NYSE$KMX

CarMax Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CarMax experienced a revenue decline due to decreased used vehicle sales, but maintained robust retail and wholesale margins through cost management.

CarMax reported a decrease in net revenues and earnings per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. While used vehicle sales declined, the company focused on profitable market share gains and cost management, which contributed to robust margins.

  • Net revenues decreased by 25.6% compared to the prior year fourth quarter, totaling $5.7 billion.
  • Retail used unit sales declined by 12.6%, with comparable store used unit sales down by 14.1%.
  • Gross profit per retail unit increased to $2,277, up $82 per unit versus last year.
  • SG&A expenses decreased by 7.7% due to active cost management.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.72B

Previous: $7.69B-25.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.98-55.1%
Wholesale vehicle unit sales

120.3K

Previous: 149.1K-19.3%
Used vehicle avg selling price

$26.6K

Previous: $29.3K-9.3%
Wholesale vehicle avg selling price

$8.3K

Previous: $11.5K-27.8%
Used vehicle gross profit

$2.28K

Previous: $2.2K+3.7%
Wholesale vehicle gross profit

$1.19K

Previous: $1.19K-0.3%
Other gross profit

$81.3M

No prior period
Used vehicle unit sales

169.9K

Previous: 194.3K-12.6%
Capital Expenditures

$103M

Previous: $81.6M+26.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$482M

Previous: -$548M+12.1%
Net Income

$69M

Previous: $160M-56.8%
Operating Income

$82.6M

Previous: $201M-58.9%
Gross Profit

$611M

Previous: $711M-14.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$315M

Previous: $103M+206.4%
Total Assets

$26.2B

Previous: $26.3B-0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$20.6M

Previous: $235K+8673.6%

Revenue & EPS history

CarMax · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.72B

Q4 2023-25.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CarMax · $5.72B total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • Used vehicle sales
    $4.53B-21.1%
  • Wholesale vehicle sales
    $1.03B-41.6%
  • Other sales and revenues
    $161M-11.4%

Forward guidance

CarMax is planning new store growth of five locations and expects capital expenditures of approximately $450 million in fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Low-single-digit gross profit growth expected to lever SG&A in fiscal year 2024.
  • Significant pricing moves should allow total interest margin to level off in fiscal year 2024.
  • CAF adjusted its underwriting standards, including reducing its targeted percentage of Tier 3 volume from 10% to 5%.
  • Company remains committed to returning capital back to shareholders over time and may resume share repurchases in the future.
  • Company affirms long-term financial targets

Headwinds

  • Vehicle affordability challenges continued to impact fourth quarter unit sales performance.
  • Headwinds remained due to widespread inflationary pressures, climbing interest rates, tightening lending standards and prolonged low consumer confidence.
  • CAF income decreased 36.1% to $123.9 million, driven by the decline in CAF’s net interest margin percentage and a $43.6 million year-over-year increase in the provision for loan losses
  • Total wholesale revenues decreased 41.6% compared with the prior year’s fourth quarter due to a decrease in the average wholesale selling price of approximately $3,200 per unit or 27.8% and the decrease in wholesale units sold.
  • Other sales and revenues declined by 11.4% compared with the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

28 / 69 earnings

Positive

+14.6%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-23.6%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027-8.5%
Q4 2026-3.4%-16.7%-23.0%
Q3 2026-4.5%-6.4%+18.9%
Q2 2026-19.9%-21.3%-22.4%
Q1 2026-3.4%-4.0%-10.8%
Q4 2025-17.0%-15.4%-17.4%
Q3 2025+3.5%+4.3%-3.0%
Q2 2025+3.8%+4.9%-3.3%
Q1 2025+2.6%+1.9%+12.1%
Q4 2024-9.9%-12.0%-9.6%
Q3 2024+2.5%+2.0%-7.4%
Q2 2024-11.2%-13.4%-24.1%
Q1 2024+3.7%+7.7%+6.3%
Q4 2023+4.1%+5.5%+9.7%
Q3 2023+1.3%+1.8%+11.3%
Q2 2023-23.6%-20.8%-26.2%
Q1 2023+7.5%+2.0%+2.8%
Q4 2022-9.9%-11.0%-11.5%
Q3 2022-7.8%-6.9%-21.1%
Q2 2022-13.2%-13.8%-6.5%
Q1 2022+8.0%+8.1%+12.9%
Q4 2021-3.5%-4.8%+0.4%
Q3 2021-7.2%-8.1%+19.7%
Q2 2021-11.2%-12.1%-14.1%
Q1 2021-4.0%-8.6%-3.0%
Q4 2020-7.2%+10.8%+35.7%
Q3 2020-9.7%-10.1%-3.1%
Q2 2020-0.9%+0.7%+9.5%
Q1 2020-0.4%+1.4%+2.2%
Q4 2019+8.5%+11.8%+22.4%
Q3 2019+4.1%+10.3%+9.2%
Q2 2019-2.7%-2.9%-7.7%
Q1 2019+8.0%+4.6%+8.6%
Q4 2018+3.8%-2.0%+8.3%
Q3 2018-4.7%-4.3%+3.1%
Q2 2018+7.9%+9.5%+9.2%
Q1 2018+5.5%+7.0%+11.5%
Q4 2017-0.3%+1.0%+5.4%
Q3 2017+5.8%+2.7%+6.6%
Q2 2017-2.5%-3.9%-10.2%
Q1 2017-8.2%-8.5%+13.7%
Q4 2016-4.3%
Q3 2016-8.1%
Q2 2016-5.3%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015+8.1%
Q3 2015+12.1%
Q2 2015-8.2%
Q1 2015+14.6%
Q4 2014-8.2%
Q3 2014-10.6%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-1.3%
Q4 2013+8.4%
Q3 2013+8.5%
Q2 2013-8.4%
Q1 2013-7.8%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q4 2009+1.2%
Q3 2012+2.0%
Q2 2012+7.1%
Q1 2011-3.9%
Q1 2012-3.9%
Q4 2011+4.4%
Q3 2011+2.3%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q2 2011-0.7%

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