NYSE$ESNT

Essent Group · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Essent Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Essent reported a revenue increase of 5.98% year-over-year, driven by a strong rise in investment income. However, net income declined due to higher loss provisions. Operating margin decreased as underwriting expenses rose.

  • Revenue increased by 5.98% YoY to $315,027,000.
  • Net income declined 4.25% YoY due to higher provisions for losses.
  • Operating margin fell to 38.0%, down from 42.1% YoY.
  • Investment income grew by 11.8% YoY, contributing to overall revenue growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$315M

Previous: $297M+6.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.58

Previous: $1.64-3.7%
New Insurance Written

$12.2B

Previous: $8.8B+38.9%
Insurance in Force

$244B

Previous: $239B+1.9%
Provision for Losses and LAE

$41M

Previous: $19.6M+108.6%
Loss Ratio

17.6%

Previous: 7.9%+122.8%
Expense Ratio

17.7%

Previous: 27.0%-34.4%
Combined Ratio

35.3%

Previous: 34.9%+1.1%
Net Premiums Earned

$244M

No prior period
Net Investment Income

$56.6M

No prior period
Reserve for Losses and LAE

$310M

No prior period
Unearned Premium Reserve

$116M

No prior period
Total Liabilities

$1.51B

No prior period
Total Stockholders' Equity

$5.6B

No prior period
Return on Average Equity

13.6%

No prior period
Loans in Default

18.4K

No prior period
Default Rate

2.3%

No prior period
Avg Reserve per Default (Total)

$16.8K

No prior period
Net Income

$168M

Previous: $175M-4.3%
Operating Income

$0.00

Previous: $203M-100.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Essent · Revenue · Quarterly

$315M

Q4 2024+6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Essent expects stable revenue growth in 2025, supported by investment income and strong credit performance. However, higher claims and macroeconomic factors remain risks.

Tailwinds

  • Projected revenue growth of 3% in FY 2025.
  • Investment income expected to remain strong.
  • Continued capital returns through share repurchases and dividends.
  • Stable credit performance in the mortgage insurance portfolio.
  • Expansion of reinsurance partnerships to manage risk effectively.

Headwinds

  • Potential for increased mortgage defaults due to economic conditions.
  • Higher loss provisions may continue into 2025.
  • Rising interest rates could impact mortgage demand.
  • Regulatory changes may affect the mortgage insurance market.
  • Potential volatility in investment income due to market fluctuations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

32 / 49 earnings

Positive

+7.2%

Q2 2014

Best reaction

-9.8%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.1%-2.7%-6.8%
Q4 2025-6.4%-6.7%-11.5%
Q3 2025+0.6%+1.2%+1.8%
Q1 2025-0.4%-0.4%-1.5%
Q4 2024-2.6%+0.3%-4.3%
Q3 2024-9.8%-6.0%-3.7%
Q2 2024-4.4%-4.2%+5.0%
Q1 2024+2.7%+3.2%+4.5%
Q4 2023+0.3%-1.3%+2.0%
Q3 2023+2.7%+1.8%+2.6%
Q2 2023+4.1%+3.0%-0.7%
Q1 2023+5.0%+6.3%+12.6%
Q4 2022+2.5%+3.1%-6.1%
Q3 2022+0.9%-2.4%+3.5%
Q2 2022+0.2%+0.4%-8.8%
Q1 2022-0.7%-2.3%+2.1%
Q4 2021-0.5%+2.3%-10.5%
Q3 2021+1.6%-0.2%-9.8%
Q2 2021+2.4%+3.6%+1.3%
Q1 2021-2.5%-6.8%-4.1%
Q4 2020-0.2%-0.3%+0.3%
Q3 2020+5.2%+3.1%+9.4%
Q2 2020+4.0%+3.7%+3.7%
Q1 2020-1.2%-11.5%+30.4%
Q4 2019-5.1%-9.0%-27.6%
Q3 2019+1.3%+2.8%+2.4%
Q2 2019-1.2%+1.3%+6.9%
Q1 2019+1.7%-2.4%-2.0%
Q4 2018+0.8%+4.7%+3.8%
Q3 2018-3.0%-3.5%-13.3%
Q2 2018+5.3%+7.3%+13.4%
Q1 2018+5.5%+4.1%+2.6%
Q4 2017+3.1%+9.4%+9.8%
Q3 2017-0.5%+1.3%+11.4%
Q2 2017+5.9%+1.7%+1.6%
Q1 2017-5.4%-0.2%-0.5%
Q4 2016+1.7%+0.4%-3.1%
Q3 2016+4.8%+8.5%+20.9%
Q2 2016+6.9%+10.5%+11.8%
Q1 2016+4.8%
Q4 2015+1.4%
Q3 2015+2.4%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014+0.6%
Q3 2014+0.2%
Q2 2014+7.2%
Q1 2014+3.8%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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