4%+4.9%+3.4%
Q1 2017-2.9%-4.0%+5.0%
Q4 2016+6.0%+4.8%+6.7%
Q3 2016-5.3%-7.3%+1.6%
Q2 2016+4.2%+6.1%+7.7%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+7.8%
Q3 2014-4.6%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2014-3.4%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014-1.4%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2013-1.4%

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