NYSE$ESI

Element Solutions Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced record fourth quarter and full year financial results since its launch in 2019.

Element Solutions reported a record fourth quarter in net sales and adjusted EBITDA since its launch in February 2019, driven by strong demand in its high-end electronics business and recovery in its industrially oriented businesses. Net sales increased by 18% and organic net sales increased by 10%. Adjusted EPS was $0.31, as compared to $0.22 per share in the prior year.

  • Net sales on a reported basis for the fourth quarter of 2020 were $537 million, an increase of 18% over the fourth quarter of 2019. Organic net sales increased 10%.
  • GAAP diluted EPS was $0.12, as compared to $0.29 in the same period last year.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.31, as compared to $0.22 per share in the prior year.
  • Reported net income for the fourth quarter of 2020 was $30 million, as compared to $74 million for the fourth quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$537M

Previous: $455M+18.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.31

Previous: $0.22+40.9%
Total Organic Net Sales Growth

10.0%

Previous: -4.0%+350.0%
Electronics Organic Net Sales Growth

16.0%

Previous: -4.0%+500.0%
Capital Expenditures

$7.1M

Previous: $11.5M-38.3%
Free Cash Flow

$269M

No prior period
Net Income

$30M

Previous: $74M-59.5%
Operating Income

$80M

Previous: $81.6M-2.0%
Gross Profit

$223M

Previous: $191M+16.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$292M

Previous: $190M+53.6%
Total Assets

$4.48B

Previous: $4.32B+3.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$600K

Previous: $11.8M-94.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Element Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$537M

Q4 2020+18%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Element Solutions · $536M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Electronics
    $343M+26.1%
  • Specialties
    $193M+5.5%

Forward guidance

For the full year 2021, the Company expects adjusted EBITDA growth of approximately 7% and adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.10 to $1.15. Growth in the first half should be greater than the second half as we lap the negative impact of COVID, which was greatest in the second quarter of 2020. Full year free cash flow generation should be a record this year as well, providing flexibility for additional capital deployment toward some combination of prudent tuck-in acquisitions, share buybacks, and potentially increased dividends.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA growth of approximately 7% year-on-year
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.10 to $1.15, an increase of 15% to 20%
  • 2021 expected free cash flow of approximately $275 million
  • Growth in the first half should be greater than the second half as we lap the negative impact of COVID, which was greatest in the second quarter of 2020
  • Full year free cash flow generation should be a record this year as well, providing flexibility for additional capital deployment toward some combination of prudent tuck-in acquisitions, share buybacks, and potentially increased dividends.

Headwinds

  • Evolving macroeconomic factors, including general economic uncertainty, unemployment rates, and recessionary pressures
  • Decreased consumer spending levels
  • Reduction or changes in customer demand for the Company's products and services
  • Increased operating costs (whether as a results of changes to the Company's supply chain or increases in employee costs or otherwise)
  • Additional and prolonged devaluation of other countries' currencies relative to the U.S. dollar

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

26 / 50 earnings

Positive

+14.9%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+10.3%+9.4%
Q4 2025+4.2%+11.9%-3.9%
Q3 2025+0.7%+3.4%-1.1%
Q1 2025+7.2%+5.3%+11.3%
Q4 2024+4.4%-0.5%-4.4%
Q3 2024+2.7%+0.9%+5.6%
Q2 2024-3.1%-6.6%-2.6%
Q1 2024-3.0%-0.1%-0.4%
Q4 2023-3.6%-2.0%+3.2%
Q3 2023-0.3%-0.8%+12.3%
Q2 2023+3.6%+5.4%+1.6%
Q1 2023+1.7%+4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2022+1.1%+2.0%-8.8%
Q3 2022-1.2%-2.7%+10.0%
Q2 2022+2.4%+4.9%+1.6%
Q1 2022+5.4%+1.9%+5.3%
Q4 2021-1.4%+4.4%-6.2%
Q3 2021+0.4%+0.9%+6.7%
Q2 2021+0.6%+0.9%+0.7%
Q1 2021+4.4%+6.6%+13.8%
Q4 2020-3.4%+5.1%+4.0%
Q3 2020-6.9%-4.2%+14.0%
Q2 2020-2.4%-0.6%-4.9%
Q1 2020+1.1%+3.1%+10.2%
Q4 2019-3.0%+0.5%-24.8%
Q3 2019+2.2%+3.3%-3.4%
Q2 2019+1.3%+1.3%+0.1%
Q1 2019+3.4%+2.9%-12.9%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.9%-14.7%
Q3 2018+1.0%+1.7%+8.8%
Q2 2018+0.7%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018+1.0%+1.9%+17.7%
Q4 2017-1.2%+2.7%-8.9%
Q3 2017-2.0%-1.6%-9.5%
Q2 2017-7.4%-9.3%-16.2%
Q1 2017-2.3%-2.0%-7.5%
Q4 2016+1.3%-0.2%-1.5%
Q3 2016+14.9%+18.9%+28.4%
Q2 2016-2.8%-5.5%+1.2%
Q1 2016+8.9%
Q4 2015-1.3%
Q3 2015-6.6%
Q2 2015-9.9%
Q1 2015-5.8%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+1.5%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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