NYSE$HIPO

Hippo Holdings Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hippo demonstrated resilience and growth in Q3 2022, improving underwriting results and expanding customer base despite challenges.

Hippo Holdings showcased strong revenue growth and improved underwriting results in Q3 2022, despite facing challenges such as Hurricane Ian. The company's revenue increased by 44% year-over-year, and the gross loss ratio, excluding the impact of Hurricane Ian, improved significantly. Hippo's customer base grew to 332,000, with a focus on attracting 'Generation Better' homeowners. The company is focused on achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA by late 2024.

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $54.8 million, despite Hurricane Ian.
  • Total Generated Premium (TGP) increased by 36% year-over-year.
  • Revenue grew by 44% year-over-year, driven by commission income and Spinnaker's fronting business.
  • Gross Loss Ratio (GLR) improved to 58% excluding Hurricane Ian.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$30.7M

Previous: $21.3M+44.1%
EPS (adj)

-$3.24

Previous: -$2.00-62.0%
Net Loss Ratio

0.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.8M

Previous: -$100K-4700.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$134M

Previous: -$31M-332.3%
Net Income

-$129M

Previous: -$30.9M-318.1%
Operating Income

-$89.7M

Previous: -$22.9M-291.7%
Gross Profit

$15.1M

Previous: $14.2M+6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$677M

Previous: $779M-13.1%
Total Assets

$1.63B

Previous: $1.66B-1.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$17M

Previous: $4.5M+277.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Hippo Holdings · Revenue · Quarterly

$30.7M

Q3 2022+44.1%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Hippo anticipates a narrower Adjusted EBITDA loss in Q4 2022, expecting it to be below $50 million, with continued improvement in 2023 and a target to reach positive Adjusted EBITDA by late 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Continued improvement in Adjusted EBITDA results in Q4 2022 and into 2023.
  • Focus on achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA by late 2024.
  • Expansion of home care services with the launch of 'Book a Pro' feature.
  • Continued investment in technology and service capabilities to drive long-term growth.
  • Expects TGP growth over 30% for the full year 2022.

Headwinds

  • Unusual weather events could impact financial performance.
  • Inflationary pressures could dampen underwriting results.
  • Slowdown in housing markets could affect builder channel growth.
  • Intense competition in the insurance industry.
  • Potential risks related to proprietary technology and digital platform.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

14 / 22 earnings

Positive

+35.6%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-5.9%-10.3%
Q4 2025-5.3%-1.7%-12.3%
Q3 2025+5.5%-6.4%-15.2%
Q1 2025-15.9%-7.2%+13.4%
Q4 2024+2.3%-6.7%-23.3%
Q3 2024-3.3%+10.3%+69.8%
Q2 2024+18.5%+20.0%+15.9%
Q1 2024-0.1%-1.0%-3.9%
Q4 2023+27.6%+27.2%+66.3%
Q3 2023+35.6%+29.7%+23.7%
Q2 2023-22.0%-33.0%-29.3%
Q1 2023+7.1%+4.1%-9.2%
Q4 2022+0.1%-0.5%-2.2%
Q3 2022+4.1%-7.5%-9.4%
Q2 2022+10.9%+5.3%+15.6%
Q1 2022-17.2%-4.1%-26.6%
Q4 2021+1.0%-4.1%-2.6%
Q4 2020+2.0%-2.7%-30.1%
Q3 2021+2.0%-2.7%-30.1%
Q3 2020+2.0%-2.7%-30.1%
Q2 2021-11.8%-20.3%+2.7%
Q1 2021+0.2%+0.6%+0.8%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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