NYSE$DOW

Dow Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Dow's Q4 2024 results were impacted by macroeconomic headwinds, with net sales down 2% year-over-year, but the company is taking actions to reduce costs and improve margins.

Dow reported Q4 2024 net sales of $10.4 billion, a 2% decrease year-over-year. The company experienced a GAAP net loss of $35 million, or $0.08 per share, while operating earnings per share were $0.00. Dow is implementing cost reduction measures and focusing on growth projects to navigate the economic downcycle.

  • Net sales decreased by 2% year-over-year to $10.4 billion, reflecting declines in Packaging & Specialty Plastics.
  • Volume increased 1% compared to the year-ago period, with gains in most regions.
  • GAAP net loss was $35 million, or $0.08 per share, impacted by restructuring and efficiency costs.
  • The company is implementing actions to reduce costs by $1 billion and CapEx plans by $300 - 500 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.4B

Previous: $10.6B-2.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.08

Previous: $0.43-117.5%
Operating EBITDA

$1.21B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$767M

Previous: -$760M-0.9%
Net Income

-$35M

Previous: -$95M+63.2%
Operating Income

$219M

Previous: -$352M+162.2%
Gross Profit

$10.6B

Previous: $975M+989.3%
R&D Expense

$201M

Previous: $212M-5.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Dow · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.4B

Q4 2024-2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dow · $12.1B total across 4 segments · Q2 2026

  • Packaging & Specialty Plastics
    $6.39B—
  • Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure
    $3.17B—
  • Performance Materials & Coatings
    $2.36B—
  • Corporate
    $180M—

Forward guidance

Dow expects to benefit from growth projects and operational discipline in 2025, with potential demand growth in packaging, energy, and electronics. The company is implementing cost reductions of $1 billion and reducing 2025 CapEx plans by $300 - 500 million.

Tailwinds

  • Completion of near-term incremental growth projects.
  • Enhanced focus on operational discipline in 2025.
  • Potential demand growth in attractive end markets such as packaging.
  • Potential demand growth in attractive end markets such as energy.
  • Potential demand growth in attractive end markets such as electronics.

Headwinds

  • Persistently weak macroeconomic conditions.
  • Need to deliver improved margins.
  • Taking actions to reduce costs by $1 billion.
  • Reducing 2025 CapEx plans by $300 - 500 million.
  • Uncertainty regarding the timing of a true recovery.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

14 / 33 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026———
Q1 2026-0.8%-2.1%-7.2%
Q4 2025-1.9%+9.8%+10.6%
Q3 2025+13.0%+17.0%+2.3%
Q2 2025+2.0%+2.7%+9.2%
Q1 2025+2.6%+5.7%-2.3%
Q4 2024-6.1%-6.1%-7.2%
Q3 2024-3.5%-3.9%-11.7%
Q2 2024-0.9%+0.7%+0.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%-0.1%+1.4%
Q4 2023+1.8%+2.6%+6.2%
Q3 2023-1.5%-0.3%+6.6%
Q2 2023+2.2%+5.5%+1.9%
Q1 2023-5.1%-1.8%-9.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+2.5%-0.2%
Q3 2022+3.9%+6.0%+10.9%
Q2 2022-3.2%-2.4%+5.6%
Q1 2022+1.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2021+4.9%+8.0%+4.2%
Q3 2021-2.5%-2.0%-4.3%
Q2 2021+0.6%+3.7%+1.9%
Q1 2021-4.2%-3.3%+6.2%
Q4 2020-4.6%+0.4%+9.0%
Q3 2020-0.0%-4.1%+12.7%
Q2 2020-3.9%-3.9%-1.7%
Q1 2020-9.4%-10.9%+3.0%
Q4 2019+2.8%-0.9%-14.3%
Q3 2018+3.5%+3.2%+9.6%
Q3 2019+6.9%+9.0%+14.8%
Q2 2019-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q4 2018-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q2 2018-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q1 2019-5.0%-5.7%-16.7%
Q1 2018———
Q2 2017———
Q1 2017———
Q4 2016———
Q3 2016———
Q2 2016———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———

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