NYSE$PBR

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras-ADR · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Petrobras Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Petrobras reported a net loss of $2.78 billion in Q4 2024 due to exchange rate fluctuations impacting debt. The company's revenue fell 23.2% YoY to $20.82 billion. Operating income was $2.79 billion, while free cash flow for the quarter stood at $3.77 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $7.17 billion, with significant contributions from the exploration and production segment.

  • Revenue declined 23.2% YoY to $20.82 billion, impacted by lower oil prices and refining margins.
  • Net loss of $2.78 billion due to foreign exchange losses, while net income without one-off events was $3.1 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA stood at $7.17 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 34%.
  • Free cash flow of $3.77 billion, maintaining strong liquidity despite currency depreciation.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$20.8B

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.48

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$3.77B

No prior period
Net Debt

$52.2B

No prior period
Gross Debt

$60.3B

No prior period
Net Income

-$2.78B

No prior period
Operating Income

$2.79B

No prior period
Gross Profit

$9.98B

No prior period
R&D Expense

$219M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Petrobras · Revenue · Quarterly

$20.8B

Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Petrobras · $40.5B total across 3 segments · Q3 2026

  • Refining, Transportation and Marketing
    $22.3B
  • Exploration and Production
    $16B
  • Gas and Low Carbon Energies
    $2.21B

Forward guidance

Petrobras expects increased oil production in 2025, targeting 100,000 barrels per day of additional output. The company will focus on new exploration projects and refining capacity expansions.

Tailwinds

  • Projected increase of 100,000 barrels per day in 2025 production.
  • Three new production systems to be operational in 2025.
  • Increased refining capacity with upgrades at key refineries.
  • Continued investment in decarbonization and renewable energy.
  • Financial discipline maintained despite macroeconomic challenges.

Headwinds

  • Potential foreign exchange volatility impacting financial results.
  • Lower refining margins expected due to global economic conditions.
  • Oil price fluctuations could affect revenue growth.
  • Rising operating costs due to inflation and regulatory requirements.
  • Challenges in maintaining reserve replacement amid exploration uncertainties.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.2%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

28 / 55 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+5.9%
Q1 2025+1.2%-0.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024-5.7%-9.5%+0.4%
Q3 2024+2.1%+2.4%+3.4%
Q2 2024+2.7%+6.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+1.8%+4.9%-2.2%
Q1 2024-8.7%-11.9%-19.0%
Q2 2023-4.0%-0.5%+3.1%
Q4 2022+0.6%-1.0%-6.0%
Q2 2022+5.3%+2.8%+10.1%
Q1 2022+0.5%-3.9%+1.2%
Q4 2021-2.6%-0.2%+2.6%
Q2 2021+5.4%+3.4%-2.2%
Q1 2021+6.1%+6.6%+25.7%
Q2 2020-6.5%-9.2%-8.3%
Q1 2020-0.3%+9.8%+38.6%
Q4 2019-1.1%-10.2%-66.7%
Q3 2019+1.7%+3.0%-2.1%
Q2 2019-0.7%+4.0%+12.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%-3.0%-19.0%
Q4 2018-3.4%-1.5%-3.3%
Q3 2018-5.3%-9.0%-13.9%
Q2 2018+4.9%-4.2%-7.1%
Q1 2018+8.1%+6.1%+3.5%
Q4 2017-2.6%+11.4%-35.4%
Q3 2017-9.6%-5.3%-10.1%
Q2 2017-4.2%+3.7%-0.9%
Q1 2017+7.3%+6.1%-13.3%
Q4 2016-0.7%+1.7%-6.6%
Q3 2016-14.0%-11.7%-4.2%
Q2 2016+3.6%+8.8%+12.8%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-10.3%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014-9.5%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-2.5%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013-0.9%
Q1 2013-0.9%
Q4 2012+2.8%
Q3 2012+0.6%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011+5.1%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+2.6%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010-1.7%
Q1 2010+3.2%

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