NYSE$MGY

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Magnolia reported a decline in net income and EPS for Q4 2024, despite revenue growth in key production segments.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation reported Q4 2024 net income of $88.7 million, down 22% year-over-year. Revenue increased slightly to $326.61 million, with growth in oil and natural gas liquids revenue. Adjusted EPS was $0.49, reflecting a decrease from the prior year. Production volume increased by 9%, with strong performance in Giddings.

  • Net income decreased by 22% to $88.7 million.
  • Revenue increased slightly to $326.61 million.
  • Adjusted EPS declined to $0.49 from $0.53 in Q4 2023.
  • Total production grew 9% to 93.1 Mboe/d.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$327M

Previous: $323M+1.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.49

Previous: $0.52-5.8%
Total avg daily production

93.1K

Previous: 85.4K+9.0%
Oil avg daily production

38.8K

Previous: 35.5K+9.5%
Natural gas avg daily production

167.1K

Previous: 154.8K+7.9%
NGL avg daily production

26.4K

Previous: 24.1K+9.5%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$236M

No prior period
D&C capital expenditures

$132M

No prior period
Diluted weighted avg shares

196.2M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$138M

Previous: -$17.3M-693.8%
Net Income

$88.7M

Previous: $114M-22.1%
Operating Income

$124M

Previous: $138M-10.2%
Gross Profit

$161M

Previous: $174M-7.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Magnolia · Revenue · Quarterly

$327M

Q4 2024+1.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Magnolia · $316M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Oil revenues
    $244M
  • NGL revenues
    $45M
  • Natural gas revenues
    $27.1M

Forward guidance

Magnolia expects moderate production growth in 2025 with a continued focus on operational efficiencies and shareholder returns.

Tailwinds

  • Expected total production growth of 5-7% in 2025.
  • Continued strong well performance and lower drilling costs.
  • Increase in share repurchase authorization by 10 million shares.
  • Cash dividend increase by 15% to $0.60 per share annually.
  • Strong balance sheet with $260 million in cash.

Headwinds

  • Potential impact of oil price fluctuations on revenue.
  • Higher capital expenditures projected for Q1 2025.
  • Increased costs associated with exploration activities.
  • Market uncertainties could affect production plans.
  • No hedging strategy, exposing the company to price volatility.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

18 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.1%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-13.2%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-0.1%-4.0%
Q4 2025+3.1%+2.9%+11.5%
Q3 2025-2.6%-4.7%+0.6%
Q1 2025+2.7%+1.3%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.5%+0.5%+5.2%
Q3 2024-0.1%+1.7%+9.6%
Q2 2024-4.0%-11.6%-3.7%
Q1 2024+0.8%+0.8%-5.1%
Q4 2023+5.1%+5.3%+17.3%
Q3 2023+2.7%-1.1%-2.4%
Q2 2023-0.4%+3.7%+2.9%
Q1 2023-5.2%-0.3%+2.0%
Q4 2022-2.1%-8.0%-13.4%
Q3 2022-2.7%+2.4%-0.2%
Q2 2022-2.7%-6.5%-5.0%
Q1 2022-13.2%-7.6%+14.5%
Q4 2021+3.0%+2.0%+15.4%
Q3 2021-1.1%-0.9%-13.1%
Q2 2021+0.6%+3.4%+11.1%
Q1 2021+5.6%+7.9%+24.7%
Q4 2020+15.1%+19.3%+7.0%
Q3 2020+0.7%+24.4%+79.0%
Q2 2020-0.2%+8.0%-0.3%
Q1 2020+8.6%+9.6%+31.5%
Q2 2019-4.7%+2.4%-44.6%
Q4 2019-3.5%-11.3%-56.6%
Q3 2019+10.2%+16.3%+11.3%
Q1 2019-1.8%-3.7%-17.2%
Q4 2018+0.3%+4.3%-2.1%
Q3 2018+3.5%+10.7%-2.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+4.8%+13.8%
Q1 2018+2.3%+3.5%+4.2%
Q4 2017-0.1%-0.1%+0.5%
Q3 2017+0.0%-0.1%-0.1%
Q2 2017+0.0%-1.8%-0.3%
Q1 2017

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