NYSE$MGY

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Magnolia announced its Q3 2024 financial and operational results, showcasing a steady performance.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation reported a net income of $105.9 million and adjusted net income of $100.3 million for Q3 2024. The company's total production volumes grew by 10% year-over-year to 90.7 Mboe/d, with oil production at 38.9 Mbbls/d. Magnolia generated free cash flow of $126.1 million, returning approximately 70% to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.

  • Magnolia reported a net income attributable to Class A Common Stock of $99.8 million, or $0.52 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDAX was $243.6 million, with D&C capital at $103.1 million, representing approximately 42% of adjusted EBITDAX.
  • Lease operating expenses decreased to $5.33 per barrel oil equivalent, an 11% decline from Q1 2024.
  • Total production volumes grew by 10% year-over-year to 90.7 Mboe/d, including 38.9 Mbbls/d of oil, despite midstream facility outages.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$333M

Previous: $316M+5.5%
EPS

$0.52

Previous: $0.54-3.7%
Total avg daily production

90.7K

Previous: 82.7K+9.7%
Oil avg daily production

38.9K

Previous: 32.9K+18.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$352M

Previous: -$332M-6.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$252M

Previous: -$230M-9.6%
Net Income

$99.8M

Previous: $102M-2.2%
Operating Income

$129M

Previous: $148M-12.9%
Gross Profit

$129M

Previous: $148M-12.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$276M

Previous: $618M-55.4%
Total Assets

$2.81B

Previous: $2.65B+6.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Magnolia · Revenue · Quarterly

$333M

Q3 2024+5.5%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Magnolia · $316M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Oil revenues
    $244M
  • NGL revenues
    $45M
  • Natural gas revenues
    $27.1M

Forward guidance

Magnolia expects fourth quarter D&C capital to be approximately $125 million, bringing the total capital spending for the year to approximately $470 million. Fourth quarter total production volumes are expected to be approximately 93 Mboe/d.

Tailwinds

  • Expects fourth quarter D&C capital to be approximately $125 million.
  • Total capital spending for the year is expected to be approximately $470 million.
  • Fourth quarter total production volumes are expected to be approximately 93 Mboe/d.
  • High single digit total year-over-year production growth during 2024 is expected.
  • This year’s growth in oil production is now expected to surpass that rate.

Headwinds

  • Oil price differentials are anticipated to be approximately a $3.00 per barrel discount to Magellan East Houston.
  • Magnolia remains completely unhedged for all its oil and natural gas production.
  • Unspecified risks associated with forward-looking statements.
  • Potential impacts from supply and demand for oil, natural gas, and NGLs.
  • Geopolitical and business conditions in key regions of the world may adversely affect Magnolia.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

18 / 35 earnings

Positive

+15.1%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-13.2%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%-0.1%-4.0%
Q4 2025+3.1%+2.9%+11.5%
Q3 2025-2.6%-4.7%+0.6%
Q1 2025+2.7%+1.3%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.5%+0.5%+5.2%
Q3 2024-0.1%+1.7%+9.6%
Q2 2024-4.0%-11.6%-3.7%
Q1 2024+0.8%+0.8%-5.1%
Q4 2023+5.1%+5.3%+17.3%
Q3 2023+2.7%-1.1%-2.4%
Q2 2023-0.4%+3.7%+2.9%
Q1 2023-5.2%-0.3%+2.0%
Q4 2022-2.1%-8.0%-13.4%
Q3 2022-2.7%+2.4%-0.2%
Q2 2022-2.7%-6.5%-5.0%
Q1 2022-13.2%-7.6%+14.5%
Q4 2021+3.0%+2.0%+15.4%
Q3 2021-1.1%-0.9%-13.1%
Q2 2021+0.6%+3.4%+11.1%
Q1 2021+5.6%+7.9%+24.7%
Q4 2020+15.1%+19.3%+7.0%
Q3 2020+0.7%+24.4%+79.0%
Q2 2020-0.2%+8.0%-0.3%
Q1 2020+8.6%+9.6%+31.5%
Q2 2019-4.7%+2.4%-44.6%
Q4 2019-3.5%-11.3%-56.6%
Q3 2019+10.2%+16.3%+11.3%
Q1 2019-1.8%-3.7%-17.2%
Q4 2018+0.3%+4.3%-2.1%
Q3 2018+3.5%+10.7%-2.6%
Q2 2018+1.3%+4.8%+13.8%
Q1 2018+2.3%+3.5%+4.2%
Q4 2017-0.1%-0.1%+0.5%
Q3 2017+0.0%-0.1%-0.1%
Q2 2017+0.0%-1.8%-0.3%
Q1 2017

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