NYSE$QSR

Restaurant Brands International Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

RBI's financial performance reflected the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with system-wide sales showing a decline, though Popeyes experienced growth. The company focused on reopening restaurants and advancing long-term digital strategies.

Restaurant Brands International (RBI) reported Q3 2020 results, noting that system-wide sales were down 5.4% year-over-year. Total revenues reached $1.337 billion, a decrease from $1.458 billion in the prior year. Net income attributable to common shareholders was $223 million, compared to $351 million in Q3 2019. Despite challenges, the company highlighted progress in restaurant reopenings and digital initiatives.

  • System-wide sales decreased by 5.4% compared to the prior year.
  • Comparable sales for Tim Hortons and Burger King declined, while Popeyes showed growth.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.68, down from $0.72 in the same quarter last year.
  • Digital menu boards are planned for over 10,000 Tim Hortons and Burger King restaurants in the US and Canada by mid-2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.34B

Previous: $1.46B-8.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.68

Previous: $0.72-5.6%
TH Comparable Sales

-12.5%

Previous: -1.4%-792.9%
BK Comparable Sales

-7.0%

Previous: 4.8%-245.8%
Popeyes Comparable Sales

17.4%

Previous: 9.7%+79.4%
TH Restaurant Count

4.9K

Previous: 4.9K+1.0%
BK Restaurant Count

18.7K

Previous: 18.2K+2.4%
Popeyes Restaurant Count

3.4K

Previous: 3.2K+7.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$71M

Previous: -$32M-121.9%
Free Cash Flow

$152M

Previous: $319M-52.4%
Net Income

$223M

Previous: $351M-36.5%
Operating Income

$417M

Previous: $571M-27.0%
Gross Profit

$919M

Previous: $983M-6.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.92B

Previous: $1.73B+10.8%
Total Assets

$22.5B

Previous: $22.2B+1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$16M

Previous: $17M-5.9%

Revenue & EPS history

RBI · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.34B

Q3 2020-8.3%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

RBI · $1.34B total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Tim Hortons
    $762M
  • Burger King
    $433M
  • Popeyes
    $142M

Forward guidance

The company expects to see a continued impact from COVID-19 on our results in the fourth quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Progress behind initiatives in product quality positions brands for long-term growth
  • Progress behind initiatives in digital positions brands for long-term growth
  • Progress behind initiatives in development positions brands for long-term growth
  • We are excited to roll out digital drive-thru menu boards to over 10,000 Tim Hortons and Burger King restaurants in the US and Canada, the bulk of which will be installed by the end of next year
  • We are fortunate to have a diversified, well-capitalized network of partners around the world and we are working closely with each of them on plans to capitalize on emerging opportunities and return to growth in 2021

Headwinds

  • Our results this quarter continued to be impacted by the COVID-19 global pandemic
  • While we do not know the future impact COVID-19 will have on our business, or when our business will fully return to normal operations, we expect to see a continued impact from COVID-19 on our results in the fourth quarter.
  • The year-over-year change in Total Revenues on an as reported basis was primarily driven by a decline in system-wide sales at Tim Hortons and Burger King and a decrease in supply chain sales, partially offset by an increase in system-wide sales at Popeyes.
  • FX movements also contributed to the year-over-year decrease in Total Revenues on an as reported basis.
  • The decrease in Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders and Noncontrolling Interests for the third quarter was primarily driven by an unfavorable change in the results from other operating expenses (income), net, a decrease in Tim Hortons segment income, an unfavorable change from the impact of equity method investments driven by the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the non-recurrence of a non-cash dilution gain during 2019, and a decrease in Burger King segment income, partially offset by a decrease in income tax expense, an increase in Popeyes segment income and a decrease in interest expense, net.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

19 / 53 earnings

Positive

+8.3%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-7.0%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.5%-4.2%-11.1%
Q4 2025-6.2%-3.6%+2.8%
Q3 2025-2.0%+0.0%+8.0%
Q1 2025-0.5%-0.1%+5.0%
Q4 2024-1.6%-3.5%-1.2%
Q3 2024-2.5%-2.9%-0.4%
Q2 2024-0.0%+0.2%-4.1%
Q1 2024-0.8%+2.7%-9.6%
Q4 2023-2.2%-1.4%+4.2%
Q3 2023-3.0%-1.3%+5.1%
Q2 2023-1.7%-2.1%-9.6%
Q1 2023+1.7%+1.4%+6.7%
Q4 2022-3.5%-1.4%-9.6%
Q3 2022+4.5%+4.8%+14.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+7.7%+7.7%
Q1 2022-4.7%-7.8%-7.2%
Q4 2021+2.5%-0.2%+1.3%
Q3 2021-7.0%-8.6%-5.2%
Q2 2021+3.1%+0.6%-0.4%
Q1 2021+3.9%+1.8%+2.9%
Q4 2020-1.7%-1.3%+5.7%
Q3 2020-4.9%-6.2%+7.0%
Q2 2020-6.9%-3.9%-2.9%
Q1 2020-0.6%-0.8%+10.7%
Q4 2019+4.0%+5.3%-25.1%
Q3 2019-5.2%-4.7%-3.2%
Q2 2019+4.7%+7.2%+7.8%
Q1 2019-1.8%+0.5%-0.8%
Q4 2018+2.5%+3.2%+0.5%
Q3 2018-0.8%-6.2%-2.6%
Q2 2018+0.8%-0.2%-9.1%
Q1 2018+2.6%+1.3%+8.3%
Q4 2017+2.2%+4.4%+2.8%
Q3 2017-3.3%-4.2%-2.0%
Q2 2017+2.4%+4.9%+3.4%
Q1 2017-2.9%-4.0%+5.0%
Q4 2016+6.0%+4.8%+6.7%
Q3 2016-5.3%-7.3%+1.6%
Q2 2016+4.2%+6.1%+7.7%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+7.8%
Q3 2014-4.6%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2014-3.4%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014-1.4%
Q1 2013-1.4%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2013-1.4%

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