NYSE$MG

Mistras Group Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Mistras Group's first quarter 2021 results were announced, with revenue aligning with expectations and profitability improving.

Mistras Group reported a 3.6% decrease in revenue to $153.8 million compared to the prior year, which was in line with the company's outlook. The net loss decreased to $5.4 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 30.2% to $7.0 million. The company expects revenue to increase in the low to mid-thirty percent range in the second quarter of 2021.

  • Revenue of $153.8 million, showing growth in Energy, Other Process Industries, and Infrastructure markets.
  • Gross profit margin expanded by 50 basis points to 26.0%.
  • Services segment operating income was $4.5 million, or $6.5 million on a non-GAAP basis, a 55.6% increase.
  • Net loss decreased to $5.4 million, with Adjusted EBITDA up 30.2% to $7.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$154M

Previous: $159M-3.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.24+41.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$7.04M

Previous: $5.42M+29.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$4M

Previous: -$4.3M+6.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.37M

Previous: -$103M+90.9%
Net Income

-$5.36M

Previous: -$98.5M+94.6%
Operating Income

-$4.75M

Previous: -$111M+95.7%
Gross Profit

$40M

Previous: $40.6M-1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$24.2M

Previous: $17M+42.0%
Total Assets

$584M

Previous: $584M+0.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Mistras · Revenue · Quarterly

$154M

Q1 2021-3.6%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mistras · $30.6M total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • International
    $27.6M-4.9%
  • Products and Systems
    $2.99M+6.3%

Forward guidance

The Company expects annual revenue for 2021 to be higher than in 2020. The Company anticipates that its quarterly revenue will reflect year-on-year improvement commencing in the second quarter of 2021, with revenue expected to increase as much as in the low to mid-thirty percent range, over the second quarter of 2020. The Company also anticipates that Adjusted EBITDA will expand at a much greater rate in the second quarter of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Restoration of top line growth is expected.
  • Disciplined expense management will enable leveraging revenue growth into improved bottom line performance.
  • Quarterly revenue is expected to reflect year-on-year improvement commencing in the second quarter of 2021.
  • Revenue is expected to increase as much as in the low to mid-thirty percent range in Q2 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA will expand at a much greater rate in the second quarter of 2021.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact domestic and international operations.
  • Energy prices and demand are currently stable, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact the Company’s two largest markets, Oil & Gas and Aerospace.
  • The company's business has been recovering over the past three quarters, from the low experienced in the second quarter of 2020, when the effect of COVID-19 was most impactful to its financial results.
  • COVID-19 disrupted the timing of certain projects, particularly in the Aerospace and Industrials markets
  • Weakness in the commercial Aerospace market as well as in the Industrial/Manufacturing market.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

35 / 62 earnings

Positive

+41.9%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-9.1%-5.8%
Q4 2025-5.8%-8.2%-2.4%
Q3 2025+0.1%-1.0%+24.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-6.9%-2.6%
Q4 2024+12.2%+7.9%+1.4%
Q3 2024-25.0%-25.5%-17.4%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.3%+19.2%
Q1 2024+5.6%+2.3%-2.3%
Q4 2023+8.1%+7.6%+15.6%
Q3 2023+10.2%+10.8%+24.3%
Q2 2023-21.4%-31.1%-30.9%
Q1 2023-15.8%-14.2%-14.2%
Q4 2022+3.0%+5.6%+38.2%
Q3 2022-13.4%-10.9%-24.3%
Q2 2022+2.7%+0.0%-14.8%
Q1 2022+4.0%-3.3%+2.8%
Q4 2021-0.2%+2.5%-3.5%
Q3 2021-10.6%-11.6%-25.3%
Q2 2021+0.8%-1.6%+0.6%
Q1 2021-4.0%-15.0%-10.1%
Q4 2020+9.9%+6.3%+7.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+22.3%+52.1%
Q2 2020+18.2%+21.5%+24.9%
Q1 2020+2.5%+15.6%+33.4%
Q4 2019+6.0%+11.5%-4.5%
Q3 2019-11.2%-8.5%-14.7%
Q2 2019+12.0%+11.3%-1.8%
Q1 2019-5.2%-3.6%+0.6%
Q4 2018-9.0%-8.7%-12.1%
Q3 2018-12.3%-11.3%-17.6%
Q2 2018+13.5%+9.3%+10.7%
Q1 2018+1.1%-6.2%+0.7%
Q4 2017-2.7%-2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2017+6.6%+5.8%+6.4%
Q2 2017-5.3%-11.0%-1.4%
Q1 2017+1.1%-2.9%-7.2%
Q4 2016-11.3%-1.9%-6.6%
Q3 2016-6.4%
Q2 2016+15.6%
Q1 2015+41.9%
Q4 2015-14.7%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+17.9%
Q3 2014-3.1%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014+1.8%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013-12.5%
Q4 2012-10.7%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-6.7%
Q3 2011+5.2%
Q2 2011+10.3%
Q1 2011+4.7%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010+2.5%
Q1 2009+0.6%

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