NYSE$MOS
Mosaic Co · Q1 2024 earnings
Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Mosaic's first quarter 2024 earnings were reported, showing a decrease in net earnings compared to the previous year, but with progress in strategic initiatives and cost reduction plans.
Mosaic reported net earnings of $45 million for Q1 2024, a decrease from $435 million in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $576 million, down from $777 million in Q1 2023. The company is focusing on execution and completion of low capital intensity initiatives.
- Net earnings were $45 million, with adjusted EPS at $0.65 and adjusted EBITDA at $576 million.
- Revenues totaled $2.7 billion, a 26% decrease from the previous year due to lower selling prices.
- Transaction announced with Ma'aden, valuing Mosaic's stake at approximately $1.5 billion.
- Completed 800,000 tonne MicroEssentials capacity conversion and Riverview facility returned to full capacity.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Mosaic · Revenue · Quarterly
$2.68B
Revenue by segment
Mosaic · $3.42B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023
- Mosaic Fertilizantes$1.7B-35.3%49.7%
- Phosphates$1B-13.1%29.2%
- Potash$720M-48.5%21.1%
Forward guidance
The company provided modeling assumptions for the full year 2024, including capital expenditures between $1.1 - 1.2 billion, depreciation, depletion & amortization between $960 - $990 million, and selling, general, and administrative expense between $470 - $500 million.
Tailwinds
- Agricultural fundamentals remain constructive with pressured stock-to-use ratios.
- Growers are incentivized to maximize yields due to favorable economics.
- A shift from El Nino to La Nina is expected to create a favorable backdrop in Southeast Asia, India, and Brazil.
- Parts of the world have experienced under-application of fertilizers, leading to a need to replenish soil nutrients.
- Low inventory and a favorable demand outlook in Brazil sets the stage for peak or near-peak fertilizer shipments in 2024.
Headwinds
- Global potash supply constraints are likely to abate with higher exports from Belarus and Russia.
- Corn and soybean fundamentals and prices have softened recently.
- Credit and liquidity challenges exist in Brazil.
- Temporary resumption of China phosphate exports.
- The Colonsay potash mine was curtailed in March and will remain idle until market conditions improve.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024
-0.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.0%
Avg return
5 days after
+0.1%
Avg return
30 days after
51%
33 / 65 earnings
Positive
+15.3%
Q2 2020
Best reaction
-12.1%
Q1 2017
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -1.7% | -1.9% | — | |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6% | -3.4% | -12.2% | |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2% | -2.5% | -11.1% | |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1% | +3.6% | +18.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7% | -3.8% | +8.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | -6.8% | -5.9% | -4.9% | |
| Q2 2024 | +0.3% | +2.0% | +0.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | -9.5% | -7.5% | -1.5% | |
| Q4 2023 | +6.1% | +4.2% | +2.7% | |
| Q3 2023 | +0.9% | +3.6% | +10.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | -0.1% | +1.2% | -4.7% | |
| Q1 2023 | -10.9% | -12.7% | -23.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.4% | +8.5% | -13.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | +7.3% | +7.1% | -4.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | -0.8% | -0.8% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | +8.7% | +2.6% | -6.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | +0.4% | +10.1% | +52.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | -9.5% | -10.2% | -19.1% | |
| Q2 2021 | +0.4% | +0.8% | +1.9% | |
| Q1 2021 | -2.4% | +5.2% | +6.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | -9.8% | -3.1% | +8.7% | |
| Q3 2020 | -7.1% | -8.7% | +14.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +15.3% | +27.6% | +40.2% | |
| Q1 2020 | +5.7% | +6.8% | +23.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.2% | +6.4% | -47.5% | |
| Q3 2019 | +4.8% | +0.7% | -11.1% | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.7% | -4.2% | -17.9% | |
| Q1 2019 | -9.3% | -6.7% | -13.2% | |
| Q4 2018 | -2.7% | -4.0% | -17.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | +11.7% | +14.8% | +10.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | +4.1% | +3.4% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | -4.8% | -3.2% | +6.0% | |
| Q4 2017 | +5.2% | +13.0% | -2.9% | |
| Q3 2017 | +8.6% | +7.3% | +16.5% | |
| Q2 2017 | -7.8% | -6.5% | -17.2% | |
| Q1 2017 | -12.1% | -12.7% | -15.2% | |
| Q4 2016 | +0.6% | +2.6% | -9.5% | |
| Q3 2016 | +5.1% | +4.1% | +23.6% | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.5% | +2.4% | +9.5% | |
| Q1 2016 | -5.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -1.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +2.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -0.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -5.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -5.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -10.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +2.8% | — | — |
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