NYSE$MG

Mistras Group Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported revenue increase and adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by commercial aerospace and data analytical solutions markets, with ongoing Project Phoenix initiatives leading to further SG&A reductions.

MISTRAS Group reported a slight increase in revenue for Q3 2023, alongside a significant rise in Adjusted EBITDA. The company's gross profit margin also saw improvement. Net loss was impacted by a non-cash goodwill impairment charge and reorganization costs. Project Phoenix is expected to yield substantial cost savings in 2024.

  • Revenue increased by 0.5% to $179.4 million.
  • Gross profit margin improved by 20 basis points to 30.3%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 12.5% to $20.9 million.
  • The company anticipates a modest single digit revenue growth in 2024, yet a significant expansion in Adjusted EBITDA.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$179M

Previous: $178M+0.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.18

Previous: $0.16+12.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$20.9M

Previous: $18.6M+12.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$14.4M

Previous: -$9.05M-59.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$24.7M

Previous: -$4.68M-428.1%
Net Income

-$10.3M

Previous: $4.37M-335.5%
Operating Income

-$4.68M

Previous: $9.11M-151.4%
Gross Profit

$54.4M

Previous: $53.8M+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$12.8M

Previous: $18.1M-29.5%
Total Assets

$537M

Previous: $540M-0.7%
R&D Expense

$438K

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Mistras · Revenue · Quarterly

$179M

Q3 2023+0.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mistras · $183M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $149M
  • International
    $31M+20.6%
  • Products and Systems
    $2.83M-8.1%

Forward guidance

The Company anticipates a modest single digit revenue growth in 2024, yet a significant expansion in Adjusted EBITDA, attributable to operating leverage and the ongoing benefits of Project Phoenix. We believe this will result in an all-time high in Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2024 of greater than $88 million. This outlook includes approximately $20 million in incremental benefit from Project Phoenix in 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Modest single digit revenue growth in 2024
  • Significant expansion in Adjusted EBITDA
  • Operating leverage
  • Ongoing benefits of Project Phoenix
  • All-time high in Adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2024 of greater than $88 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

35 / 62 earnings

Positive

+41.9%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-9.1%-5.8%
Q4 2025-5.8%-8.2%-2.4%
Q3 2025+0.1%-1.0%+24.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-6.9%-2.6%
Q4 2024+12.2%+7.9%+1.4%
Q3 2024-25.0%-25.5%-17.4%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.3%+19.2%
Q1 2024+5.6%+2.3%-2.3%
Q4 2023+8.1%+7.6%+15.6%
Q3 2023+10.2%+10.8%+24.3%
Q2 2023-21.4%-31.1%-30.9%
Q1 2023-15.8%-14.2%-14.2%
Q4 2022+3.0%+5.6%+38.2%
Q3 2022-13.4%-10.9%-24.3%
Q2 2022+2.7%+0.0%-14.8%
Q1 2022+4.0%-3.3%+2.8%
Q4 2021-0.2%+2.5%-3.5%
Q3 2021-10.6%-11.6%-25.3%
Q2 2021+0.8%-1.6%+0.6%
Q1 2021-4.0%-15.0%-10.1%
Q4 2020+9.9%+6.3%+7.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+22.3%+52.1%
Q2 2020+18.2%+21.5%+24.9%
Q1 2020+2.5%+15.6%+33.4%
Q4 2019+6.0%+11.5%-4.5%
Q3 2019-11.2%-8.5%-14.7%
Q2 2019+12.0%+11.3%-1.8%
Q1 2019-5.2%-3.6%+0.6%
Q4 2018-9.0%-8.7%-12.1%
Q3 2018-12.3%-11.3%-17.6%
Q2 2018+13.5%+9.3%+10.7%
Q1 2018+1.1%-6.2%+0.7%
Q4 2017-2.7%-2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2017+6.6%+5.8%+6.4%
Q2 2017-5.3%-11.0%-1.4%
Q1 2017+1.1%-2.9%-7.2%
Q4 2016-11.3%-1.9%-6.6%
Q3 2016-6.4%
Q2 2016+15.6%
Q1 2015+41.9%
Q4 2015-14.7%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+17.9%
Q3 2014-3.1%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014+1.8%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013-12.5%
Q4 2012-10.7%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-6.7%
Q3 2011+5.2%
Q2 2011+10.3%
Q1 2011+4.7%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010+2.5%
Q1 2009+0.6%

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