NYSE$OTIS

Otis Worldwide Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered strong fourth quarter and full year results; announced 2024 outlook with solid sales and earnings growth with continued Service momentum.

Otis delivered excellent fourth quarter results with mid-teens adjusted EPS growth, the third consecutive quarter of high-single digit Service organic sales growth, and a return to New Equipment orders growth. Full year 2023 was marked by mid-single digit organic sales growth, operating profit margin expansion and low teens adjusted EPS growth.

  • 4Q Net sales up 5.3% and organic sales up 3.8%; GAAP EPS up 11.3% and adjusted EPS up 16.0%
  • 4Q New Equipment orders up 3%; backlog up 2%
  • 4Q Mod orders up 11%; backlog up 15%
  • Maintenance portfolio units up 4.2%

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.62B

Previous: $3.44B+5.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.87

Previous: $0.75+16.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$42M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$555M

Previous: $430M+29.1%
Net Income

$323M

Previous: $297M+8.8%
Operating Income

$522M

Previous: $491M+6.3%
Gross Profit

$1.07B

Previous: $960M+11.3%
R&D Expense

$37M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$15M

Previous: $26M-42.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Otis · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.62B

Q4 2023+5.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otis · $3.52B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Service
    $2.09B+10.1%
  • New Equipment
    $1.44B-0.8%

Forward guidance

Otis is announcing its full year outlook: •Net sales of $14.5 to $14.8 billion, up 2 to 4% •Organic sales up 3 to 5% ◦Organic New Equipment sales approximately flat ◦Organic Service sales up 6 to 7% •Adjusted operating profit of $2.40 to $2.45 billion, up $150 to $190 million at constant currency; up $125 to $175 million at actual currency •Adjusted EPS of $3.80 to $3.90, up 7 to 10%; adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 25.5% •Adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion

Tailwinds

  • Net sales of $14.5 to $14.8 billion, up 2 to 4%
  • Organic sales up 3 to 5%
  • Organic New Equipment sales approximately flat
  • Organic Service sales up 6 to 7%
  • Adjusted operating profit of $2.40 to $2.45 billion, up $150 to $190 million at constant currency; up $125 to $175 million at actual currency

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EPS of $3.80 to $3.90, up 7 to 10%
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 25.5%
  • Adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

9 / 30 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-1.8%-7.7%
Q4 2025-1.9%-4.9%+2.2%
Q3 2025+2.3%-1.2%-2.7%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.7%-0.2%
Q1 2025-6.7%-5.4%-2.2%
Q4 2024-1.3%-1.4%+4.1%
Q3 2024-3.1%-1.9%+1.6%
Q2 2024-5.4%-5.4%-4.2%
Q1 2024-4.6%-4.2%+0.1%
Q4 2023-0.5%+1.0%+6.3%
Q3 2023-2.3%-0.9%+10.1%
Q2 2023+2.4%+3.9%-4.2%
Q1 2023+3.9%+4.0%-1.0%
Q4 2022+2.0%+1.8%+5.7%
Q3 2022+1.7%+2.6%+14.3%
Q2 2022+5.7%+7.6%+3.5%
Q1 2022-1.4%-0.8%+0.1%
Q4 2021+1.0%-0.4%-4.8%
Q3 2021-6.3%-6.2%-1.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%+1.2%+2.9%
Q1 2021+10.8%+9.2%+9.1%
Q4 2020-0.0%-1.1%+3.6%
Q3 2019-1.9%+0.3%+8.7%
Q3 2020-2.3%-3.4%+6.2%
Q2 2019-0.3%-0.5%+0.3%
Q2 2020+10.3%+7.6%+8.4%
Q1 2019+0.0%-6.9%+13.0%
Q1 2020+0.0%-6.9%+13.0%
Q4 2019+0.0%-6.9%+13.0%
Q4 2018+0.0%+2.9%+21.2%

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