NYSE$MG

Mistras Group Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a decrease in revenue but an increase in gross profit margin and free cash flow.

Mistras Group's Q2 2020 results showed a decrease in revenue by 38% to $124.4 million, but a significant increase in free cash flow by 284% to $25.5 million. The company also achieved its highest quarterly gross profit margin in over five years, expanding to 33.1%.

  • Revenue decreased by 38% to $124.4 million.
  • Free cash flow increased by 284% to $25.5 million.
  • Gross profit margin expanded to 33.1%, the highest in over five years.
  • Debt repayment was a quarterly record at $18.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$124M

Previous: $201M-38.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.06

Previous: $0.22-127.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$11.5M

Previous: $24M-52.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.44M

Previous: -$11.6M+35.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.1M

Previous: -$4.13M-144.5%
Net Income

-$2.66M

Previous: $7.43M-135.7%
Operating Income

-$383K

Previous: $15.4M-102.5%
Gross Profit

$41.2M

Previous: $60.1M-31.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$22.6M

Previous: $12.5M+80.7%
Total Assets

$568M

Previous: $733M-22.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Mistras · Revenue · Quarterly

$124M

Q2 2020-38%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Mistras · $25.3M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • International
    $21.3M-42.5%
  • Products and Systems
    $4M-6.3%

Forward guidance

The Company anticipates a high-teen up to 20% sequential improvement in revenues for the third quarter of 2020 compared to the second quarter, but down from the year ago quarter. The Company believes that consolidated revenue in the second half of 2020 will be higher than the first half of 2020, with a progressive improvement in adjusted EBITDA and continuing positive free cash flow in the second half of 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates a high-teen up to 20% sequential improvement in revenues for the third quarter of 2020 compared to the second quarter
  • Consolidated revenue in the second half of 2020 will be higher than the first half of 2020
  • Progressive improvement in adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2020
  • Continuing positive free cash flow in the second half of 2020
  • Stabilization in the crude oil markets and the continuing relaxation of certain stay-in-place mandates are allowing some of our energy industry customers to start projects in the third quarter that were delayed earlier in the year.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact the Company’s two largest markets, Oil & Gas and Aerospace.
  • Anticipates a high-teen up to 20% sequential improvement in revenues for the third quarter of 2020 compared to the second quarter, but down from the year ago quarter.
  • Extremely difficult to forecast with any degree of certainty at this time
  • Outlook is contingent on continuing macroeconomic stability, including the recent recovery in the crude oil markets and the ongoing relaxation of certain stay-in-place mandates.
  • Second quarter revenues were down from a year ago in what we still believe is likely to be this years’ trough quarter, primarily due to the slowdown in inspection activity resulting from our clients’ prioritization of safety precautions precipitated by the rapid onset of COVID-19, as well as more cautionary customer budgeting.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

35 / 62 earnings

Positive

+41.9%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-25.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-9.1%-5.8%
Q4 2025-5.8%-8.2%-2.4%
Q3 2025+0.1%-1.0%+24.0%
Q1 2025-0.4%-6.9%-2.6%
Q4 2024+12.2%+7.9%+1.4%
Q3 2024-25.0%-25.5%-17.4%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.3%+19.2%
Q1 2024+5.6%+2.3%-2.3%
Q4 2023+8.1%+7.6%+15.6%
Q3 2023+10.2%+10.8%+24.3%
Q2 2023-21.4%-31.1%-30.9%
Q1 2023-15.8%-14.2%-14.2%
Q4 2022+3.0%+5.6%+38.2%
Q3 2022-13.4%-10.9%-24.3%
Q2 2022+2.7%+0.0%-14.8%
Q1 2022+4.0%-3.3%+2.8%
Q4 2021-0.2%+2.5%-3.5%
Q3 2021-10.6%-11.6%-25.3%
Q2 2021+0.8%-1.6%+0.6%
Q1 2021-4.0%-15.0%-10.1%
Q4 2020+9.9%+6.3%+7.0%
Q3 2020+4.9%+22.3%+52.1%
Q2 2020+18.2%+21.5%+24.9%
Q1 2020+2.5%+15.6%+33.4%
Q4 2019+6.0%+11.5%-4.5%
Q3 2019-11.2%-8.5%-14.7%
Q2 2019+12.0%+11.3%-1.8%
Q1 2019-5.2%-3.6%+0.6%
Q4 2018-9.0%-8.7%-12.1%
Q3 2018-12.3%-11.3%-17.6%
Q2 2018+13.5%+9.3%+10.7%
Q1 2018+1.1%-6.2%+0.7%
Q4 2017-2.7%-2.8%-1.9%
Q3 2017+6.6%+5.8%+6.4%
Q2 2017-5.3%-11.0%-1.4%
Q1 2017+1.1%-2.9%-7.2%
Q4 2016-11.3%-1.9%-6.6%
Q3 2016-6.4%
Q2 2016+15.6%
Q1 2015+41.9%
Q4 2015-14.7%
Q3 2015-2.0%
Q2 2015+17.9%
Q3 2014-3.1%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014+1.8%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013+6.7%
Q2 2013-4.7%
Q1 2013-12.5%
Q4 2012-10.7%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-6.7%
Q3 2011+5.2%
Q2 2011+10.3%
Q1 2011+4.7%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q2 2010+2.5%
Q1 2009+0.6%

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