NYSE$POST
Post holdings · Q4 2021 earnings
Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended September 30, 2021.
Post Holdings reported a decrease in net earnings for the fourth quarter, with net sales increasing by 20.1% to $1.7 billion. Operating profit decreased by 23.0% to $137.8 million, and net earnings decreased by 47.5% to $29.9 million. Adjusted EBITDA decreased slightly by 0.8% to $272.5 million.
- Fourth quarter net sales reached $1.7 billion, with operating profit at $137.8 million and net earnings at $29.9 million.
- Fiscal year net sales amounted to $6.2 billion, with operating profit at $655.7 million and net earnings at $166.7 million.
- Fiscal year 2021 saw $588.3 million generated in cash from operations.
- Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2022 is expected to range between $1.16-$1.20 billion, including the full year results of BellRing Brands.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Post · Revenue · Quarterly
$1.7B
Revenue by segment
Post · $1.36B total across 4 segments · Q4 2021
- Post Consumer Brands$522M+10.6%38.5%
- Foodservice$457M+42.5%33.7%
- Refrigerated Retail$251M+12.4%18.5%
- Weetabix$127M+11.9%9.4%
Forward guidance
Post management expects Adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2022 to be between $1.16-$1.20 billion, including BellRing for the full year. Fiscal year 2022 is expected to be more weighted to the second half as Post prices incremental inflation and navigates lingering supply chain disruptions.
Tailwinds
- Incremental capacity coming online.
- Sequential improvement in each quarter throughout the year as incremental capacity comes online.
- Inventories are expected to recover throughout fiscal year 2022.
- Adjusted EBITDA growth is weighted toward the second half of 2022.
- Benefits from pricing actions and lower brand investments are expected.
Headwinds
- The accelerated growth experienced in fiscal year 2021 exceeded BellRing’s current shake manufacturing capacity.
- Inventories are low.
- Significant inflation is expected.
- First quarter to be particularly impacted.
- Lingering supply chain disruptions.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021
+0.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.3%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.0%
Avg return
30 days after
52%
32 / 62 earnings
Positive
+12.3%
Q1 2016
Best reaction
-17.4%
Q3 2014
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.0% | +1.3% | -12.1% | |
| Q1 2026 | +9.8% | +6.2% | +1.1% | |
| Q4 2025 | -9.6% | -4.0% | -5.8% | |
| Q2 2025 | +0.3% | -2.3% | -1.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | +6.3% | +5.5% | +10.4% | |
| Q4 2024 | -3.0% | +0.8% | +7.0% | |
| Q3 2024 | +4.0% | +2.2% | +5.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | -2.1% | +0.6% | +1.7% | |
| Q1 2024 | +8.8% | +12.3% | +12.3% | |
| Q4 2023 | -1.5% | -0.1% | +3.9% | |
| Q3 2023 | +3.0% | +3.5% | +4.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.1% | -1.8% | -4.1% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.2% | -0.8% | -3.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | -0.7% | +4.8% | +1.4% | |
| Q3 2022 | +1.5% | +1.8% | -1.1% | |
| Q2 2022 | +6.7% | +3.9% | +6.5% | |
| Q1 2022 | -1.7% | +0.4% | -2.3% | |
| Q4 2021 | -4.4% | -2.1% | +0.0% | |
| Q3 2021 | +8.8% | +10.9% | +11.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +1.8% | +1.7% | +1.4% | |
| Q1 2021 | +2.0% | +3.1% | +9.7% | |
| Q4 2020 | -6.8% | -1.3% | +1.8% | |
| Q3 2020 | -2.8% | -3.4% | -2.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +2.2% | +0.5% | +3.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -2.9% | -0.2% | -5.2% | |
| Q4 2019 | -4.6% | +0.1% | +3.3% | |
| Q3 2019 | -4.4% | -8.1% | -7.0% | |
| Q2 2019 | -7.8% | -5.6% | -6.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | +5.3% | +4.6% | +11.4% | |
| Q4 2018 | +4.8% | +0.1% | +0.0% | |
| Q3 2018 | +9.9% | +12.7% | +14.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | +3.4% | +1.1% | +2.1% | |
| Q1 2018 | -1.7% | -2.3% | +2.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | +2.1% | +0.6% | -1.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.8% | +1.8% | +2.9% | |
| Q2 2017 | -3.8% | -0.6% | +1.9% | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.0% | +1.2% | +1.3% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.7% | +2.5% | +6.7% | |
| Q3 2016 | -1.5% | -2.3% | +0.7% | |
| Q2 2016 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | +12.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +9.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +10.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +4.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -17.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -8.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -1.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -5.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -0.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -5.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -1.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +1.6% | — | — |
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