NYSE$EVH

Evolent Health Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Evolent Health's Q1 2024 financial results were announced, demonstrating revenue growth and strategic advancements.

Evolent Health reported a 49.6% increase in revenue to $639.7 million for Q1 2024. The company is raising its revenue outlook for the full year 2024 and reiterating its full year Adjusted EBITDA guidance. The net loss attributable to common shareholders was $(25.2) million, with an Adjusted EBITDA of $54.1 million.

  • Revenue increased by 49.6% to $639.7 million compared to Q1 2023.
  • Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $(25.2) million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $54.1 million, with a margin of 8.5%.
  • The company raised its revenue outlook for the full year 2024 and reiterated its full year Adjusted EBITDA guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$640M

Previous: $428M+49.6%
EPS

-$0.22

Previous: $0.21-204.8%
Average Unique Members

39.9K

Previous: 41.3M-99.9%
Perf. Suite Lives

7.0K

No prior period
Specialty Suite Lives

72.3K

No prior period
Admin Services Lives

1.3K

No prior period
Cases

15

No prior period
Perf. Suite PMPM

$21.19

No prior period
Specialty Suite PMPM

$0.41

No prior period
Admin Services PMPM

$15.57

No prior period
Revenue per Case

$2.85K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$5.35M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$17.3M

Previous: -$26.3M+34.2%
Net Income

-$17.3M

Previous: -$26.3M+34.2%
Operating Income

-$13.4M

Previous: -$10.4M-29.5%
Gross Profit

$104M

Previous: $117M-11.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$165M

Previous: $158M+4.8%
Total Assets

$2.64B

Previous: $2.59B+2.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.8M

Previous: $10.7M+75.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Evolent Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$640M

Q1 2024+49.6%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Evolent Health · $92.7M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Cases
    $37.4M
  • Performance Suite
    $32.8M
  • Administrative Services
    $22.5M

Forward guidance

For Q2 2024, revenue is expected to be in the range of $625.0 million to $645.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $48.0 million to $62.0 million. For the full year 2024, revenue is expected to be in the range of $2.53 billion to $2.60 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $235.0 million to $265.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be in the range of approximately $625.0 million to $645.0 million for Q2 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $48.0 million to $62.0 million for Q2 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to be in the range of approximately $2.53 billion to $2.60 billion for the year ending December 31, 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of approximately $235.0 million to $265.0 million for the year ending December 31, 2024.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities is expected to exceed $150 million for the year ending December 31, 2024.

Headwinds

  • The wide range for its second quarter outlook for Adjusted EBITDA is driven by higher leading indicator volume in certain Performance Suite contracts in Q1.
  • Lower claims visibility from partners in part due to the Change Healthcare cyber-attack.
  • These variables resulted in increased conservatism for Q2 guidance.
  • Uncertainty in the health care regulatory framework, including the potential impact of policy changes.
  • Increasing inflationary pressures and economic and business conditions and the impact thereof on the economy resulting from public health emergencies, epidemics, pandemics or contagious diseases.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

32 / 49 earnings

Positive

+29.2%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-46.1%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.5%+8.6%+9.9%
Q4 2025+25.0%+39.8%-13.7%
Q3 2025-17.5%-25.8%-34.3%
Q1 2025-16.2%-17.1%-22.7%
Q4 2024-2.6%-11.8%-10.6%
Q3 2024-46.1%-41.7%-55.0%
Q2 2024+29.2%+28.5%+49.3%
Q1 2024-10.3%-12.5%-13.9%
Q4 2023+13.8%+14.1%+8.3%
Q3 2023+13.5%+18.4%+20.4%
Q2 2023-7.5%-4.6%-14.2%
Q1 2023-4.3%-0.9%-11.4%
Q4 2022+9.1%+9.0%-4.4%
Q3 2022-10.8%-22.4%-1.2%
Q2 2022+4.9%+2.7%+6.2%
Q1 2022+0.9%-8.5%+4.0%
Q4 2021+13.9%+16.4%+34.8%
Q3 2021+3.4%+0.3%-10.4%
Q2 2021+3.5%+2.9%+13.5%
Q1 2021+8.2%+11.7%+5.2%
Q4 2020-3.1%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2020+6.9%+15.3%+41.0%
Q2 2020+8.3%+8.8%+13.7%
Q1 2020+12.6%+11.4%-1.6%
Q4 2019-13.7%-18.2%-48.0%
Q3 2019+16.3%+29.7%-14.4%
Q2 2019+9.3%+17.2%+13.4%
Q1 2019-1.3%+0.9%-34.6%
Q4 2018-3.5%-8.8%-14.2%
Q3 2018+14.5%+10.8%-8.5%
Q2 2018+1.4%+5.0%+17.2%
Q1 2018+8.4%+12.8%+36.4%
Q4 2017+1.0%+5.5%-1.7%
Q3 2017-13.4%-27.5%-16.0%
Q2 2017-17.6%-23.7%-25.9%
Q1 2017+3.3%+5.0%+14.2%
Q4 2016+5.7%+1.2%+8.0%
Q3 2016-3.1%-9.7%-13.9%
Q2 2016+3.8%+9.6%+3.1%
Q1 2015+0.7%
Q1 2016+14.5%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q2 2015+3.9%
Q4 2015+14.6%
Q3 2014+12.0%
Q3 2015+11.8%
Q2 2014-8.5%
Q4 2014-8.5%

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