NYSE$NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020 and provided a business update.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reported a decrease in revenue to $6.5 million compared to $1.9 billion in 2019 due to the complete suspension of voyages in the quarter. The company's GAAP net loss was $(677.4) million, or EPS of $(2.50), compared to $450.6 million, or $2.09 in the prior year. The Adjusted Net Income (Loss) was $(638.7) million or Adjusted EPS of $(2.35).

  • The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a Framework for Conditional Sailing Order, replacing the No Sail Order, that will permit cruise ship passenger operations in U.S. waters under certain conditions.
  • Booking volumes since the emergence of the COVID-19 global pandemic remain below historical levels, there continues to be demand for future cruise vacations, particularly beginning for sailings operating in the second half of 2021 and beyond.
  • As of September 30, 2020, the Company had $1.2 billion of advance ticket sales, including the long-term portion of advance ticket sales, which includes approximately $0.85 billion of future cruise credits.
  • The Company's monthly average cash burn rate for the third quarter 2020 was approximately $150 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.52M

Previous: $1.91B-99.7%
EPS (adj)

-$2.35

Previous: $2.23-205.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$873M

Previous: -$616M-41.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.55B

Previous: -$165M-837.4%
Net Income

-$677M

Previous: $451M-250.3%
Operating Income

-$518M

Previous: $512M-201.2%
Gross Profit

-$190M

Previous: -$990M+80.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.36B

Previous: $407M+478.6%
Total Assets

$17.4B

Previous: $15.9B+9.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$25.9M

Previous: $25.4M+1.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Norwegian Cruise Line · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.52M

Q3 2020-99.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

As a consequence of COVID-19, while the Company cannot estimate the impact on its business, financial condition or near- or longer-term financial or operational results with certainty, it will report a net loss on both a U.S. GAAP and adjusted basis for the fourth quarter and the year ending December 31, 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

28 / 57 earnings

Positive

+18.6%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-15.7%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.6%-9.2%-3.3%
Q4 2025-10.6%-19.1%-21.8%
Q3 2025-15.4%-14.0%-15.2%
Q1 2025-7.8%-0.1%+1.6%
Q4 2024-5.3%-15.6%-23.6%
Q3 2024+4.4%+8.8%+12.8%
Q2 2024-6.5%-17.4%-3.6%
Q1 2024-15.7%-14.4%-12.3%
Q4 2023+17.4%+21.1%+31.4%
Q3 2023-3.9%-3.6%+20.7%
Q2 2023-15.5%-18.7%-24.9%
Q1 2023+7.6%+5.8%+11.2%
Q4 2022-8.2%-1.6%-19.6%
Q3 2022-5.3%+7.1%-5.7%
Q2 2022+0.2%+4.7%+5.5%
Q1 2022-3.3%+1.7%-13.7%
Q4 2021+1.9%-4.2%+3.0%
Q3 2021-0.0%+5.3%-31.8%
Q2 2021+2.0%+8.6%+1.8%
Q1 2021-4.6%-7.3%+7.6%
Q4 2020-5.5%-0.3%-14.2%
Q3 2020+18.6%+18.2%+60.6%
Q2 2020+2.0%+14.0%+34.3%
Q1 2020+5.9%+20.6%+98.8%
Q4 2019-9.7%-24.4%-83.2%
Q3 2019-0.5%-1.5%+5.1%
Q2 2019+4.2%+5.9%+9.4%
Q1 2019+1.0%-1.8%-8.3%
Q4 2018+3.1%+3.5%+3.6%
Q3 2018+1.6%+3.1%-0.9%
Q2 2018+3.4%+6.3%+9.1%
Q1 2018-5.1%-6.6%-1.3%
Q4 2017-1.4%-4.2%-12.5%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.8%-1.0%
Q2 2017+3.0%+0.2%-1.4%
Q1 2017-5.1%-7.7%-8.3%
Q4 2016+5.1%+5.3%+4.7%
Q3 2016-3.0%+5.6%+13.7%
Q2 2016-13.2%-10.5%-19.9%
Q1 2016-5.2%
Q4 2015+8.7%
Q3 2015-7.6%
Q2 2015-1.3%
Q1 2015+11.1%
Q4 2014+6.9%
Q3 2014+6.1%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014+3.5%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q4 2013-5.2%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q2 2013-3.9%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q1 2013+0.4%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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