NYSE$NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported positive momentum with key operational and financial milestones, including positive Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter for the first time since the start of the pandemic.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reported a revenue increase to $1.6 billion compared to $153.1 million in 2021. The company achieved positive Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $28 million. Occupancy reached approximately 82%, a 17-point improvement. The company anticipates positive Adjusted Free Cash Flow for Q4 2022.

  • Achieved positive Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2022.
  • Targeting positive Adjusted Free Cash Flow for the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • 2023 booked position is equal to 2019’s record levels and at record pricing.
  • Total revenue per Passenger Cruise Day was up approximately 14% in the third quarter of 2022 versus 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.62B

Previous: $153M+955.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.64

Previous: -$2.17+70.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.63B

Previous: -$540M-201.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.92B

Previous: -$1.39B-38.9%
Net Income

-$295M

Previous: -$846M+65.1%
Operating Income

-$185M

Previous: -$689M+73.1%
Gross Profit

$377M

Previous: -$287M+231.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.19B

Previous: $1.93B-38.7%
Total Assets

$19B

Previous: $18.7B+1.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$26.1M

Previous: $39.9M-34.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Norwegian Cruise Line · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.62B

Q3 2022+955.3%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Company expects occupancy to be in the mid-to-high 80% range for the fourth quarter of 2022. Total revenue is expected to be $1.4-1.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022. Interest Expense, net is expected to be approximately $170 million for the fourth quarter of 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Occupancy is expected to be in the mid-to-high 80% range for the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Total revenue is expected to be $1.4-1.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Total revenue per Passenger Cruise Day is forecast to increase approximately 20% versus the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel per Capacity Day is expected to decrease by approximately 10% in second half of 2022 versus first half of 2022.
  • Depreciation and Amortization is expected to be approximately $195 million for the fourth quarter of 2022

Headwinds

  • The Company will report a net loss for the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Current cumulative booked position for the fourth quarter of 2022 is below the comparable 2019 period.
  • Effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and current macroeconomic conditions.
  • Company cannot estimate the impact on its business, financial condition or near- or longer-term financial or operational results with certainty.
  • Interest Expense, net is expected to be approximately $170 million for the fourth quarter of 2022

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

28 / 57 earnings

Positive

+18.6%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.6%-9.2%-3.3%
Q4 2025-10.6%-19.1%-21.8%
Q3 2025-15.4%-14.0%-15.2%
Q1 2025-7.8%-0.1%+1.6%
Q4 2024-5.3%-15.6%-23.6%
Q3 2024+4.4%+8.8%+12.8%
Q2 2024-6.5%-17.4%-3.6%
Q1 2024-15.7%-14.4%-12.3%
Q4 2023+17.4%+21.1%+31.4%
Q3 2023-3.9%-3.6%+20.7%
Q2 2023-15.5%-18.7%-24.9%
Q1 2023+7.6%+5.8%+11.2%
Q4 2022-8.2%-1.6%-19.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%+7.1%-5.7%
Q2 2022+0.2%+4.7%+5.5%
Q1 2022-3.3%+1.7%-13.7%
Q4 2021+1.9%-4.2%+3.0%
Q3 2021-0.0%+5.3%-31.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+8.6%+1.8%
Q1 2021-4.6%-7.3%+7.6%
Q4 2020-5.5%-0.3%-14.2%
Q3 2020+18.6%+18.2%+60.6%
Q2 2020+2.0%+14.0%+34.3%
Q1 2020+5.9%+20.6%+98.8%
Q4 2019-9.7%-24.4%-83.2%
Q3 2019-0.5%-1.5%+5.1%
Q2 2019+4.2%+5.9%+9.4%
Q1 2019+1.0%-1.8%-8.3%
Q4 2018+3.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q3 2018+1.6%+3.1%-0.9%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.3%+9.1%
Q1 2018-5.1%-6.6%-1.3%
Q4 2017-1.4%-4.2%-12.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-1.0%
Q2 2017+3.0%+0.2%-1.4%
Q1 2017-5.1%-7.7%-8.3%
Q4 2016+5.1%+5.3%+4.7%
Q3 2016-3.0%+5.6%+13.7%
Q2 2016-13.2%-10.5%-19.9%
Q1 2016-5.2%
Q4 2015+8.7%
Q3 2015-7.6%
Q2 2015-1.3%
Q1 2015+11.1%
Q4 2014+6.9%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q2 2013-3.9%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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