NYSE$OTIS

Otis Worldwide Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Otis delivered MSD fourth quarter organic growth and strong Service operating profit margin expansion.

Otis reported strong Q4 2022 results, with a 6.1% increase in organic sales and growth in both New Equipment and Service segments. The company's maintenance portfolio units increased by 4.1%.

  • 4Q Net sales decreased by 3.6%, while organic sales increased by 6.1%. GAAP EPS was up 9.2%, and adjusted EPS increased by 4.2%.
  • New Equipment orders were up 4%, and the backlog increased by 3%. Adjusted backlog increased 11% at constant currency.
  • Maintenance portfolio units increased by 4.1%.
  • The company announces 2023 outlook with organic sales up 4 to 6%, adjusted earnings per share of $3.35 to $3.50 and free cash flow of $1.5 to $1.55 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.44B

Previous: $3.57B-3.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.75

Previous: $0.72+4.2%
Organic Sales Growth

6.1%

Previous: 2.8%+117.9%
Free Cash Flow

$430M

No prior period
Net Income

$297M

Previous: $310M-4.2%
Operating Income

$491M

Previous: $496M-1.0%
Gross Profit

$960M

Previous: $1.04B-7.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.19B

Previous: $1.57B-24.0%
Total Assets

$9.82B

Previous: $12.3B-20.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$26M

Previous: $17M+52.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Otis · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.44B

Q4 2022-3.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otis · $3.44B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Service
    $1.98B
  • New Equipment
    $1.46B-6.5%

Forward guidance

Otis is announcing its full year outlook: •Net sales of $13.8 to $14.1 billion, up 1.5 to 4% •Organic sales up 4 to 6% ◦Organic New Equipment sales up 3 to 5% ◦Organic Service sales up 5 to 7% •Adjusted operating profit of $2.20 to $2.25 billion, up $130 to $175 million at constant currency; up $70 to $130 million at actual currency •Adjusted EPS of $3.35 to $3.50, up 6 to 10%; adjusted effective tax rate between 26.0% and 26.5% •Free cash flow of $1.5 to $1.55 billion with conversion of 105 to 115% of GAAP net income

Tailwinds

  • Net sales of $13.8 to $14.1 billion, up 1.5 to 4%
  • Organic sales up 4 to 6%
  • Organic New Equipment sales up 3 to 5%
  • Organic Service sales up 5 to 7%
  • Adjusted operating profit of $2.20 to $2.25 billion

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

9 / 30 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-6.7%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.5%-1.8%-7.7%
Q4 2025-1.9%-4.9%+2.2%
Q3 2025+2.3%-1.2%-2.7%
Q2 2025-1.9%-0.7%-0.2%
Q1 2025-6.7%-5.4%-2.2%
Q4 2024-1.3%-1.4%+4.1%
Q3 2024-3.1%-1.9%+1.6%
Q2 2024-5.4%-5.4%-4.2%
Q1 2024-4.6%-4.2%+0.1%
Q4 2023-0.5%+1.0%+6.3%
Q3 2023-2.3%-0.9%+10.1%
Q2 2023+2.4%+3.9%-4.2%
Q1 2023+3.9%+4.0%-1.0%
Q4 2022+2.0%+1.8%+5.7%
Q3 2022+1.7%+2.6%+14.3%
Q2 2022+5.7%+7.6%+3.5%
Q1 2022-1.4%-0.8%+0.1%
Q4 2021+1.0%-0.4%-4.8%
Q3 2021-6.3%-6.2%-1.4%
Q2 2021-0.3%+1.2%+2.9%
Q1 2021+10.8%+9.2%+9.1%
Q4 2020-0.0%-1.1%+3.6%
Q3 2019-1.9%+0.3%+8.7%
Q3 2020-2.3%-3.4%+6.2%
Q2 2019-0.3%-0.5%+0.3%
Q2 2020+10.3%+7.6%+8.4%
Q1 2019+0.0%-6.9%+13.0%
Q1 2020+0.0%-6.9%+13.0%
Q4 2019+0.0%-6.9%+13.0%
Q4 2018+0.0%+2.9%+21.2%

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