NYSE$PNC

PNC Financial Services Group Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PNC reported a strong third quarter with increased revenue, net interest margin, and positive operating leverage.

PNC Financial Services Group reported a net income of $1.6 billion, or $3.78 diluted EPS, for Q3 2022. The results reflect continued strong momentum across the expanded PNC footprint with loan and revenue growth, net interest margin increase, and well-controlled expenses, resulting in substantial positive operating leverage.

  • Operating leverage of 7%, reflecting revenue growth of 8% and expense growth of 1%.
  • Net interest income grew 14%, with NIM increasing 32 basis points.
  • Average loans grew 3%, driven by commercial and consumer loan growth.
  • PNC returned $1.7 billion of capital to shareholders.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.55B

Previous: $5.2B+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$3.78

Previous: $3.75+0.8%
Net Interest Margin

2.8%

Previous: 2.3%+24.2%
Efficiency Ratio

59.0%

Previous: 69.0%-14.5%
Free Cash Flow

$1.64B

Previous: $1.49B+10.1%
Net Income

$1.64B

Previous: $1.49B+10.1%
Operating Income

$3.73B

Previous: $913M+308.5%
Gross Profit

$5.31B

Previous: $4.97B+6.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$40.3B

Previous: $8.84B+355.5%
Total Assets

$559B

Previous: $554B+1.1%

Revenue & EPS history

PNC · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.55B

Q3 2022+6.8%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PNC · $5.39B total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Retail Banking
    $2.74B+15.5%
  • Corporate & Institutional
    $2.26B
  • Asset Mgmt Group
    $396M-0.3%

Forward guidance

PNC expects further increases in the federal funds rate through the rest of this year, to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% at the end of 2022. The federal funds rate is expected to peak between 4.50% and 4.75% in early 2023, before falling in early 2024 as inflation ebbs and economic growth slows.

Tailwinds

  • Strong labor market with average monthly job growth well above the pre-pandemic pace.
  • Unemployment rate at a 50-year low.
  • Supply-chain difficulties will continue to ease into 2023.
  • Strong wage growth and the recent decline in energy prices will support consumer spending.
  • Economic growth is expected to be below its long-term trend in the near term as the Federal Reserve continues to tighten monetary policy in an attempt to reduce inflationary pressures, but does not expect a near-term recession.

Headwinds

  • Labor shortages will remain a constraint into 2023.
  • Recession risks over the next few years are elevated because of tighter monetary policy.
  • Inflation has started to slow, but remains near the strongest pace in decades.
  • Inflation should slow further due to softer economic growth and a continued easing in supply-chain difficulties and will return to the Federal Reserve’s 2% long-run objective in 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

37 / 73 earnings

Positive

+6.3%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-9.0%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.2%+2.6%-3.7%
Q1 2026+2.5%+2.6%-3.7%
Q3 2025-4.0%-4.0%-3.0%
Q2 2025+0.6%-0.2%+4.4%
Q1 2025+0.0%-1.9%+15.5%
Q4 2024-0.9%-0.9%-3.3%
Q3 2024+0.7%+0.5%+10.3%
Q2 2024+6.3%+3.8%+1.7%
Q1 2024-1.5%+1.8%+7.6%
Q4 2023-0.1%+2.2%+9.8%
Q3 2023-2.6%-4.6%-0.7%
Q2 2023+4.1%+5.6%-2.9%
Q1 2023+3.0%+5.7%-8.1%
Q4 2022-8.5%-1.6%-2.0%
Q3 2022+1.9%-0.8%+8.4%
Q2 2022+2.5%+6.1%+15.7%
Q1 2022-1.5%-0.2%-11.8%
Q4 2021-6.2%-9.6%-9.4%
Q3 2021-0.8%+5.1%+0.5%
Q2 2021+0.1%-6.1%+0.6%
Q1 2021+1.7%+0.2%+14.1%
Q4 2020-3.4%-3.2%+0.5%
Q3 2020-2.6%-2.2%+9.1%
Q2 2020+3.7%+1.7%+10.4%
Q1 2020-9.0%+3.1%-2.2%
Q4 2019-4.5%-4.1%-3.6%
Q3 2019+0.6%+2.6%+6.3%
Q2 2019+0.1%+0.6%-8.5%
Q1 2019+1.8%+4.0%+2.9%
Q4 2018+0.6%+3.4%+2.5%
Q3 2018-4.6%-3.3%+2.0%
Q2 2018+2.1%+3.2%+4.0%
Q1 2018-5.7%-7.1%-1.0%
Q4 2017+0.5%+1.8%+0.1%
Q3 2017-0.2%-0.4%-2.1%
Q2 2017+0.0%-0.7%+0.6%
Q1 2017+2.1%+0.4%+4.1%
Q4 2016-3.4%-1.4%+4.4%
Q3 2016+0.3%+4.2%+20.5%
Q2 2016-0.9%-0.3%+2.6%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015+1.8%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+2.7%
Q3 2014-3.3%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014+2.0%
Q4 2013+4.3%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+0.7%
Q4 2012+3.4%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2012-5.0%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011-3.6%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2007-2.8%
Q4 2010-2.8%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2009+5.3%
Q1 2010+2.6%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q3 2008+3.0%
Q3 2009+3.0%
Q2 2008-7.8%
Q4 2008-7.8%
Q2 2009-7.8%

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