NYSE$EVH

Evolent Health Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Evolent Health's Q3 2024 performance was impacted by losses in the Performance Suite despite overall revenue growth and record new contract agreements.

Evolent Health reported a 21.6% increase in revenue to $621.4 million for Q3 2024, driven by strong demand for its complex specialty care solutions and a record six new contract agreements. However, the company experienced a net loss of $(31.2) million, with Adjusted EBITDA negatively impacted by losses in the Performance Suite due to higher paid claims in prior periods and a spike in oncology costs.

  • Revenue increased by 21.6% to $621.4 million compared to Q3 2023.
  • Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $(31.2) million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $31.8 million, with a margin of 5.1%.
  • Announced a record six new contract agreements, including a major oncology Performance Suite agreement.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$621M

Previous: $511M+21.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.04

Previous: $0.30-86.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.29M

Previous: -$6.79M+7.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$23.1M

Previous: -$25.3M+8.6%
Net Income

-$23.1M

Previous: -$25.3M+8.6%
Operating Income

-$16.3M

Previous: -$17.9M+9.3%
Gross Profit

$80.7M

Previous: $124M-35.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$96.6M

Previous: $185M-47.7%
Total Assets

$2.5B

Previous: $2.67B-6.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$14.4M

Previous: $10.2M+41.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Evolent Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$621M

Q3 2024+21.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Evolent Health · $92.7M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Cases
    $37.4M
  • Performance Suite
    $32.8M
  • Administrative Services
    $22.5M

Forward guidance

For Q4 2024, revenue is expected to be in the range of $642.0 million to $667.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $22.0 million to $37.0 million. For the full year 2024, revenue is expected to be approximately $2.55 billion to $2.575 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $160.0 million to $175.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be in the range of $642.0 million to $667.0 million for Q4 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $22.0 million to $37.0 million for Q4 2024.
  • Full year 2024 revenue is expected to be approximately $2.55 billion to $2.575 billion.
  • Full year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $160.0 million to $175.0 million.
  • Evolent continues to expect average annual revenue growth in excess of 15% and average Adjusted EBITDA growth of 20% on a long-term basis.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA result was negatively impacted by losses in Performance Suite.
  • Medical costs increased by $42 million in Q3 relative to expectations.
  • No longer expects to exit 2024 at an Adjusted EBITDA run rate of $300 million.
  • Significant shifts in medical expenses experienced in the managed care industry.
  • Cannot provide guidance for the more significant reconciling items between net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders of Evolent Health, Inc. and Adjusted EBITDA without unreasonable effort.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

32 / 49 earnings

Positive

+29.2%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-46.1%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+8.6%+9.9%
Q4 2025+25.0%+39.8%-13.7%
Q3 2025-17.5%-25.8%-34.3%
Q1 2025-16.2%-17.1%-22.7%
Q4 2024-2.6%-11.8%-10.6%
Q3 2024-46.1%-41.7%-55.0%
Q2 2024+29.2%+28.5%+49.3%
Q1 2024-10.3%-12.5%-13.9%
Q4 2023+13.8%+14.1%+8.3%
Q3 2023+13.5%+18.4%+20.4%
Q2 2023-7.5%-4.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023-4.3%-0.9%-11.4%
Q4 2022+9.1%+9.0%-4.4%
Q3 2022-10.8%-22.4%-1.2%
Q2 2022+4.9%+2.7%+6.2%
Q1 2022+0.9%-8.5%+4.0%
Q4 2021+13.9%+16.4%+34.8%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.3%-10.4%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.9%+13.5%
Q1 2021+8.2%+11.7%+5.2%
Q4 2020-3.1%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+15.3%+41.0%
Q2 2020+8.3%+8.8%+13.7%
Q1 2020+12.6%+11.4%-1.6%
Q4 2019-13.7%-18.2%-48.0%
Q3 2019+16.3%+29.7%-14.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+17.2%+13.4%
Q1 2019-1.3%+0.9%-34.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-8.8%-14.2%
Q3 2018+14.5%+10.8%-8.5%
Q2 2018+1.4%+5.0%+17.2%
Q1 2018+8.4%+12.8%+36.4%
Q4 2017+1.0%+5.5%-1.7%
Q3 2017-13.4%-27.5%-16.0%
Q2 2017-17.6%-23.7%-25.9%
Q1 2017+3.3%+5.0%+14.2%
Q4 2016+5.7%+1.2%+8.0%
Q3 2016-3.1%-9.7%-13.9%
Q2 2016+3.8%+9.6%+3.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q4 2015+14.6%
Q3 2014+12.0%
Q3 2015+11.8%
Q2 2014-8.5%
Q4 2014-8.5%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro