NYSE$KTB

Kontoor Brands Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kontoor Brands' Q4 2019 results were reported, showing revenue decline due to transformational changes, but adjusted EPS exceeded expectations.

Kontoor Brands reported a revenue decrease of 10% to $653 million in Q4 2019, impacted by strategic quality-of-sales initiatives and a major U.S. retailer bankruptcy. Despite the revenue decline, adjusted EPS was $0.97, and adjusted operating margin increased to 13.1%.

  • GAAP EPS was $0.50, while adjusted EPS reached $0.97 for Q4 2019.
  • Revenue decreased to $653 million, a 10% year-over-year decline.
  • Adjusted operating margin increased 130 basis points to 13.1% of revenue.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 130 basis points to 14.2% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$653M

Previous: $2.76B-76.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.97

Previous: $0.91+6.6%
Capital Expenditures

$10.9M

Previous: $21M-48.1%
Free Cash Flow

$778M

Previous: -$163M+578.6%
Net Income

$28.8M

Previous: $51.9M-44.6%
Operating Income

$59M

Previous: $69.6M-15.2%
Gross Profit

$266M

Previous: $2.32B-88.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$107M

Previous: $96.8M+10.4%
Total Assets

$1.52B

Previous: $2.46B-38.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.05M

Previous: $882K+585.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Kontoor Brands · Revenue · Quarterly

$653M

Q4 2019-76.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 9 of 10 quarters(90%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kontoor Brands · $619M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Wrangler
    $417M-6.1%
  • Lee
    $202M-11.8%

Forward guidance

Kontoor Brands provided its outlook for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2021, excluding the impact of COVID-19. Revenue is expected to be largely consistent with full year 2019 adjusted revenue, with branded Wrangler® and Lee® revenue anticipated to increase low-single digits.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be largely consistent with full year 2019 adjusted revenue.
  • Branded Wrangler® and Lee® revenue are anticipated to increase low-single digits.
  • Gross margin is expected to be in the range of 41.0 percent to 41.5 percent.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $350 million to $360 million.
  • The total reduction in long-term debt for 2020 is anticipated to be in excess of $125 million.

Headwinds

  • Other non-strategic revenues are expected to decline double-digits.
  • The negative impact of 2019 strategic business exits, quality-of-sales initiatives and lower revenue associated with non-strategic lines of business is expected to contribute up to 3 points of headwind to full year 2020 revenue.
  • First half revenue is expected to decline.
  • 2020 includes an additional five months of interest expense that impacts full year adjusted EPS by approximately $0.23 compared with 2019 adjusted EPS.
  • Capital expenditures (including ERP) are expected to range between $55 million and $70 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.6%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

19 / 33 earnings

Positive

+18.6%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-17.3%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.4%-1.9%+21.2%
Q4 2025+18.6%+17.7%+6.5%
Q3 2025-9.4%-10.8%-3.3%
Q2 2025+12.4%+24.0%+41.5%
Q1 2025+1.5%+8.0%+7.3%
Q4 2024-13.5%+0.5%-25.7%
Q3 2024+6.6%+10.7%+19.9%
Q2 2024-1.5%-2.2%+6.7%
Q1 2024+5.6%+9.0%+18.0%
Q4 2023-6.8%-7.8%-5.0%
Q3 2023+6.3%+9.7%+19.2%
Q2 2023+16.6%+16.3%+13.7%
Q1 2023-7.9%-9.8%-9.4%
Q4 2022+18.5%+21.7%+9.1%
Q3 2022+10.8%+9.6%+30.7%
Q2 2022+2.1%-1.0%-3.0%
Q1 2022+2.9%+0.0%-2.2%
Q4 2021-3.0%-12.7%-16.5%
Q3 2021+1.5%+5.4%-5.2%
Q2 2021-0.7%-2.0%-6.4%
Q1 2021+0.9%-0.7%-1.3%
Q3 2020+5.3%+14.4%+38.2%
Q2 2020-2.1%+4.0%+13.7%
Q1 2020-8.1%-20.8%+16.2%
Q4 2017-17.3%-18.0%-37.1%
Q4 2019-3.3%-6.6%-60.1%
Q3 2018+1.0%-0.3%+8.5%
Q3 2019-5.8%-5.7%+0.6%
Q2 2018-4.7%+0.8%+11.6%
Q2 2019+16.0%+9.1%+21.5%
Q1 2019+0.5%-4.6%+7.7%
Q4 2018+0.5%-4.6%+7.7%
Q1 2018+0.5%-4.6%+7.7%

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