NYSE$ESI

Element Solutions Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Element Solutions' financial performance reflected a decrease in net sales but an increase in adjusted EPS and EBITDA, despite challenges posed by COVID-19.

Element Solutions reported a decrease in net sales by 2% to $453 million, but an increase in adjusted EPS by 25% to $0.25 and adjusted EBITDA by 14% to $110 million. The company generated $51 million in free cash flow and repurchased approximately 3.7 million shares of common stock. The company expects adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of between $70 million and $75 million.

  • Net sales decreased by 2% year-over-year to $453 million, with organic sales down 3%.
  • Adjusted EPS increased by 25% to $0.25, compared to $0.20 in the same period last year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew by 14% to $110 million, with margin expansion of over 300 basis points.
  • Free cash flow generation was strong at $51 million, despite an increase in working capital for safety stocks.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$453M

Previous: $460M-1.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.25

Previous: $0.20+25.0%
Total Organic Net Sales Growth

-3.0%

No prior period
Electronics Organic Net Sales Growth

-2.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$10.5M

Previous: -$6.7M-56.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.9M

Previous: $17.2M-111.0%
Net Income

$8.6M

Previous: $23.9M-64.0%
Operating Income

$54.6M

Previous: $45.1M+21.1%
Gross Profit

$197M

Previous: $198M-0.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$497M

Previous: $230M+115.9%
Total Assets

$4.56B

Previous: $4.57B-0.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Element Solutions · Revenue · Quarterly

$453M

Q1 2020-1.6%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Element Solutions · $453M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Electronics
    $269M+1.2%
  • Specialties
    $184M-5.1%

Forward guidance

The Company expects adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $70 million to $75 million for the second quarter of 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Variable cost model should preserve profitability
  • Diversification should preserve profitability
  • Variable cost model should preserve cash flow generation
  • Diversification should preserve cash flow generation
  • Expect to continue to outperform against end-markets

Headwinds

  • Many of customers’ supply chains have largely shut down in the Americas and Europe
  • Economic indicators are increasingly negative
  • Impact of COVID-19 on the Company's adjusted EBITDA cannot be accurately predicted or quantified
  • The unknowable impact of COVID-19 makes it difficult to forecast
  • Current economic conditions persist into the second half of this year, should be baseline expectations for third quarter adjusted EBITDA as well.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

26 / 50 earnings

Positive

+14.9%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-9.9%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+10.3%+9.4%
Q4 2025+4.2%+11.9%-3.9%
Q3 2025+0.7%+3.4%-1.1%
Q1 2025+7.2%+5.3%+11.3%
Q4 2024+4.4%-0.5%-4.4%
Q3 2024+2.7%+0.9%+5.6%
Q2 2024-3.1%-6.6%-2.6%
Q1 2024-3.0%-0.1%-0.4%
Q4 2023-3.6%-2.0%+3.2%
Q3 2023-0.3%-0.8%+12.3%
Q2 2023+3.6%+5.4%+1.6%
Q1 2023+1.7%+4.5%+6.0%
Q4 2022+1.1%+2.0%-8.8%
Q3 2022-1.2%-2.7%+10.0%
Q2 2022+2.4%+4.9%+1.6%
Q1 2022+5.4%+1.9%+5.3%
Q4 2021-1.4%+4.4%-6.2%
Q3 2021+0.4%+0.9%+6.7%
Q2 2021+0.6%+0.9%+0.7%
Q1 2021+4.4%+6.6%+13.8%
Q4 2020-3.4%+5.1%+4.0%
Q3 2020-6.9%-4.2%+14.0%
Q2 2020-2.4%-0.6%-4.9%
Q1 2020+1.1%+3.1%+10.2%
Q4 2019-3.0%+0.5%-24.8%
Q3 2019+2.2%+3.3%-3.4%
Q2 2019+1.3%+1.3%+0.1%
Q1 2019+3.4%+2.9%-12.9%
Q4 2018-4.6%-2.9%-14.7%
Q3 2018+1.0%+1.7%+8.8%
Q2 2018+0.7%+1.8%+9.0%
Q1 2018+1.0%+1.9%+17.7%
Q4 2017-1.2%+2.7%-8.9%
Q3 2017-2.0%-1.6%-9.5%
Q2 2017-7.4%-9.3%-16.2%
Q1 2017-2.3%-2.0%-7.5%
Q4 2016+1.3%-0.2%-1.5%
Q3 2016+14.9%+18.9%+28.4%
Q2 2016-2.8%-5.5%+1.2%
Q1 2016+8.9%
Q4 2015-1.3%
Q3 2015-6.6%
Q2 2015-9.9%
Q1 2015-5.8%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+1.5%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+3.6%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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