NYSE$MWA

Mueller Water Products Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales decreased by 16.7% to $228.5 million, and net income was $11.2 million.

Mueller Water Products reported a decrease in net sales by 16.7% to $228.5 million compared to the prior year quarter. Net income also decreased to $11.2 million from $33.7 million in the same quarter last year. The company saw a smaller-than-expected downturn in residential construction activity and an increase in order activity by customers.

  • Net sales reached $228.5 million, a 16.7% decrease year-over-year.
  • Operating income was $20.0 million, compared to $47.2 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Net income was $11.2 million, down from $33.7 million in the prior year quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 33.0% to $43.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$229M

Previous: $274M-16.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $0.24-54.2%
Free Cash Flow

$11.2M

Previous: $33.7M-66.8%
Net Income

$11.2M

Previous: $33.7M-66.8%
Operating Income

$20M

Previous: $47.2M-57.6%
Gross Profit

$75.7M

Previous: $97.2M-22.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$171M

Previous: $141M+21.3%
Total Assets

$1.34B

Previous: $1.29B+3.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.1M

Previous: $1.1M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Mueller · Revenue · Quarterly

$229M

Q3 2020-16.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mueller · $301M total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Water Flow Solutions
    $162M-10.0%
  • Water Management Solutions
    $140M-8.0%

Forward guidance

Mueller Water Products anticipates that consolidated net sales for its 2020 fourth quarter will be between flat and 5 percent lower as compared with the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between flat and 10 percent lower as compared with the prior year quarter. The Company does expect its adjusted EBITDA conversion margin to improve relative to the third quarter. Additionally, the Company expects to generate positive free cash flow during the fourth quarter and increase the cash on its balance sheet at the end of September 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Residential construction activity could continue to improve.
  • Expects adjusted EBITDA conversion margin to improve relative to the third quarter.
  • Expects to generate positive free cash flow during the fourth quarter.
  • Expects to increase cash on its balance sheet at the end of September 2020.
  • Prioritizing returning cash to shareholders through quarterly dividend.

Headwinds

  • Anticipates consolidated net sales for its 2020 fourth quarter will be between flat and 5 percent lower as compared with the prior year quarter.
  • Decrease in volumes will lead to a greater decline in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.
  • Level of repair and replacement and project activity varied greatly depending on the effects of shelter-in-place orders and social distancing practices.
  • Continues to expect delays in some ongoing projects and approvals of new projects.
  • Pace of the recovery will continue to vary greatly and is highly dependent on the COVID-19 pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

41 / 65 earnings

Positive

+16.7%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+1.8%-6.4%-8.1%
Q1 2026+1.5%+7.0%+1.5%
Q4 2025-4.4%-5.9%-1.8%
Q2 2025-6.3%-9.4%-9.9%
Q1 2025+16.7%+16.6%+8.5%
Q4 2024+6.2%+14.5%+11.5%
Q3 2024+2.2%+1.1%+2.8%
Q2 2024+11.0%+18.7%+9.5%
Q1 2024+10.8%+10.4%+14.5%
Q4 2023+7.4%+3.5%+0.9%
Q3 2023-10.8%-13.3%-11.0%
Q2 2023-6.4%-9.2%+3.5%
Q1 2023+7.5%+6.8%+8.2%
Q4 2022-1.7%-2.6%-0.3%
Q3 2022-9.3%-10.4%-15.6%
Q2 2022-3.0%+0.1%-0.2%
Q1 2022+0.4%+4.2%-2.3%
Q4 2021-8.5%-13.0%-15.3%
Q3 2021+2.7%+1.1%+7.4%
Q2 2021+1.9%+3.6%+0.5%
Q1 2021+2.4%+6.1%+8.6%
Q4 2020+7.7%+7.3%+13.4%
Q3 2020+6.9%+8.8%+5.0%
Q2 2020-4.6%-4.5%+3.7%
Q1 2020+3.5%+1.2%-4.6%
Q4 2019-5.1%-7.4%-2.1%
Q3 2019+3.8%+0.4%+2.0%
Q2 2019-12.8%-15.2%-12.0%
Q1 2019+6.5%+3.6%+3.9%
Q4 2018+7.3%+6.2%-4.4%
Q3 2018-5.4%-5.7%-7.5%
Q2 2018+15.4%+20.7%+23.7%
Q1 2018-2.4%-4.6%-5.5%
Q4 2017+3.7%+2.3%+3.4%
Q3 2017+6.7%+4.6%+5.0%
Q2 2017-11.9%-12.2%-12.6%
Q1 2017+0.3%-6.6%-9.2%
Q4 2016-11.8%-9.0%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.9%+7.9%+7.7%
Q2 2016+6.1%
Q1 2016+5.9%
Q4 2015-2.1%
Q3 2015+5.8%
Q2 2015-5.5%
Q1 2015-12.8%
Q4 2014+9.7%
Q3 2014+14.8%
Q2 2014-3.0%
Q1 2014+10.0%
Q4 2013+4.4%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013+11.4%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012+9.7%
Q3 2012+3.1%
Q2 2012+3.1%
Q1 2012-1.4%
Q4 2009+10.3%
Q3 2010+2.9%
Q3 2011+2.9%
Q2 2011+1.7%
Q2 2010+1.7%
Q1 2011-1.5%
Q1 2010-1.5%
Q4 2010-1.5%

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