NYSE$ECL

Ecolab Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ecolab's Q4 2019 earnings were released, showcasing an 8% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share, driven by better pricing, new business gains, product innovation, and cost efficiencies, which offset investments and a Healthcare product recall.

Ecolab reported a 2% increase in sales and an 8% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share for Q4 2019. The company's performance was driven by pricing, lower product costs, and cost efficiency actions, which offset investments and a Healthcare product recall. The company expects another strong earnings year in 2020, despite a challenging environment.

  • Reported diluted EPS increased by 9% to $1.47.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS grew by 8% to $1.66, excluding special gains, charges, and discrete tax items.
  • Acquisition adjusted fixed currency sales increased by 1%, with growth in Industrial, Institutional, and Other segments offset by a 3% decline in Energy.
  • Adjusted fixed currency operating margin expanded by 60 bps, driven by double-digit income growth in Industrial and Energy segments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.82B

Previous: $3.76B+1.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.69

Previous: $1.54+9.7%
Reported GAAP operating income margin

14.7%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$250M

Previous: $213M+17.5%
Free Cash Flow

$571M

Previous: $614M-7.1%
Net Income

$430M

Previous: $395M+8.7%
Operating Income

$560M

Previous: $582M-3.7%
Gross Profit

$1.61B

Previous: $1.54B+4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$119M

Previous: $63.9M+85.9%
Total Assets

$20.9B

Previous: $20.1B+4.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$17.9M

Previous: $18.9M-5.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Ecolab · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.82B

Q4 2019+1.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ecolab · $1.55B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Global Institutional & Specialty
    $1.32B
  • Global Pest Elimination
    $225M

Forward guidance

Ecolab expects full year 2020 adjusted diluted earnings per share in the $6.33 to $6.53 range, rising 9% to 12% over 2019. This forecast includes an estimated unfavorable $0.05 per share impact from the effects of the coronavirus outbreak in the first quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Improving volume gains and continued pricing benefit sales.
  • Improving adjusted gross margin reflecting volume gains, pricing, flattish delivered product costs and cost efficiency actions.
  • Lower SG&A ratio to sales.
  • A similar adjusted tax rate versus 2019.
  • Strong underlying new business momentum and innovation pipeline.

Headwinds

  • An estimated unfavorable $0.05 per share impact from the effects of the coronavirus outbreak in the first quarter.
  • Lower other income as lower interest rates result in unfavorable pension expense.
  • Higher interest expense.
  • Currently quantifiable special charges in 2020 to be $0.45 to $0.55 per share.
  • Foreign currency translation to have an unfavorable $0.04 impact on full year diluted earnings per share.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+10.9%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-12.6%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.8%-3.1%-3.1%
Q4 2025+4.0%+3.8%-4.3%
Q3 2025-4.1%-8.3%-1.7%
Q2 2025+0.4%+2.9%+1.8%
Q1 2025+3.3%+6.8%+10.6%
Q4 2024+6.2%+7.6%+2.1%
Q3 2024-1.5%-4.6%-3.4%
Q2 2024-6.9%-4.3%+0.9%
Q1 2024+1.5%+2.6%+3.2%
Q4 2023+6.9%+1.7%-1.4%
Q3 2023+5.1%+9.8%+20.5%
Q2 2023+1.0%-0.3%+0.4%
Q1 2023+2.7%+2.9%+0.2%
Q4 2022+10.9%+9.8%+7.4%
Q3 2022-12.6%-14.2%-3.3%
Q2 2022-1.3%+1.5%+5.0%
Q1 2022-2.9%-3.6%-6.5%
Q4 2021-0.1%-2.3%-6.1%
Q3 2021-0.2%+0.3%+4.4%
Q2 2021-0.0%+0.8%+1.8%
Q1 2021-2.1%-1.2%-4.7%
Q4 2020-5.0%-5.4%-4.7%
Q3 2020-6.5%-7.4%+10.0%
Q2 2020-8.1%-11.8%-6.8%
Q1 2020+5.4%+1.3%+12.7%
Q4 2019+1.4%+0.1%-23.0%
Q3 2019+1.1%-0.3%-2.4%
Q2 2019+0.6%-0.3%+3.2%
Q1 2019-1.1%+0.3%-0.6%
Q4 2018+1.1%+2.2%+7.5%
Q3 2018+4.5%+5.5%+8.1%
Q2 2018+2.8%+4.5%+6.7%
Q1 2018-0.4%+0.4%-1.5%
Q4 2017-1.2%-0.5%+2.0%
Q3 2017+0.3%+0.4%+3.8%
Q2 2017+0.9%+0.9%+1.2%
Q1 2017-2.8%-2.2%+3.5%
Q4 2016-0.7%+1.3%+0.2%
Q3 2016-1.9%-3.1%+3.8%
Q2 2016+2.3%+3.4%+3.7%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015-5.5%
Q3 2015-0.3%
Q2 2015+6.4%
Q1 2015-1.4%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014-1.5%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+0.5%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013+0.0%
Q1 2013+1.2%
Q4 2012+6.2%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q2 2012-3.6%
Q1 2012+1.0%
Q4 2011-4.2%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q2 2011-3.5%
Q1 2011+2.5%
Q4 2010+2.4%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2009-1.7%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q4 2007+0.5%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q3 2009+2.2%
Q3 2008+2.2%
Q2 2009+0.0%
Q2 2008+0.0%
Q4 2008+0.0%

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