NYSE$KMPR

Kemper Corporation · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kemper reported a net loss due to industry-related environmental challenges, including increased auto frequency and severity, and social inflation.

Kemper Corporation reported a net loss of $62.6 million for the second quarter of 2021, compared to a net income of $126.1 million for the same period in 2020. The results were impacted by higher claim frequency and severity trends in the Specialty P&C segment, as well as adverse prior year development. However, the company saw rising demand for its products and remains well-positioned for long-term growth.

  • Specialty P&C earned premiums increased 33% and policies-in-force grew ~19.4%, with AAC contributing 12.2% and 14.0% respectively.
  • Specialty P&C underlying combined ratio was 107.3%, due primarily to higher claim frequency and severity trends.
  • Specialty P&C experienced adverse prior year development of $81M, primarily driven by legal developments and increased severity in personal injury protection coverage in Florida.
  • The company repurchased shares worth $112 million and finalized the acquisition of AAC.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.51B

Previous: $1.23B+22.5%
EPS (adj)

-$1.54

Previous: $1.20-228.3%
Book Value Per Share

$67.67

Previous: $64.15+5.5%
Net Income

-$62.6M

Previous: $126M-149.6%
Operating Income

-$136M

Previous: $101M-235.4%
Gross Profit

$284M

Previous: $483M-41.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$105M

Previous: $389M-73.0%
Total Assets

$15B

Previous: $13.5B+10.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Kemper · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.51B

Q2 2021+22.5%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kemper · $1.27B total across 2 segments · Q2 2021

  • Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance
    $1.05B+35.3%
  • Life Insurance
    $215M+3.5%

Forward guidance

Kemper faces short-term challenges due to the faster-than-projected pandemic re-opening and social inflation impacts, but anticipates long-term growth through proactive corrective measures and rising demand for its products.

Tailwinds

  • Rising demand for products in specialty P&C with policies in force growing nearly 6% and direct written premium increasing 13%.
  • Life business continues to experience increased demand and historically strong policy retention.
  • Heightened level of mortality experienced earlier in the pandemic is beginning to subside, positioning the business for ongoing profitable growth.
  • Acquisition of American Access closed on April 1.
  • Roughly $160 million of shares repurchased through the end of the quarter, while maintaining a high level of financial flexibility.

Headwinds

  • Industry-related environmental challenges impacting earnings.
  • Significant increase in auto frequency and severity due to the pandemic’s re-opening.
  • Severity impacted by social inflation creeping into lower-limit policies.
  • Florida personal injury protection court rulings impacted multiple policy years.
  • Specialty P&C segment generated an as adjusted underwriting loss of $60 million and an as adjusted underlying combined ratio of 106%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+16.3%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-20.1%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-8.8%-6.2%-24.7%
Q4 2025-13.1%-15.6%-17.5%
Q3 2025-0.8%-3.4%-10.1%
Q1 2025+1.6%+5.4%+3.7%
Q4 2024+1.4%-2.1%-2.9%
Q3 2024-2.0%-1.4%+12.5%
Q2 2024-9.1%-5.3%-2.1%
Q1 2024+0.1%+3.7%+2.6%
Q4 2023-4.5%+12.0%+2.8%
Q3 2023-3.4%+1.9%+4.8%
Q2 2023-6.6%-6.3%-7.4%
Q1 2023+1.8%-2.9%+2.3%
Q4 2022+5.9%+4.2%+10.3%
Q3 2022+4.5%+17.7%+20.1%
Q2 2022-8.8%-6.6%-1.7%
Q1 2022+12.1%+5.5%+12.0%
Q4 2021-10.7%-10.7%-12.2%
Q3 2021-7.9%-7.2%-15.4%
Q2 2021-2.5%-7.3%+3.8%
Q1 2021-4.7%-3.2%-8.6%
Q4 2020-0.9%+1.9%+10.2%
Q3 2020+5.4%+5.1%+24.0%
Q2 2020+3.8%+8.1%-0.9%
Q1 2020+3.3%-5.2%+15.9%
Q4 2019+0.8%-0.1%-14.0%
Q3 2019+1.4%+2.1%+1.9%
Q2 2019-10.2%-7.9%-17.8%
Q1 2019+3.9%+4.9%-2.0%
Q4 2018+4.1%+7.3%+6.2%
Q3 2018+2.2%+1.4%-3.2%
Q2 2018+6.5%+6.5%+8.7%
Q1 2018+12.9%+16.7%+29.6%
Q4 2017-7.3%+1.9%-1.9%
Q3 2017+5.5%+5.8%+14.9%
Q2 2017+13.4%+21.3%+22.0%
Q1 2017-1.6%-2.4%+4.2%
Q4 2016+5.5%+4.5%-2.8%
Q3 2016-1.5%+0.8%+13.0%
Q2 2016+12.2%+15.1%+10.4%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015-20.1%
Q3 2015+16.3%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-7.3%
Q4 2013+1.7%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-3.7%
Q3 2012+0.9%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011+8.3%
Q2 2011-7.5%
Q1 2010-3.0%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010+7.3%
Q4 2008+7.3%
Q3 2009-0.4%
Q3 2010-0.4%
Q4 2009-8.9%
Q2 2009-8.9%
Q2 2010-8.9%

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