NYSE$PBR

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras-ADR · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Petrobras Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Petrobras reported a net loss of $2.78 billion in Q4 2024 due to exchange rate fluctuations impacting debt. The company's revenue fell 23.2% YoY to $20.82 billion. Operating income was $2.79 billion, while free cash flow for the quarter stood at $3.77 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $7.17 billion, with significant contributions from the exploration and production segment.

  • Revenue declined 23.2% YoY to $20.82 billion, impacted by lower oil prices and refining margins.
  • Net loss of $2.78 billion due to foreign exchange losses, while net income without one-off events was $3.1 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA stood at $7.17 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 34%.
  • Free cash flow of $3.77 billion, maintaining strong liquidity despite currency depreciation.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$20.8B

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.48

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$3.77B

No prior period
Net Debt

$52.2B

No prior period
Gross Debt

$60.3B

No prior period
Net Income

-$2.78B

No prior period
Operating Income

$2.79B

No prior period
Gross Profit

$9.98B

No prior period
R&D Expense

$219M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Petrobras · Revenue · Quarterly

$20.8B

Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Petrobras · $40.5B total across 3 segments · Q3 2026

  • Refining, Transportation and Marketing
    $22.3B—
  • Exploration and Production
    $16B—
  • Gas and Low Carbon Energies
    $2.21B—

Forward guidance

Petrobras expects increased oil production in 2025, targeting 100,000 barrels per day of additional output. The company will focus on new exploration projects and refining capacity expansions.

Tailwinds

  • Projected increase of 100,000 barrels per day in 2025 production.
  • Three new production systems to be operational in 2025.
  • Increased refining capacity with upgrades at key refineries.
  • Continued investment in decarbonization and renewable energy.
  • Financial discipline maintained despite macroeconomic challenges.

Headwinds

  • Potential foreign exchange volatility impacting financial results.
  • Lower refining margins expected due to global economic conditions.
  • Oil price fluctuations could affect revenue growth.
  • Rising operating costs due to inflation and regulatory requirements.
  • Challenges in maintaining reserve replacement amid exploration uncertainties.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

29 / 56 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026———
Q3 2026+5.9%-3.8%-19.0%
Q1 2025+1.2%-0.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024-5.7%-9.5%+0.4%
Q3 2024+2.1%+2.4%+3.4%
Q2 2024+2.7%+6.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+1.8%+4.9%-2.2%
Q1 2024-8.7%-11.9%-19.0%
Q2 2023-4.0%-0.5%+3.1%
Q4 2022+0.6%-1.0%-6.0%
Q2 2022+5.3%+2.8%+10.1%
Q1 2022+0.5%-3.9%+1.2%
Q4 2021-2.6%-0.2%+2.6%
Q2 2021+5.4%+3.4%-2.2%
Q1 2021+6.1%+6.6%+25.7%
Q4 2020+1.4%+2.6%-21.0%
Q2 2020-6.5%-9.2%-8.3%
Q1 2020-0.3%+9.8%+38.6%
Q4 2019-1.1%-10.2%-66.7%
Q3 2019+1.7%+3.0%-2.1%
Q2 2019-0.7%+4.0%+12.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%-3.0%-19.0%
Q4 2018-3.4%-1.5%-3.3%
Q3 2018-5.3%-9.0%-13.9%
Q2 2018+4.9%-4.2%-7.1%
Q1 2018+8.1%+6.1%+3.5%
Q4 2017-2.6%+11.4%-35.4%
Q3 2017-9.6%-5.3%-10.1%
Q2 2017-4.2%+3.7%-0.9%
Q1 2017+7.3%+6.1%-13.3%
Q4 2016-0.7%+1.7%-6.6%
Q3 2016-14.0%-11.7%-4.2%
Q2 2016+3.6%+8.8%+12.8%
Q4 2015+3.6%——
Q3 2015-6.0%——
Q2 2015-4.3%——
Q1 2015-10.3%——
Q4 2014-7.0%——
Q3 2014-9.5%——
Q2 2014-0.4%——
Q1 2014+0.3%——
Q4 2013-2.5%——
Q3 2013+1.5%——
Q2 2013-0.9%——
Q1 2013-0.9%——
Q4 2012+2.8%——
Q3 2012+0.6%——
Q2 2012+1.6%——
Q1 2012+0.2%——
Q4 2011+5.1%——
Q3 2011-7.7%——
Q2 2011+2.6%——
Q1 2011+2.5%——
Q4 2010-0.7%——
Q3 2010+2.1%——
Q2 2010-1.7%——
Q1 2010+3.2%——
Q3 2009———
Q2 2009———
Q1 2009———
Q3 2008———
Q1 2008———

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