NYSE$EVH

Evolent Health Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Evolent Health's Q2 2021 performance reflected revenue increase, strategic acquisitions, and raised full-year guidance.

Evolent Health announced its Q2 2021 financial results with a revenue of $222.1 million, a net loss of $(9.1) million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $13.3 million. The company has raised its full-year 2021 guidance. They also entered into an agreement to acquire Vital Decisions and added new provider partnerships.

  • GAAP revenue reached $222.1 million, a 2.2% increase year-over-year.
  • Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $(9.1) million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $13.3 million from $10.5 million in the prior year.
  • Total lives managed reached 12.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$222M

Previous: $239M-6.9%
EPS (adj)

-$0.02

Previous: -$0.03+33.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.11M

Previous: -$204M+95.5%
Net Income

-$9.11M

Previous: -$204M+95.5%
Operating Income

-$7.67M

Previous: -$227M+96.6%
Gross Profit

$205M

Previous: $0.00
Cash & Equivalents

$207M

Previous: $98.3M+110.9%
Total Assets

$1.29B

Previous: $1.27B+1.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.65M

Previous: $3.7M-1.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Evolent Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$222M

Q2 2021-6.9%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Evolent Health · $92.7M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Cases
    $37.4M
  • Performance Suite
    $32.8M
  • Administrative Services
    $22.5M

Forward guidance

Evolent Health expects revenue to be in the range of $870 million to $900 million and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $50 million to $58 million for the year ending December 31, 2021. For the third quarter 2021, revenue is expected to be in the range of $215 million to $230 million and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $11 million to $15 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue for the year ending December 31, 2021 is expected to be in the range of approximately $870 million to $900 million.
  • Previous revenue guidance was $845 million to $880 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $50 million to $58 million.
  • Previous Adjusted EBITDA guidance was $42 million to $52 million.
  • For the three months ending September 30, 2021, revenue is expected to be in the range of approximately $215 million to $230 million.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $11 million to $15 million for the three months ending September 30, 2021.
  • Actual results may differ materially.
  • Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations are set forth in Evolent Health, Inc.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Uncertainty in the health care regulatory framework, including the potential impact of policy changes
  • Risks related to completed and future acquisitions, investments, alliances and joint ventures

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

32 / 49 earnings

Positive

+29.2%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-46.1%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+8.6%+9.9%
Q4 2025+25.0%+39.8%-13.7%
Q3 2025-17.5%-25.8%-34.3%
Q1 2025-16.2%-17.1%-22.7%
Q4 2024-2.6%-11.8%-10.6%
Q3 2024-46.1%-41.7%-55.0%
Q2 2024+29.2%+28.5%+49.3%
Q1 2024-10.3%-12.5%-13.9%
Q4 2023+13.8%+14.1%+8.3%
Q3 2023+13.5%+18.4%+20.4%
Q2 2023-7.5%-4.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023-4.3%-0.9%-11.4%
Q4 2022+9.1%+9.0%-4.4%
Q3 2022-10.8%-22.4%-1.2%
Q2 2022+4.9%+2.7%+6.2%
Q1 2022+0.9%-8.5%+4.0%
Q4 2021+13.9%+16.4%+34.8%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.3%-10.4%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.9%+13.5%
Q1 2021+8.2%+11.7%+5.2%
Q4 2020-3.1%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+15.3%+41.0%
Q2 2020+8.3%+8.8%+13.7%
Q1 2020+12.6%+11.4%-1.6%
Q4 2019-13.7%-18.2%-48.0%
Q3 2019+16.3%+29.7%-14.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+17.2%+13.4%
Q1 2019-1.3%+0.9%-34.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-8.8%-14.2%
Q3 2018+14.5%+10.8%-8.5%
Q2 2018+1.4%+5.0%+17.2%
Q1 2018+8.4%+12.8%+36.4%
Q4 2017+1.0%+5.5%-1.7%
Q3 2017-13.4%-27.5%-16.0%
Q2 2017-17.6%-23.7%-25.9%
Q1 2017+3.3%+5.0%+14.2%
Q4 2016+5.7%+1.2%+8.0%
Q3 2016-3.1%-9.7%-13.9%
Q2 2016+3.8%+9.6%+3.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q4 2015+14.6%
Q3 2014+12.0%
Q3 2015+11.8%
Q2 2014-8.5%
Q4 2014-8.5%

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