NYSE$INSW

International Seaways Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

International Seaways posted its highest quarterly EPS as a public company.

International Seaways reported a net income of $33.0 million, or $1.12 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020, compared to a net income of $10.9 million, or $0.37 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2019. Consolidated TCE revenues for the first quarter of 2020 were $119.7 million, compared to $94.0 million in the first quarter of 2019.

  • First quarter EPS was the highest as a public company.
  • Rate environment strengthened in the second quarter due to low oil prices and excess oil supply.
  • Company locked in four time charters with major oil producing and trading companies.
  • Company initiated a regular quarterly cash dividend and repurchased shares in the first quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$125M

Previous: $102M+23.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.49

Previous: $0.37+302.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$74.2M

Previous: $47.3M+56.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$208K

Previous: -$2.96M+93.0%
Free Cash Flow

$32.8M

Previous: $7.94M+313.5%
Net Income

$33M

Previous: $10.9M+203.0%
Operating Income

$53.3M

Previous: $19.3M+176.1%
Gross Profit

$125M

Previous: $102M+23.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$93.3M

Previous: $79.5M+17.3%
Total Assets

$1.74B

Previous: $1.89B-8.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.21M

Previous: $761K+58.5%

Revenue & EPS history

International Seaways · Revenue · Quarterly

$125M

Q1 2020+23%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

International Seaways · $120M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Crude Tankers
    $88.9M+22.5%
  • Product Carriers
    $30.9M+44.4%

Forward guidance

The second and third quarters of 2020 will likely be a stronger rate environment for tankers, due to excess crude supply and the resulting need for seaborne storage of crude oil and products, than 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Excess crude supply and the resulting need for seaborne storage of crude oil and products will lead to a stronger rate environment for tankers in Q2 and Q3 2020.
  • Total oil being produced is still substantially greater than global demand, continuing the need for tankers to be used as floating storage.
  • Increased delays offloading cargoes as shore-based storage fills up has supported a robust tanker rate environment.
  • Significant cash generation in the near term is expected.
  • Four VLCCs have been put on time charters for periods ranging from seven months to 36 months at current high rates.

Headwinds

  • When supply and demand eventually come back into balance, this could have negative repercussions for tankers as the oil held in inventory will supplant oil tanker transportation demand.
  • Tanker rates in the second quarter thus far have been highly volatile.
  • Extensive travel restrictions instituted in response to the COVID-19 pandemic poses challenges.
  • Shift scrubber installations on three of our modern VLCCs to 2021.
  • OPEC+ agreement in early April 2020 to cut production substantially beginning in May/June 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

68%

26 / 38 earnings

Positive

+10.3%

Q1 2021

Best reaction

-15.5%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.1%+3.0%-5.5%
Q4 2025+3.8%+8.8%+2.4%
Q3 2025+4.6%+6.0%+2.0%
Q1 2025+1.0%+6.5%+2.8%
Q4 2024-7.5%-5.8%-9.1%
Q3 2024-3.9%-6.5%-17.3%
Q2 2024-3.6%-2.8%-2.6%
Q1 2024+9.3%+8.9%+8.8%
Q4 2023+3.3%+1.0%+1.8%
Q3 2023-3.8%-3.0%-9.9%
Q2 2023+1.8%+1.8%-2.2%
Q1 2023+4.6%+8.9%+5.0%
Q4 2022+5.4%+8.7%-15.6%
Q3 2022+2.2%-3.0%-12.4%
Q2 2022+6.1%+12.1%+25.4%
Q1 2022+1.3%-7.4%+12.2%
Q4 2021+0.3%+3.2%+4.5%
Q3 2021-5.3%-1.0%-14.5%
Q2 2021+0.7%-0.3%+7.5%
Q1 2021+10.3%+5.7%+7.2%
Q4 2020+6.4%+7.1%-4.9%
Q3 2020+5.4%+7.7%+23.4%
Q2 2020+0.5%+7.2%-8.6%
Q1 2020+5.0%+4.0%+3.9%
Q4 2019-5.9%-7.0%+4.8%
Q3 2019+1.1%+6.2%+15.1%
Q2 2019+1.7%+3.8%+15.0%
Q1 2019+7.1%+7.6%-2.1%
Q4 2018+7.5%+7.1%+10.6%
Q3 2018-15.5%-21.8%-17.5%
Q2 2018-4.2%-5.4%-13.1%
Q1 2018-2.6%-1.2%+1.6%
Q4 2017+10.1%+12.7%+9.3%
Q3 2017-9.1%-16.2%-19.9%
Q2 2017-3.1%-6.1%-18.3%
Q1 2017+5.7%+0.5%-0.2%
Q4 2016-5.9%-6.1%-5.3%
Q3 2016+3.6%+24.0%+27.8%
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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