NYSE$PBR

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras-ADR · Q3 2026 earnings

Q3 2026 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Petrobras posts $23.5B Q1 revenue on export surge and 16% production growth

Petrobras reported first-quarter 2026 sales revenues of $23.5 billion, up 11.7% year over year, driven by a 41.6% jump in export revenues—especially crude oil volumes to Asia—and higher domestic oil product volumes. Net income attributable to shareholders rose 3.8% to $6.2 billion despite a 14.1% increase in cost of sales from higher production taxes, depreciation on new FPSOs, and elevated selling expenses tied to export logistics. Adjusted EBITDA grew 8.6% to $11.3 billion while operating cash flow was $8.4 billion and free cash flow $3.9 billion after $5.1 billion of capex concentrated in pre-salt E&P. Total production averaged 3,225 mboed, up 16.1%, reflecting ramp-ups at Búzios and Campos basin FPSOs. Net debt rose to $62.1 billion with a Net Debt/LTM Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.43x, still below the $75 billion gross-debt ceiling in the 2026–2030 business plan.

  • Sales revenues reached $23.5 billion (+11.7% YoY), led by a $1.9 billion increase in exported crude revenues on higher volumes; Middle East conflict price effects are expected to flow through in Q2 export pricing.
  • Net income attributable to shareholders was $6.2 billion (+3.8% YoY) as gross profit rose to $11.3 billion but was partly offset by higher production taxes, D&A on new FPSOs, and a $425 million increase in selling expenses.
  • Total hydrocarbon production averaged 3,225 mboed (+16.1% YoY), supported by FPSO ramp-ups at Búzios and Campos basins; E&P gross profit fell 5% on higher Brent-linked production taxes.
  • Refining, Transportation and Marketing operating income surged to $3.5 billion from $475 million, benefiting from international diesel margins and inventory cost timing ahead of Brent increases.
  • Free cash flow was $3.9 billion after $5.1 billion of capex (87% in E&P); the company paid $2.2 billion in dividends and maintained net debt/LTM adjusted EBITDA at 1.43x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$23.5B

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$11.3B

No prior period
Total production

3.2K

No prior period
Average Brent crude

$80.61

No prior period
Capital expenditures

$5.11B

No prior period
Net Debt / LTM Adjusted EBITDA

1.43

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$3.86B

No prior period
Net Income

$6.2B

No prior period
Gross Profit

$11.3B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Petrobras · Revenue · Quarterly

$23.5B

Q3 2026
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Petrobras · $40.5B total across 3 segments · Q3 2026

  • Refining, Transportation and Marketing
    $22.3B
  • Exploration and Production
    $16B
  • Gas and Low Carbon Energies
    $2.21B

Forward guidance

Management reiterated convergence toward $65 billion gross debt under the 2026–2030 business plan (maximum $75 billion) and noted Middle East oil price increases will affect Q2 export crude revenues given typical Asian pricing lags.

Tailwinds

  • Production growth from pre-salt FPSO ramp-ups supports volume outlook.
  • Refining segment benefited from international margin environment and inventory timing.
  • Free cash flow generation of $3.9 billion supports dividend policy and deleveraging path.

Headwinds

  • Cost of sales rose 14.1% on higher production taxes and depreciation from new units.
  • Net debt increased to $62.1 billion with gross debt at $71.2 billion.
  • Export pricing dynamics delay pass-through of recent Brent increases into Q1 revenues.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2026

Historical avgQ3 2026

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

29 / 61 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+5.9%
Q1 2025+1.2%-0.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024-5.7%-9.5%+0.4%
Q3 2024+2.1%+2.4%+3.4%
Q2 2024+2.7%+6.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+1.8%+4.9%-2.2%
Q1 2024-8.7%-11.9%-19.0%
Q2 2023-4.0%-0.5%+3.1%
Q1 2023+3.4%+3.9%+21.7%
Q4 2022+0.6%-1.0%-6.0%
Q3 2022-9.1%-11.1%-12.6%
Q2 2022+5.3%+2.8%+10.1%
Q1 2022+0.5%-3.9%+1.2%
Q4 2021-2.6%-0.2%+2.6%
Q3 2021-6.4%-4.0%-0.2%
Q2 2021+5.4%+3.4%-2.2%
Q1 2021+6.1%+6.6%+25.7%
Q4 2020-2.4%-7.8%-4.3%
Q3 2020-4.2%-3.7%+42.4%
Q2 2020-6.5%-9.2%-8.3%
Q1 2020-0.3%+9.8%+38.6%
Q4 2019-1.1%-10.2%-66.7%
Q3 2019+1.7%+3.0%-2.1%
Q2 2019-0.7%+4.0%+12.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%-3.0%-19.0%
Q4 2018-3.4%-1.5%-3.3%
Q3 2018-5.3%-9.0%-13.9%
Q2 2018+4.9%-4.2%-7.1%
Q1 2018+8.1%+6.1%+3.5%
Q4 2017-2.6%+11.4%-35.4%
Q3 2017-9.6%-5.3%-10.1%
Q2 2017-4.2%+3.7%-0.9%
Q1 2017+7.3%+6.1%-13.3%
Q4 2016-0.7%+1.7%-6.6%
Q3 2016-14.0%-11.7%-4.2%
Q2 2016+3.6%+8.8%+12.8%
Q1 2016-7.3%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-10.3%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014-9.5%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-2.5%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013-0.9%
Q1 2013-0.9%
Q4 2012+2.8%
Q3 2012+0.6%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011+5.1%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+2.6%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010-1.7%
Q1 2010+3.2%

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