NYSE$EVH

Evolent Health Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Evolent Health's Q2 2024 financial results were announced, featuring revenue growth and consistent profitability.

Evolent Health reported a 37.9% increase in revenue to $647.1 million compared to the same quarter last year. The company experienced a net loss of $(6.4) million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $52.0 million. Evolent has narrowed its revenue outlook for the full year 2024 and provided updated Adjusted EBITDA guidance, while reiterating confidence in achieving $300 million in Adjusted EBITDA run rate exiting 2024.

  • Revenue increased by 37.9% year-over-year, reaching $647.1 million.
  • Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $(6.4) million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $52.0 million, resulting in an 8.0% margin.
  • Company narrows revenue outlook and provides updated Adjusted EBITDA guidance for full year 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$647M

Previous: $469M+37.9%
EPS

-$0.06

Previous: $0.14-142.9%
Average Unique Members

39.9K

Previous: 41.8M-99.9%
Cases

0

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7.11M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$1.6M

Previous: -$34.3M+104.6%
Net Income

$1.6M

Previous: -$34.3M+104.6%
Operating Income

$7.79M

Previous: -$21.6M+136.1%
Gross Profit

$107M

Previous: $117M-8.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$101M

Previous: $143M-29.0%
Total Assets

$2.48B

Previous: $2.65B-6.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.7M

Previous: $8.97M+41.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Evolent Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$647M

Q2 2024+37.9%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Evolent Health · $92.7M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Cases
    $37.4M
  • Performance Suite
    $32.8M
  • Administrative Services
    $22.5M

Forward guidance

For Q3 2024, revenue is expected to be between $615.0 million and $635.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $60.0 million and $68.0 million. For the full year 2024, revenue is expected to be approximately $2.56 billion to $2.60 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $230.0 million and $245.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Disease prevalence and acuity to remain stable at the average levels of the first half of 2024.
  • The capture of anticipated rate increases expected to go live in the third quarter.
  • Continuing to successfully execute as expected on the underlying maturation of the Performance Suite revenue portfolio.
  • The go-live of announced new business.
  • Company continues to forecast greater than $150 million in operating cash flow for 2024.

Headwinds

  • Revenue outlook for Q3 2024 is impacted by an expected one-time true-down related to the narrower risk scope in certain markets.
  • Beginning in August, the company is reallocating certain engineering expenses towards the Machinify roll out, which will have a temporary effect of lowering the software capitalization rate and increasing operating expenses by $5 million, primarily in the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • This temporary shift of dollars from capitalized expenses to operating expenses is expected to reduce Adjusted EBITDA.
  • The company prioritized setting the appropriate rates for the balance of 2024 and for 2025 over retrospective rate increases based on the partnership dynamics with payers under pressure.
  • Actual results may differ materially due to various risks and uncertainties.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

32 / 49 earnings

Positive

+29.2%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-46.1%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+8.6%+9.9%
Q4 2025+25.0%+39.8%-13.7%
Q3 2025-17.5%-25.8%-34.3%
Q1 2025-16.2%-17.1%-22.7%
Q4 2024-2.6%-11.8%-10.6%
Q3 2024-46.1%-41.7%-55.0%
Q2 2024+29.2%+28.5%+49.3%
Q1 2024-10.3%-12.5%-13.9%
Q4 2023+13.8%+14.1%+8.3%
Q3 2023+13.5%+18.4%+20.4%
Q2 2023-7.5%-4.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023-4.3%-0.9%-11.4%
Q4 2022+9.1%+9.0%-4.4%
Q3 2022-10.8%-22.4%-1.2%
Q2 2022+4.9%+2.7%+6.2%
Q1 2022+0.9%-8.5%+4.0%
Q4 2021+13.9%+16.4%+34.8%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.3%-10.4%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.9%+13.5%
Q1 2021+8.2%+11.7%+5.2%
Q4 2020-3.1%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+15.3%+41.0%
Q2 2020+8.3%+8.8%+13.7%
Q1 2020+12.6%+11.4%-1.6%
Q4 2019-13.7%-18.2%-48.0%
Q3 2019+16.3%+29.7%-14.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+17.2%+13.4%
Q1 2019-1.3%+0.9%-34.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-8.8%-14.2%
Q3 2018+14.5%+10.8%-8.5%
Q2 2018+1.4%+5.0%+17.2%
Q1 2018+8.4%+12.8%+36.4%
Q4 2017+1.0%+5.5%-1.7%
Q3 2017-13.4%-27.5%-16.0%
Q2 2017-17.6%-23.7%-25.9%
Q1 2017+3.3%+5.0%+14.2%
Q4 2016+5.7%+1.2%+8.0%
Q3 2016-3.1%-9.7%-13.9%
Q2 2016+3.8%+9.6%+3.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q4 2015+14.6%
Q3 2014+12.0%
Q3 2015+11.8%
Q2 2014-8.5%
Q4 2014-8.5%

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