NYSE$QSR

Restaurant Brands International Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

RBI reported Q4 2020 earnings with a decline in system-wide sales growth and comparable sales for Tim Hortons, Burger King, and Popeyes. Diluted EPS was $0.30, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.53.

Restaurant Brands International reported a decrease in total revenues and net income for Q4 2020, impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. System-wide sales growth declined, and comparable sales decreased for TH, BK, and PLK. The company focused on digital innovation and restaurant development.

  • Global digital sales reached $6 billion in 2020, more than doubling in home markets.
  • Off-premise channels showed continued strength across all brands, with global delivery sales doubling in 2020.
  • Accelerated transformation of drive-thru experience with 3,600 digital menu boards installed in home markets in 2020.
  • RBI declared its 9th consecutive dividend increase and ended 2020 with $2.6 billion of available liquidity.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.36B

Previous: $1.48B-8.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.53

Previous: $0.75-29.3%
TH Comparable Sales

-11.0%

Previous: -4.3%-155.8%
BK Comparable Sales

-7.9%

Previous: 2.8%-382.1%
Popeyes Comparable Sales

-5.8%

Previous: 34.4%-116.9%
TH Restaurant Count

4.9K

Previous: 4.9K+0.3%
BK Restaurant Count

18.6K

Previous: 18.8K-1.1%
Popeyes Restaurant Count

3.5K

Previous: 3.3K+4.1%
Capital Expenditures

$46M

Previous: $30M+53.3%
Free Cash Flow

$267M

Previous: $1.41B-81.1%
Net Income

$139M

Previous: $257M-45.9%
Operating Income

$373M

Previous: $511M-27.0%
Gross Profit

$764M

Previous: $861M-11.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.56B

Previous: $1.53B+1.8%
Total Assets

$22.8B

Previous: $22.4B+1.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$19M

Previous: $12M+58.3%

Revenue & EPS history

RBI · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.36B

Q4 2020-8.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

RBI · $1.36B total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • Tim Hortons
    $782M-10.3%
  • Burger King
    $434M-6.1%
  • Popeyes
    $142M-2.1%

Forward guidance

RBI expects a continued impact from COVID-19 on its results in 2021. The company is targeting a total of $2.12 in dividends per common share and partnership exchangeable unit of RBI LP for 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Efforts in food and beverage quality will be beneficial.
  • Restaurant experience improvements will be beneficial.
  • Digital leadership will be beneficial.
  • Brand building will be beneficial.
  • Restarting the development engine.

Headwinds

  • Continued impact from COVID-19 on our results in 2021.
  • Temporary closures of and restrictions on restaurants in various regions around the world.
  • Capacity may be limited in certain markets.
  • Local conditions may lead to closures or increased limitations.
  • Uncertainty about when the business will fully return to normal operations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

19 / 53 earnings

Positive

+8.3%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-7.0%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.5%-4.2%-11.1%
Q4 2025-6.2%-3.6%+2.8%
Q3 2025-2.0%+0.0%+8.0%
Q1 2025-0.5%-0.1%+5.0%
Q4 2024-1.6%-3.5%-1.2%
Q3 2024-2.5%-2.9%-0.4%
Q2 2024-0.0%+0.2%-4.1%
Q1 2024-0.8%+2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2023-2.2%-1.4%+4.2%
Q3 2023-3.0%-1.3%+5.1%
Q2 2023-1.7%-2.1%-9.6%
Q1 2023+1.7%+1.4%+6.7%
Q4 2022-3.5%-1.4%-9.6%
Q3 2022+4.5%+4.8%+14.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+7.7%+7.7%
Q1 2022-4.7%-7.8%-7.2%
Q4 2021+2.5%-0.2%+1.3%
Q3 2021-7.0%-8.6%-5.2%
Q2 2021+3.1%+0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2021+3.9%+1.8%+2.9%
Q4 2020-1.7%-1.3%+5.7%
Q3 2020-4.9%-6.2%+7.0%
Q2 2020-6.9%-3.9%-2.9%
Q1 2020-0.6%-0.8%+10.7%
Q4 2019+4.0%+5.3%-25.1%
Q3 2019-5.2%-4.7%-3.2%
Q2 2019+4.7%+7.2%+7.8%
Q1 2019-1.8%+0.5%-0.8%
Q4 2018+2.5%+3.2%+0.5%
Q3 2018-0.8%-6.2%-2.6%
Q2 2018+0.8%-0.2%-9.1%
Q1 2018+2.6%+1.3%+8.3%
Q4 2017+2.2%+4.4%+2.8%
Q3 2017-3.3%-4.2%-2.0%
Q2 2017+2.4%+4.9%+3.4%
Q1 2017-2.9%-4.0%+5.0%
Q4 2016+6.0%+4.8%+6.7%
Q3 2016-5.3%-7.3%+1.6%
Q2 2016+4.2%+6.1%+7.7%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+7.8%
Q3 2014-4.6%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2014-3.4%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014-1.4%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2013-1.4%

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