NYSE$KMPR

Kemper Corporation · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kemper reported a net loss due to broad inflationary pressures impacting personal automobile margins. Rate increases are expected to offset environmental pressures and improve underwriting profitability.

Kemper Corporation reported a net loss of $74.7 million for the second quarter of 2022, compared to a net loss of $62.6 million for the second quarter of 2021. Adjusted Consolidated Net Operating Loss was $39.7 million, compared to $99.4 million in the prior year quarter. The results were impacted by broad inflationary pressures on Personal Automobile margins, though rate increases are expected to improve profitability in the future.

  • Personal Automobile margins impacted by broad inflationary pressures
  • Earned rate is accelerating and Q2 rate taking activities exceeded planned actions, with additional rate increases filed for Specialty and Preferred P&C Personal Auto
  • Commercial Vehicle showed strong momentum, with net written premiums growing 42% year-over-year
  • Life persistency continues to be above pre-pandemic levels, mortality remains elevated but declined from first quarter

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.43B

Previous: $1.51B-4.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.62

Previous: -$1.54+59.7%
Total Kemper Corporation Shareholders' Equity

$2.85B

No prior period
Book Value Per Share

$44.64

Previous: $67.67-34.0%
Net Income

-$74.7M

Previous: -$62.6M-19.3%
Operating Income

-$53.4M

Previous: -$136M+60.8%
Gross Profit

$264M

Previous: $284M-7.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$349M

Previous: $105M+231.7%
Total Assets

$14B

Previous: $15B-6.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Kemper · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.43B

Q2 2022-4.9%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kemper · $1.3B total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance
    $1.08B+2.5%
  • Life Insurance
    $220M+2.4%

Forward guidance

Kemper expects rate increases to offset ongoing environmental pressures and help achieve target underwriting profitability.

Tailwinds

  • Rate filing actions exceeded expectations outlined in the first quarter.
  • Rate actions are beginning to earn in and will accelerate throughout the remainder of this year and next.
  • Rate increases are expected to offset ongoing environmental pressures.
  • Target underwriting profitability is expected to be achieved.
  • Holding company remains a source of strength for subsidiaries with approximately $1.2B of liquidity.

Headwinds

  • Personal Automobile margins impacted by broad inflationary pressures.
  • Mortality remains elevated.
  • Decrease of $1,157.7 million, or 29 percent, since year-end 2021 primarily driven by a decrease in the fair value of the Company’s fixed income bond portfolio, a net operating loss, and cash dividends to shareholders.
  • Kemper ended the quarter with a book value per share of $44.64, a decrease of 29 percent from $62.93 at the end of 2021.
  • Underlying Combined Ratio increase is driven primarily by ongoing inflation and supply chain constraints.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+16.3%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.8%-6.2%-24.7%
Q4 2025-13.1%-15.6%-17.5%
Q3 2025-0.8%-3.4%-10.1%
Q1 2025+1.6%+5.4%+3.7%
Q4 2024+1.4%-2.1%-2.9%
Q3 2024-2.0%-1.4%+12.5%
Q2 2024-9.1%-5.3%-2.1%
Q1 2024+0.1%+3.7%+2.6%
Q4 2023-4.5%+12.0%+2.8%
Q3 2023-3.4%+1.9%+4.8%
Q2 2023-6.6%-6.3%-7.4%
Q1 2023+1.8%-2.9%+2.3%
Q4 2022+5.9%+4.2%+10.3%
Q3 2022+4.5%+17.7%+20.1%
Q2 2022-8.8%-6.6%-1.7%
Q1 2022+12.1%+5.5%+12.0%
Q4 2021-10.7%-10.7%-12.2%
Q3 2021-7.9%-7.2%-15.4%
Q2 2021-2.5%-7.3%+3.8%
Q1 2021-4.7%-3.2%-8.6%
Q4 2020-0.9%+1.9%+10.2%
Q3 2020+5.4%+5.1%+24.0%
Q2 2020+3.8%+8.1%-0.9%
Q1 2020+3.3%-5.2%+15.9%
Q4 2019+0.8%-0.1%-14.0%
Q3 2019+1.4%+2.1%+1.9%
Q2 2019-10.2%-7.9%-17.8%
Q1 2019+3.9%+4.9%-2.0%
Q4 2018+4.1%+7.3%+6.2%
Q3 2018+2.2%+1.4%-3.2%
Q2 2018+6.5%+6.5%+8.7%
Q1 2018+12.9%+16.7%+29.6%
Q4 2017-7.3%+1.9%-1.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+5.8%+14.9%
Q2 2017+13.4%+21.3%+22.0%
Q1 2017-1.6%-2.4%+4.2%
Q4 2016+5.5%+4.5%-2.8%
Q3 2016-1.5%+0.8%+13.0%
Q2 2016+12.2%+15.1%+10.4%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-20.1%
Q3 2015+16.3%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-7.3%
Q4 2013+1.7%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-3.7%
Q3 2012+0.9%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011+8.3%
Q2 2011-7.5%
Q1 2010-3.0%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010+7.3%
Q4 2008+7.3%
Q3 2009-0.4%
Q3 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-8.9%
Q2 2009-8.9%
Q2 2010-8.9%

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