NYSE$KMX

CarMax Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CarMax's Q4 2024 earnings decreased slightly due to a decline in wholesale unit sales and gross profit, but was partially offset by growth in retail used unit sales and CAF income.

CarMax reported a slight decrease in net revenues for Q4 2024, with a decline of 1.7% compared to the prior year. Despite a decrease in wholesale unit sales, retail used unit sales increased by 1.3%. The company actively managed SG&A expenses and saw significant growth in CarMax Auto Finance (CAF) income.

  • Net revenues decreased by 1.7% year-over-year to $5.6 billion.
  • Retail used unit sales increased by 1.3%, while comparable store used unit sales increased by 0.1%.
  • Wholesale unit sales decreased by 4.0% compared to the prior year.
  • CAF income grew by 18.9% due to a lower provision for loan losses and an increase in average managed receivables.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.63B

Previous: $5.72B-1.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.44-27.3%
Wholesale vehicle unit sales

115.5K

Previous: 120.3K-4.0%
Used vehicle avg selling price

$26K

Previous: $26.6K-2.3%
Wholesale vehicle avg selling price

$8.03K

Previous: $8.3K-3.2%
Used vehicle gross profit

$387M

Previous: $2.28K+17009122.7%
Wholesale vehicle gross profit

$129M

Previous: $1.19K+10901332.2%
Used vehicle unit sales

172.1K

Previous: 169.9K+1.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$110M

Previous: $103M-206.4%
Net Income

$50.3M

Previous: $69M-27.2%
Operating Income

$65.5M

Previous: $82.6M-20.7%
Gross Profit

$586M

Previous: $611M-4.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$29.2M

Previous: $20.6M+41.8%

Revenue & EPS history

CarMax · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.63B

Q4 2024-1.7%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CarMax · $8.01B total across 3 segments · Q1 2027

  • Used vehicle sales
    $6.39B
  • Wholesale vehicle sales
    $1.43B
  • Other sales and revenues
    $195M

Forward guidance

CarMax anticipates investing between $500 million and $550 million in capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025, with a focus on long-term growth in offsite-reconditioning and auction facilities, as well as new store locations.

Tailwinds

  • Focus on profitable market share growth.
  • Maintaining goal to sell more than 2 million combined retail and wholesale units annually.
  • Expecting to achieve the $33 billion annual revenue target sooner than units due to higher average selling prices.
  • Planning new store growth of five locations, as well as our second stand-alone reconditioning center and one stand-alone auction facility.
  • Intending to modestly accelerate the pace of share repurchases.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty in the timing of market recovery.
  • Vehicle affordability challenges due to widespread inflationary pressures.
  • Higher interest rates.
  • Tightened lending standards.
  • Low consumer confidence.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

28 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.6%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-23.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027-8.5%
Q4 2026-3.4%-16.7%-23.0%
Q3 2026-4.5%-6.4%+18.9%
Q2 2026-19.9%-21.3%-22.4%
Q1 2026-3.4%-4.0%-10.8%
Q4 2025-17.0%-15.4%-17.4%
Q3 2025+3.5%+4.3%-3.0%
Q2 2025+3.8%+4.9%-3.3%
Q1 2025+2.6%+1.9%+12.1%
Q4 2024-9.9%-12.0%-9.6%
Q3 2024+2.5%+2.0%-7.4%
Q2 2024-11.2%-13.4%-24.1%
Q1 2024+3.7%+7.7%+6.3%
Q4 2023+4.1%+5.5%+9.7%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.8%+11.3%
Q2 2023-23.6%-20.8%-26.2%
Q1 2023+7.5%+2.0%+2.8%
Q4 2022-9.9%-11.0%-11.5%
Q3 2022-7.8%-6.9%-21.1%
Q2 2022-13.2%-13.8%-6.5%
Q1 2022+8.0%+8.1%+12.9%
Q4 2021-3.5%-4.8%+0.4%
Q3 2021-7.2%-8.1%+19.7%
Q2 2021-11.2%-12.1%-14.1%
Q1 2021-4.0%-8.6%-3.0%
Q4 2020-7.2%+10.8%+35.7%
Q3 2020-9.7%-10.1%-3.1%
Q2 2020-0.9%+0.7%+9.5%
Q1 2020-0.4%+1.4%+2.2%
Q4 2019+8.5%+11.8%+22.4%
Q3 2019+4.1%+10.3%+9.2%
Q2 2019-2.7%-2.9%-7.7%
Q1 2019+8.0%+4.6%+8.6%
Q4 2018+3.8%-2.0%+8.3%
Q3 2018-4.7%-4.3%+3.1%
Q2 2018+7.9%+9.5%+9.2%
Q1 2018+5.5%+7.0%+11.5%
Q4 2017-0.3%+1.0%+5.4%
Q3 2017+5.8%+2.7%+6.6%
Q2 2017-2.5%-3.9%-10.2%
Q1 2017-8.2%-8.5%+13.7%
Q4 2016-4.3%
Q3 2016-8.1%
Q2 2016-5.3%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015+8.1%
Q3 2015+12.1%
Q2 2015-8.2%
Q1 2015+14.6%
Q4 2014-8.2%
Q3 2014-10.6%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-1.3%
Q4 2013+8.4%
Q3 2013+8.5%
Q2 2013-8.4%
Q1 2013-7.8%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q4 2009+1.2%
Q3 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+7.1%
Q1 2011-3.9%
Q1 2012-3.9%
Q4 2011+4.4%
Q3 2011+2.3%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q2 2011-0.7%

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