NYSE$DOW

Dow Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Dow's Q4 2024 results were impacted by macroeconomic headwinds, with net sales down 2% year-over-year, but the company is taking actions to reduce costs and improve margins.

Dow reported Q4 2024 net sales of $10.4 billion, a 2% decrease year-over-year. The company experienced a GAAP net loss of $35 million, or $0.08 per share, while operating earnings per share were $0.00. Dow is implementing cost reduction measures and focusing on growth projects to navigate the economic downcycle.

  • Net sales decreased by 2% year-over-year to $10.4 billion, reflecting declines in Packaging & Specialty Plastics.
  • Volume increased 1% compared to the year-ago period, with gains in most regions.
  • GAAP net loss was $35 million, or $0.08 per share, impacted by restructuring and efficiency costs.
  • The company is implementing actions to reduce costs by $1 billion and CapEx plans by $300 - 500 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.4B

Previous: $10.6B-2.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.08

Previous: $0.43-117.5%
Operating EBITDA

$1.21B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$767M

Previous: -$760M-0.9%
Net Income

-$35M

Previous: -$95M+63.2%
Operating Income

$219M

Previous: -$352M+162.2%
Gross Profit

$10.6B

Previous: $975M+989.3%
R&D Expense

$201M

Previous: $212M-5.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Dow · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.4B

Q4 2024-2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dow · $10.7B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Packaging & Spec. Plastics
    $5.45B-25.6%
  • Industrial & Infra
    $3.04B-25.2%
  • Performance Materials
    $2.13B-19.7%
  • Corporate
    $111M+48.0%

Forward guidance

Dow expects to benefit from growth projects and operational discipline in 2025, with potential demand growth in packaging, energy, and electronics. The company is implementing cost reductions of $1 billion and reducing 2025 CapEx plans by $300 - 500 million.

Tailwinds

  • Completion of near-term incremental growth projects.
  • Enhanced focus on operational discipline in 2025.
  • Potential demand growth in attractive end markets such as packaging.
  • Potential demand growth in attractive end markets such as energy.
  • Potential demand growth in attractive end markets such as electronics.

Headwinds

  • Persistently weak macroeconomic conditions.
  • Need to deliver improved margins.
  • Taking actions to reduce costs by $1 billion.
  • Reducing 2025 CapEx plans by $300 - 500 million.
  • Uncertainty regarding the timing of a true recovery.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

14 / 33 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-2.1%-7.2%
Q4 2025-1.9%+9.8%+10.6%
Q3 2025+13.0%+17.0%+2.3%
Q2 2025+2.0%+2.7%+9.2%
Q1 2025+2.6%+5.7%-2.3%
Q4 2024-6.1%-6.1%-7.2%
Q3 2024-3.5%-3.9%-11.7%
Q2 2024-0.9%+0.7%+0.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%-0.1%+1.4%
Q4 2023+1.8%+2.6%+6.2%
Q3 2023-1.5%-0.3%+6.6%
Q2 2023+2.2%+5.5%+1.9%
Q1 2023-5.1%-1.8%-9.1%
Q4 2022+1.9%+2.5%-0.2%
Q3 2022+3.9%+6.0%+10.9%
Q2 2022-3.2%-2.4%+5.6%
Q1 2022+1.4%-0.3%+0.8%
Q4 2021+4.9%+8.0%+4.2%
Q3 2021-2.5%-2.0%-4.3%
Q2 2021+0.6%+3.7%+1.9%
Q1 2021-4.2%-3.3%+6.2%
Q4 2020-4.6%+0.4%+9.0%
Q3 2020-0.0%-4.1%+12.7%
Q2 2020-3.9%-3.9%-1.7%
Q1 2020-9.4%-10.9%+3.0%
Q4 2019+2.8%-0.9%-14.3%
Q3 2018+3.5%+3.2%+9.6%
Q3 2019+6.9%+9.0%+14.8%
Q2 2019-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q4 2017-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q4 2018-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q2 2018-7.0%-8.3%-22.9%
Q1 2019-5.0%-5.7%-16.7%
Q1 2018
Q2 2017
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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