NYSE$PAYC

Paycom Software Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Paycom reported strong Q4 2019 results with revenue growth and increased profitability.

Paycom's Q4 2019 revenues reached $193.4 million, a 29% increase year-over-year. GAAP net income was $45.4 million, or $0.78 per diluted share, while adjusted EBITDA was $78.6 million. The company's annual revenue retention rate increased to 93%.

  • Total revenues increased by 29% compared to the same period last year.
  • Recurring revenues increased by 29% and constituted 98% of total revenues.
  • GAAP net income increased to $45.4 million, or $0.78 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $78.6 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$193M

Previous: $150M+28.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.86

Previous: $0.61+41.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$78.6M

Previous: $57.5M+36.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

40.6%

No prior period
Gross Margin

85.1%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$21.9M

Previous: $15.6M+39.7%
Free Cash Flow

$26M

Previous: $23.3M+11.4%
Net Income

$45.4M

Previous: $31.4M+44.5%
Operating Income

$60.3M

Previous: $43.4M+38.9%
Gross Profit

$165M

Previous: $126M+30.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$134M

Previous: $45.7M+192.4%
Total Assets

$2.49B

Previous: $1.52B+63.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.15M

Previous: $5.07M+21.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Paycom · Revenue · Quarterly

$193M

Q4 2019+28.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Paycom · $190M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Recurring and other
    $190M+28.5%

Forward guidance

Paycom provides the following expected financial guidance for the year ending December 31, 2020 and the quarter ending March 31, 2020: Year Ending December 31, 2020 Total Revenues in the range of $911 million to $913 million. Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $384 million to $386 million. Quarter Ending March 31, 2020(2) Total Revenues in the range of $240 million to $242 million. Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $113 million to $115 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total Revenues in the range of $911 million to $913 million for the year ending December 31, 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $384 million to $386 million for the year ending December 31, 2020.
  • Total Revenues in the range of $240 million to $242 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $113 million to $115 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2020.
  • In the year ending December 31, 2021, each quarter contains thirteen banking Wednesdays

Headwinds

  • Paycom receives approximately half of its weekly recurring revenue on Wednesday.
  • Because January 1, 2020 fell on a Wednesday, there are only twelve banking Wednesdays in the first quarter ending March 31, 2020 instead of the usual thirteen.
  • In the third quarter ending September 30, 2020, there are fourteen banking Wednesdays instead of the usual thirteen.
  • Paycom expects recurring revenue and, consequently, adjusted EBITDA, to be impacted by approximately a half week of recurring revenue and adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of 2020
  • The third quarter of 2020 will gain approximately one additional half week of recurring revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

32 / 53 earnings

Positive

+22.1%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-37.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.0%+7.6%+8.9%
Q4 2025+1.8%+3.0%+5.9%
Q3 2025-10.9%-7.3%-9.8%
Q1 2025+9.1%+13.8%+16.2%
Q4 2024+2.4%+3.1%+0.5%
Q3 2024+1.2%+10.6%+11.0%
Q2 2024+1.2%-4.5%-1.6%
Q1 2024-11.3%-7.2%-22.7%
Q4 2023-1.0%-3.0%-8.3%
Q3 2023-37.2%-33.8%-24.3%
Q2 2023-18.7%-21.2%-20.0%
Q1 2023-1.3%-8.4%-5.5%
Q4 2022-2.6%-3.8%-13.3%
Q3 2022-8.5%-11.5%+0.1%
Q2 2022+6.1%+11.4%+4.4%
Q1 2022+12.1%+0.9%+3.5%
Q4 2021+11.1%+6.4%-5.8%
Q3 2021-6.3%-7.7%-19.7%
Q2 2021+10.7%+16.6%+25.2%
Q1 2021-10.0%-13.5%-15.7%
Q4 2020-5.9%-4.6%-11.3%
Q3 2020+1.1%+9.7%+18.4%
Q2 2020+4.8%+3.0%-1.4%
Q1 2020+19.4%+6.9%+27.0%
Q4 2019-13.9%-11.8%-20.7%
Q3 2019+1.9%+2.5%+33.8%
Q2 2019+4.9%+3.0%+10.7%
Q1 2019+1.7%+4.5%+5.6%
Q4 2018+8.5%+12.8%+13.0%
Q3 2018+1.1%+1.0%+6.1%
Q2 2018+22.1%+28.8%+48.2%
Q1 2018-8.6%-6.1%-7.7%
Q4 2017+0.5%-0.9%+30.1%
Q3 2017-3.5%+0.2%+2.3%
Q2 2017-2.8%-0.9%+6.4%
Q1 2017+4.2%+6.5%+10.5%
Q4 2016+13.0%+14.2%+23.7%
Q3 2016-15.5%-16.9%-17.6%
Q2 2016+6.6%+7.7%+7.4%
Q1 2016+2.8%
Q4 2015-2.7%
Q3 2015+17.3%
Q2 2015+20.4%
Q1 2015+12.8%
Q4 2012-3.2%
Q4 2014+5.7%
Q3 2013+2.2%
Q3 2014+19.6%
Q2 2013+0.7%
Q2 2014+9.0%
Q1 2013-3.2%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q3 2012

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