NYSE$NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reported strong financial results driven by solid revenue performance and lower Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reported a net loss of $(106.5) million for Q4 2023, with an EPS of $(0.25). However, the company's Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $359.6 million, driven by solid revenue performance and lower Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel. Occupancy reached 99.2% despite cancellations and redirections due to the conflict in Israel and the Red Sea.

  • Occupancy was 99.2% for the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Total revenue per Passenger Cruise Day up approximately 21%, with capacity growth of 17% compared to 2019.
  • Gross margin per Capacity Day was approximately $79 in the quarter.
  • Adjusted Net Cruise Costs excluding Fuel per Capacity Day in the fourth quarter of 2023 was approximately $151.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.99B

Previous: $1.52B+30.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.18

Previous: -$1.04+82.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$648M

Previous: $155M-516.7%
Net Income

-$107M

Previous: -$483M+77.9%
Operating Income

$124M

Previous: -$281M+144.3%
Gross Profit

$453M

Previous: $300M+51.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$22.7M

Previous: $24.6M-7.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Norwegian Cruise Line · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.99B

Q4 2023+30.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company expects Net Yield growth to be strong at approximately 5.4% on a Constant Currency basis compared to 2023. Full year Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel per Capacity Day is expected to be approximately $159.

Tailwinds

  • Exceptional demand for Norwegian Cruise Line.
  • Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises also experiencing strong demand.
  • Net Yield growth to be strong at approximately 5.4% on a Constant Currency basis compared to 2023.

Headwinds

  • Voyages redeployed due to the conflicts in the Middle East and Red Sea.
  • Full year Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel per Capacity Day is expected to be approximately $159, increasing approximately 3.4% in Constant Currency.
  • Approximately 325 basis points impact of increased Dry-dock days and related costs in the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

28 / 57 earnings

Positive

+18.6%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.6%-9.2%-3.3%
Q4 2025-10.6%-19.1%-21.8%
Q3 2025-15.4%-14.0%-15.2%
Q1 2025-7.8%-0.1%+1.6%
Q4 2024-5.3%-15.6%-23.6%
Q3 2024+4.4%+8.8%+12.8%
Q2 2024-6.5%-17.4%-3.6%
Q1 2024-15.7%-14.4%-12.3%
Q4 2023+17.4%+21.1%+31.4%
Q3 2023-3.9%-3.6%+20.7%
Q2 2023-15.5%-18.7%-24.9%
Q1 2023+7.6%+5.8%+11.2%
Q4 2022-8.2%-1.6%-19.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%+7.1%-5.7%
Q2 2022+0.2%+4.7%+5.5%
Q1 2022-3.3%+1.7%-13.7%
Q4 2021+1.9%-4.2%+3.0%
Q3 2021-0.0%+5.3%-31.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+8.6%+1.8%
Q1 2021-4.6%-7.3%+7.6%
Q4 2020-5.5%-0.3%-14.2%
Q3 2020+18.6%+18.2%+60.6%
Q2 2020+2.0%+14.0%+34.3%
Q1 2020+5.9%+20.6%+98.8%
Q4 2019-9.7%-24.4%-83.2%
Q3 2019-0.5%-1.5%+5.1%
Q2 2019+4.2%+5.9%+9.4%
Q1 2019+1.0%-1.8%-8.3%
Q4 2018+3.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q3 2018+1.6%+3.1%-0.9%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.3%+9.1%
Q1 2018-5.1%-6.6%-1.3%
Q4 2017-1.4%-4.2%-12.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-1.0%
Q2 2017+3.0%+0.2%-1.4%
Q1 2017-5.1%-7.7%-8.3%
Q4 2016+5.1%+5.3%+4.7%
Q3 2016-3.0%+5.6%+13.7%
Q2 2016-13.2%-10.5%-19.9%
Q1 2016-5.2%
Q4 2015+8.7%
Q3 2015-7.6%
Q2 2015-1.3%
Q1 2015+11.1%
Q4 2014+6.9%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q2 2013-3.9%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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