NYSE$PRG

Prog Holdings Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported first quarter results, demonstrating growth in GMV, e-commerce penetration, and consolidated revenues.

PROG Holdings reported a strong first quarter with significant growth in key areas. Progressive Leasing's GMV increased by 10.4%, driven by e-commerce penetration and national partners. Consolidated revenues rose by 7.9%, and diluted EPS reached $1.16. The company also provided a positive FY 2021 outlook.

  • Progressive Leasing GMV increased by 10.4% to $510 million.
  • E-commerce accounted for 14.3% of GMV, a significant increase from 1.9% in Q1 2020.
  • Consolidated revenues grew by 7.9% to $721 million.
  • Diluted EPS was reported at $1.16, with Non-GAAP diluted EPS at $1.22, up 197.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$721M

Previous: $1.1B-34.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.22

Previous: $0.85+43.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$118M

Previous: $62.6M+88.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.84M

Previous: $23.6M-107.8%
Free Cash Flow

$77.6M

Previous: $204M-62.0%
Net Income

$79.5M

Previous: -$280M+128.4%
Operating Income

$106M

Previous: -$409M+125.9%
Gross Profit

$689M

Previous: $1.07B-35.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$151M

Previous: $551M-72.6%
Total Assets

$1.4B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.16M

Previous: $5.62M-25.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Prog Holdings · Revenue · Quarterly

$721M

Q1 2021-34.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Prog Holdings · $708M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • Progressive Leasing
    $708M

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following outlook for its 2021 fiscal year.

Tailwinds

  • Total Revenues between $2,700,000 and $2,775,000.
  • Net Earnings between $246,000 and $259,000.
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $380,000 and $400,000.
  • Diluted EPS between $3.56 and $3.81.
  • Diluted Non-GAAP EPS between $3.80 and $4.05.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.3%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

36 / 63 earnings

Positive

+24.2%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-43.1%

Q1 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.1%+24.2%+26.6%
Q4 2025+6.6%+12.7%-18.1%
Q3 2025-0.8%-3.5%-14.1%
Q1 2025-7.0%-2.6%+6.5%
Q3 2024-8.7%-8.6%+1.0%
Q2 2024+22.2%+29.9%+36.4%
Q1 2024+6.6%+5.2%+8.3%
Q4 2023-11.3%-9.2%+6.7%
Q3 2023-0.4%-2.6%-4.4%
Q2 2023+14.9%+11.9%-7.3%
Q1 2023+17.6%+17.2%+29.6%
Q4 2022+5.9%+8.4%+1.2%
Q3 2022+11.8%+16.3%+33.3%
Q2 2022+8.3%+16.3%+10.7%
Q1 2022+2.0%+2.4%+6.3%
Q4 2021-12.8%-14.2%-19.1%
Q3 2021+13.0%+14.0%+9.6%
Q2 2021-3.7%-6.0%+5.1%
Q1 2021+3.1%+8.4%+6.7%
Q4 2020+0.8%-2.2%-9.3%
Q3 2020-4.5%+1.6%+18.2%
Q2 2020+16.8%+14.2%+26.0%
Q1 2020+24.2%+14.2%+58.2%
Q4 2019-22.8%-24.0%-73.3%
Q3 2019-11.6%-21.3%-22.1%
Q2 2019-1.4%-2.8%-4.4%
Q1 2019+7.1%+4.5%+2.2%
Q4 2018+5.2%+4.6%+2.5%
Q3 2018-6.0%-4.6%+0.9%
Q2 2018-0.1%-0.5%+16.0%
Q1 2018-7.4%-10.7%-9.5%
Q4 2017+7.6%+5.5%+19.8%
Q3 2017-12.2%-14.9%-16.1%
Q2 2017+13.9%+13.1%+8.8%
Q1 2017+14.4%+16.2%+11.9%
Q4 2016-8.6%-8.3%+1.9%
Q3 2016+9.2%+9.6%+30.8%
Q2 2016+9.8%+8.5%+12.7%
Q1 2016+3.9%
Q4 2015-6.0%
Q3 2015-24.3%
Q2 2015-9.2%
Q1 2015+14.5%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014-4.1%
Q2 2014+0.8%
Q1 2014+0.6%
Q4 2013+0.4%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012+3.8%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q2 2012+0.8%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q3 2011-4.2%
Q2 2011+2.3%
Q1 2011+1.7%
Q4 2010+2.2%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q2 2010-4.7%
Q1 2010-43.1%

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