NYSE$LPX

Louisiana-Pacific Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an increase in operational efficiency and an improving outlook for single-family housing.

LP Building Solutions reported a decrease in net sales by 7% to $658 million. Net income increased by $69 million to $59 million, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by $0.10 to $0.71 per share.

  • Siding net sales decreased by 14% to $332 million due to lower volumes.
  • OSB net sales increased by 6% to $272 million.
  • Net income was $59 million, an increase of $69 million.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS was $0.71 per diluted share, an increase of $0.10 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$658M

Previous: $705M-6.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.71

Previous: $0.61+16.4%
Siding Solutions Sales Volume

389

Previous: 456-14.7%
OSB Structural Solutions Sales Volume

408

Previous: 303+34.7%
OSB Commodity Sales Volume

375

Previous: 503-25.4%
Capital Expenditures

$16M

Previous: $130M-87.7%
Net Income

$59M

Previous: -$13M+553.8%
Operating Income

$89M

Previous: -$27M+429.6%
Gross Profit

$159M

Previous: $128M+24.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Louisiana-Pacific · Revenue · Quarterly

$658M

Q4 2023-6.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Louisiana-Pacific · $755M total across 3 segments · Q2 2025

  • Siding
    $460M
  • OSB
    $250M
  • LPSA & Other
    $45M

Forward guidance

The company is providing financial guidance for the first quarter of 2024 and full year 2024. Guidance is based on current plans and expectations and is subject to a number of known and unknown uncertainties and risks.

Tailwinds

  • Siding Net sales year-over-year growth 3% to 5% (Q1 2024)
  • Siding Net sales year-over-year growth 8% to 10% (FY 2024)
  • Siding Adjusted EBITDA $65 million to $70 million (Q1 2024)
  • OSB Adjusted EBITDA $65 million to $75 million (Q1 2024)
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA $130 million to $145 million (Q1 2024)

Headwinds

  • Reconciliation of Siding Adjusted EBITDA, OSB Adjusted EBITDA, and consolidated Adjusted EBITDA guidance to the closest corresponding GAAP measure on a forward-looking basis is not available without unreasonable efforts.
  • Our inability to reconcile these measures results from the inherent difficulty in forecasting generally and quantifying certain projected amounts that are necessary for such reconciliation.
  • Sufficient information is not available to calculate certain adjustments required for such reconciliation, such as business exit charges, product-line discontinuance charges, other operating credits and charges, net, loss on early debt extinguishment, investment income, and other non-operating items, that would be required to be included in the comparable forecasted U.S. GAAP measures.
  • The Company expects that these adjustments may potentially have a significant impact on future GAAP financial results.
  • Capital expenditures related to strategic growth and sustaining maintenance projects are expected to be between $50 million to $60 million and $150 million to $160 million, respectively.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+19.2%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-13.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025
Q1 2026+1.0%+4.6%+1.2%
Q4 2025-4.9%-13.2%-22.8%
Q3 2025-8.7%-10.0%-1.3%
Q1 2025+3.3%+3.5%+5.6%
Q4 2024-10.1%-13.5%-17.9%
Q3 2024+6.9%+10.4%+18.6%
Q2 2024+1.9%+0.1%-1.9%
Q1 2024+19.2%+20.8%+23.3%
Q4 2023+2.0%-0.2%+14.2%
Q3 2023+11.7%+15.0%+23.1%
Q2 2023-13.6%-15.0%-15.9%
Q1 2023+1.3%+5.9%+2.0%
Q4 2022-10.7%-10.8%-15.7%
Q3 2022-7.2%-6.0%+13.7%
Q2 2022-8.2%-2.5%-14.4%
Q1 2022+17.9%+12.2%+8.8%
Q4 2021-9.0%+0.6%-5.2%
Q3 2021+11.6%+9.1%+17.0%
Q2 2021+2.5%+5.4%+17.4%
Q1 2021+4.0%+8.4%-3.2%
Q4 2020+4.2%+8.7%+23.9%
Q3 2020+5.1%+0.7%+21.3%
Q2 2020-1.8%-0.0%+1.4%
Q1 2020+3.6%+11.7%+30.4%
Q4 2019+6.0%+7.2%-43.2%
Q3 2019-0.6%-2.7%-2.4%
Q2 2019-9.0%-8.2%-6.0%
Q1 2019-3.4%-2.2%-6.0%
Q4 2018+9.7%+10.4%+1.5%
Q3 2018+6.5%+2.3%-1.1%
Q2 2018+3.1%+3.3%+6.6%
Q1 2018-2.7%-2.0%+5.8%
Q4 2017+5.7%+2.8%+2.4%
Q3 2017-2.0%-2.9%-3.3%
Q2 2017-3.9%-2.5%+1.5%
Q1 2017-4.7%-3.9%-10.2%
Q4 2016+14.1%+15.8%+18.6%
Q3 2016+4.6%+1.1%+10.5%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.6%-0.1%
Q1 2016+0.8%
Q4 2015+2.6%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015+4.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014-2.4%
Q1 2014-3.8%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q3 2013-4.5%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013+5.1%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012-5.8%
Q1 2012+6.5%
Q4 2009-2.4%
Q4 2011-2.4%
Q3 2011+3.0%
Q3 2010+3.0%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q2 2011-3.5%
Q1 2010-2.4%
Q1 2011-2.4%
Q4 2010-2.4%

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