NYSE$DOW

Dow Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dow's Q4 2022 results reflected proactive navigation of slowing global growth and customer destocking, with a focus on cash generation through lowered operating rates and cost-saving measures.

Dow's Q4 2022 net sales were $11.9 billion, a 17% decrease year-over-year, with GAAP earnings per share (EPS) at $0.85 and operating EPS at $0.46. The company focused on cash generation, achieving $2.1 billion in cash flow from operations, and returned $620 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

  • GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $0.85; operating EPS was $0.46, compared to $2.15 in the year-ago period.
  • Net sales were $11.9 billion, down 17% versus the year-ago period, reflecting declines in all operating segments driven by slower GDP growth and customer destocking.
  • Cash provided by operating activities – continuing operations was $2.1 billion and free cash flow was $1.5 billion.
  • Returns to shareholders totaled $620 million, including $495 million in dividends and $125 million in share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$11.9B

Previous: $14.4B-17.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $2.15-78.6%
Free Cash Flow

$1.48B

No prior period
Net Income

$647M

Previous: $1.76B-63.3%
Operating Income

$601M

Previous: $2.27B-73.5%
Gross Profit

$1.2B

Previous: $2.59B-53.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.89B

Previous: $2.99B+30.1%
Total Assets

$60.6B

Previous: $63B-3.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Dow · Revenue · Quarterly

$11.9B

Q4 2022-17.4%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dow · $11.9B total across 4 segments · Q4 2022

  • Packaging & Specialty Plastics
    $6.07B-15.5%
  • Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure
    $3.65B-19.7%
  • Performance Materials & Coatings
    $2.06B-19.5%
  • Corporate
    $75M+8.7%

Forward guidance

Dow is focused on managing near-term dynamics while positioning for long-term value creation, implementing targeted actions to optimize costs and enhance productivity, expected to deliver $1 billion in cost savings.

Tailwinds

  • Initial positive signs from moderating inflation in the U.S.
  • Improving outlook for energy in Europe
  • Re-opening in China
  • Optimizing labor costs
  • Enhancing productivity

Headwinds

  • Slowing global growth
  • Challenging energy markets
  • Destocking
  • Reducing turnaround spending
  • Prudent and proactive approach

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

14 / 33 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026———
Q1 2026-0.8%-2.1%-7.2%
Q4 2025-1.9%+9.8%+10.6%
Q3 2025+13.0%+17.0%+2.3%
Q2 2025+2.0%+2.7%+9.2%
Q1 2025+2.6%+5.7%-2.3%
Q4 2024-6.1%-6.1%-7.2%
Q3 2024-3.5%-3.9%-11.7%
Q2 2024-0.9%+0.7%+0.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%-0.1%+1.4%
Q4 2023+1.8%+2.6%+6.2%
Q3 2023-1.5%-0.3%+6.6%
Q2 2023+2.2%+5.5%+1.9%
Q1 2023-5.1%-1.8%-9.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+2.5%-0.2%
Q3 2022+3.9%+6.0%+10.9%
Q2 2022-3.2%-2.4%+5.6%
Q1 2022+1.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2021+4.9%+8.0%+4.2%
Q3 2021-2.5%-2.0%-4.3%
Q2 2021+0.6%+3.7%+1.9%
Q1 2021-4.2%-3.3%+6.2%
Q4 2020-4.6%+0.4%+9.0%
Q3 2020-0.0%-4.1%+12.7%
Q2 2020-3.9%-3.9%-1.7%
Q1 2020-9.4%-10.9%+3.0%
Q4 2019+2.8%-0.9%-14.3%
Q3 2018+3.5%+3.2%+9.6%
Q3 2019+6.9%+9.0%+14.8%
Q2 2019-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q4 2018-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q2 2018-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q1 2019-5.0%-5.7%-16.7%
Q1 2018———
Q2 2017———
Q1 2017———
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———

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