NYSE$LPX

Louisiana-Pacific Corp · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Louisiana-Pacific reported a sharp decline in earnings for Q3 2025 as net income dropped significantly due to lower OSB pricing and volume.

Louisiana-Pacific faced a challenging third quarter with notable declines in OSB segment performance, which led to a steep drop in net income and adjusted EBITDA. However, the Siding segment remained resilient with revenue growth, driven by higher selling prices.

  • Net income fell to $9 million, down from $90 million a year ago
  • EPS dropped to $0.13 with adjusted EPS at $0.36
  • Siding segment revenue increased by $22 million to $443 million
  • OSB segment reported a $74 million revenue decline and a negative adjusted EBITDA

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$663M

Previous: $722M-8.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $1.28-71.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$216M

Previous: -$121M-78.5%
Free Cash Flow

$89M

Previous: -$31M+387.1%
Net Income

$9M

Previous: $90M-90.0%
Operating Income

$18M

Previous: $116M-84.5%
Gross Profit

$129M

Previous: $193M-33.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Louisiana-Pacific · Revenue · Quarterly

$663M

Q3 2025-8.2%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Louisiana-Pacific · $680M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Siding
    $345M-12.4%
  • OSB
    $335M-13.7%

Forward guidance

LP reaffirmed full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance for Siding while projecting negative EBITDA for OSB in Q4. Total Q4 consolidated adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $32 million.

Tailwinds

  • Q4 2025 siding net sales expected to be ~$370 million
  • Q4 siding adjusted EBITDA forecasted at ~$82 million
  • Full-year siding adjusted EBITDA reaffirmed at ~$430 million
  • Siding expected to maintain strong margin (~26%)
  • Stable outlook supported by pricing strength in siding

Headwinds

  • Q4 OSB adjusted EBITDA projected to be negative ~$45 million
  • OSB performance remains weak due to low market pricing
  • Total consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q4 is modest at $32 million
  • Full-year OSB EBITDA is expected to be ~$0
  • Lower OSB volume and pricing continue to pressure margins

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.2%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-13.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+4.6%+1.2%
Q4 2025-4.9%-13.2%-22.8%
Q3 2025-8.7%-10.0%-1.3%
Q1 2025+3.3%+3.5%+5.6%
Q4 2024-10.1%-13.5%-17.9%
Q3 2024+6.9%+10.4%+18.6%
Q2 2024+1.9%+0.1%-1.9%
Q1 2024+19.2%+20.8%+23.3%
Q4 2023+2.0%-0.2%+14.2%
Q3 2023+11.7%+15.0%+23.1%
Q2 2023-13.6%-15.0%-15.9%
Q1 2023+1.3%+5.9%+2.0%
Q4 2022-10.7%-10.8%-15.7%
Q3 2022-7.2%-6.0%+13.7%
Q2 2022-8.2%-2.5%-14.4%
Q1 2022+17.9%+12.2%+8.8%
Q4 2021-9.0%+0.6%-5.2%
Q3 2021+11.6%+9.1%+17.0%
Q2 2021+2.5%+5.4%+17.4%
Q1 2021+4.0%+8.4%-3.2%
Q4 2020+4.2%+8.7%+23.9%
Q3 2020+5.1%+0.7%+21.3%
Q2 2020-1.8%-0.0%+1.4%
Q1 2020+3.6%+11.7%+30.4%
Q4 2019+6.0%+7.2%-43.2%
Q3 2019-0.6%-2.7%-2.4%
Q2 2019-9.0%-8.2%-6.0%
Q1 2019-3.4%-2.2%-6.0%
Q4 2018+9.7%+10.4%+1.5%
Q3 2018+6.5%+2.3%-1.1%
Q2 2018+3.1%+3.3%+6.6%
Q1 2018-2.7%-2.0%+5.8%
Q4 2017+5.7%+2.8%+2.4%
Q3 2017-2.0%-2.9%-3.3%
Q2 2017-3.9%-2.5%+1.5%
Q1 2017-4.7%-3.9%-10.2%
Q4 2016+14.1%+15.8%+18.6%
Q3 2016+4.6%+1.1%+10.5%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.6%-0.1%
Q1 2016+0.8%
Q4 2015+2.6%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+4.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014-2.4%
Q1 2014-3.8%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-4.5%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013+5.1%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012-5.8%
Q1 2012+6.5%
Q4 2009-2.4%
Q4 2011-2.4%
Q3 2011+3.0%
Q3 2010+3.0%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q2 2011-3.5%
Q1 2010-2.4%
Q1 2011-2.4%
Q4 2010-2.4%

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