NYSE$PBR

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras-ADR · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Petrobras reported strong results in Q1 2025, supported by higher production and favorable financial impacts.

Petrobras had a robust Q1 2025 with $6.0B in net income and strong cash flow. A 5% increase in oil and gas production and FX gains contributed to a 46% increase in Adjusted EBITDA compared to Q4 2024.

  • Net income reached $6.0B, significantly recovering from a Q4 loss.
  • Adjusted EBITDA jumped 46% QoQ to $10.45B driven by increased production and improved margins.
  • Free cash flow stood at $4.536B with operating cash flow of $8.498B.
  • Gross debt rose to $64.49B due to new FPSO-related lease liabilities.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.1B

Previous: $23.8B-11.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.91

Previous: $0.74+23.0%
Free Cash Flow

$4.54B

No prior period
Net Debt

$56B

No prior period
Gross Debt

$64.5B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.98B

Previous: -$2.84B-40.4%
Net Income

$6B

Previous: $4.79B+25.2%
Operating Income

$7.28B

Previous: $9.08B-19.8%
Gross Profit

$10.4B

Previous: $11.6B-10.8%
R&D Expense

$202M

Previous: $183M+9.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Petrobras · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.1B

Q1 2025-11.4%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Petrobras · $40.5B total across 3 segments · Q3 2026

  • Refining, Transportation and Marketing
    $22.3B
  • Exploration and Production
    $16B
  • Gas and Low Carbon Energies
    $2.21B

Forward guidance

Petrobras expects continued production growth driven by new FPSO units and a focus on pre-salt developments, while cost pressures and macro volatility may weigh on results.

Tailwinds

  • Start-up of FPSO Almirante Tamandaré boosts production capacity.
  • Further ramp-up of FPSO Marechal Duque de Caxias improves output.
  • Increased investment in Búzios and Atapu pre-salt fields.
  • Capex aligned with 2025 strategic plan and front-loaded execution.
  • New crude oil export contracts with India support foreign revenue.

Headwinds

  • Higher lifting costs due to maintenance and new service contracts.
  • Increased gross and net debt from FPSO lease liabilities.
  • Decline in refining margins, especially for gasoline and LPG.
  • Lower revenue and EBITDA in Gas and Low Carbon segment.
  • Continued FX and inflation indexation risks impacting finance results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.2%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

28 / 55 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+5.9%
Q1 2025+1.2%-0.4%+2.7%
Q4 2024-5.7%-9.5%+0.4%
Q3 2024+2.1%+2.4%+3.4%
Q2 2024+2.7%+6.7%+6.6%
Q3 2023+1.8%+4.9%-2.2%
Q1 2024-8.7%-11.9%-19.0%
Q2 2023-4.0%-0.5%+3.1%
Q4 2022+0.6%-1.0%-6.0%
Q2 2022+5.3%+2.8%+10.1%
Q1 2022+0.5%-3.9%+1.2%
Q4 2021-2.6%-0.2%+2.6%
Q2 2021+5.4%+3.4%-2.2%
Q1 2021+6.1%+6.6%+25.7%
Q2 2020-6.5%-9.2%-8.3%
Q1 2020-0.3%+9.8%+38.6%
Q4 2019-1.1%-10.2%-66.7%
Q3 2019+1.7%+3.0%-2.1%
Q2 2019-0.7%+4.0%+12.3%
Q1 2019+0.5%-3.0%-19.0%
Q4 2018-3.4%-1.5%-3.3%
Q3 2018-5.3%-9.0%-13.9%
Q2 2018+4.9%-4.2%-7.1%
Q1 2018+8.1%+6.1%+3.5%
Q4 2017-2.6%+11.4%-35.4%
Q3 2017-9.6%-5.3%-10.1%
Q2 2017-4.2%+3.7%-0.9%
Q1 2017+7.3%+6.1%-13.3%
Q4 2016-0.7%+1.7%-6.6%
Q3 2016-14.0%-11.7%-4.2%
Q2 2016+3.6%+8.8%+12.8%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-10.3%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014-9.5%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013-2.5%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013-0.9%
Q1 2013-0.9%
Q4 2012+2.8%
Q3 2012+0.6%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011+5.1%
Q3 2011-7.7%
Q2 2011+2.6%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+2.1%
Q2 2010-1.7%
Q1 2010+3.2%

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