NYSE$MWA

Mueller Water Products Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record third quarter results, exceeding expectations with strong order levels and disciplined spending.

Mueller Water Products reported a strong third quarter in 2024, with net sales increasing by 9.2% to $356.7 million. The company achieved a net income of $47.3 million, or $0.30 per diluted share, and a record adjusted net income of $49.5 million, or $0.32 per diluted share. Due to the strong performance, the company is raising its annual guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA.

  • Net sales increased 9.2 percent to $356.7 million compared to the prior year quarter.
  • Operating income increased to $67.0 million, with adjusted operating income up 77.0 percent to $69.9 million.
  • Net income rose to $47.3 million, and adjusted net income increased 79.3 percent to $49.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 56.6 percent to $85.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$357M

Previous: $327M+9.2%
EPS

$0.30

Previous: $0.18+66.7%
Gross Margin

36.8%

No prior period
Operating Margin

18.8%

No prior period
Adjusted Operating Margin

19.6%

No prior period
Net Income Margin

13.3%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$85.2M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

23.9%

Previous: 16.7%+43.1%
SG&A Expense

$61.5M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$12.2M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$47.3M

Previous: $24.5M+93.1%
Net Income

$47.3M

Previous: $24.5M+93.1%
Operating Income

$67M

Previous: $35.6M+88.2%
Gross Profit

$131M

Previous: $100M+31.3%
Total Assets

$1.57B

Previous: $1.49B+5.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.5M

Previous: $1.7M+47.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Mueller · Revenue · Quarterly

$357M

Q3 2024+9.2%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mueller · $301M total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Water Flow Solutions
    $162M-10.0%
  • Water Management Solutions
    $140M-8.0%

Forward guidance

The Company is increasing its expectations for fiscal 2024 consolidated net sales to be between $1,285 million and $1,295 million, or an increase of 0.7% to 1.5% compared with fiscal 2023. The Company is also increasing its expectations for fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA to be between $271 million and $275 million, or an increase of 34.1% to 36.1% compared with fiscal 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Fiscal 2024 consolidated net sales expected to increase between 0.7% and 1.5% compared to fiscal 2023.
  • Fiscal 2024 consolidated net sales expected to be between $1,285 million and $1,295 million.
  • Fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA expected to increase between 34.1% and 36.1% compared with fiscal 2023.
  • Fiscal 2024 adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $271 million and $275 million.
  • Free cash flow as a percentage of adjusted net income to be more than 85 percent in fiscal 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

41 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.7%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+1.8%-6.4%-8.1%
Q1 2026+1.5%+7.0%+1.5%
Q4 2025-4.4%-5.9%-1.8%
Q2 2025-6.3%-9.4%-9.9%
Q1 2025+16.7%+16.6%+8.5%
Q4 2024+6.2%+14.5%+11.5%
Q3 2024+2.2%+1.1%+2.8%
Q2 2024+11.0%+18.7%+9.5%
Q1 2024+10.8%+10.4%+14.5%
Q4 2023+7.4%+3.5%+0.9%
Q3 2023-10.8%-13.3%-11.0%
Q2 2023-6.4%-9.2%+3.5%
Q1 2023+7.5%+6.8%+8.2%
Q4 2022-1.7%-2.6%-0.3%
Q3 2022-9.3%-10.4%-15.6%
Q2 2022-3.0%+0.1%-0.2%
Q1 2022+0.4%+4.2%-2.3%
Q4 2021-8.5%-13.0%-15.3%
Q3 2021+2.7%+1.1%+7.4%
Q2 2021+1.9%+3.6%+0.5%
Q1 2021+2.4%+6.1%+8.6%
Q4 2020+7.7%+7.3%+13.4%
Q3 2020+6.9%+8.8%+5.0%
Q2 2020-4.6%-4.5%+3.7%
Q1 2020+3.5%+1.2%-4.6%
Q4 2019-5.1%-7.4%-2.1%
Q3 2019+3.8%+0.4%+2.0%
Q2 2019-12.8%-15.2%-12.0%
Q1 2019+6.5%+3.6%+3.9%
Q4 2018+7.3%+6.2%-4.4%
Q3 2018-5.4%-5.7%-7.5%
Q2 2018+15.4%+20.7%+23.7%
Q1 2018-2.4%-4.6%-5.5%
Q4 2017+3.7%+2.3%+3.4%
Q3 2017+6.7%+4.6%+5.0%
Q2 2017-11.9%-12.2%-12.6%
Q1 2017+0.3%-6.6%-9.2%
Q4 2016-11.8%-9.0%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.9%+7.9%+7.7%
Q2 2016+6.1%
Q1 2016+5.9%
Q4 2015-2.1%
Q3 2015+5.8%
Q2 2015-5.5%
Q1 2015-12.8%
Q4 2014+9.7%
Q3 2014+14.8%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014+10.0%
Q4 2013+4.4%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013+11.4%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012+9.7%
Q3 2012+3.1%
Q2 2012+3.1%
Q1 2012-1.4%
Q4 2009+10.3%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q3 2011+2.9%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q2 2010+1.7%
Q1 2011-1.5%
Q1 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%

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