NYSE$DOCN

DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

DigitalOcean's Q4 2022 earnings demonstrated strong revenue growth and increased free cash flow margin despite headwinds. The company broadened its product portfolio with the Cloudways acquisition and announced a significant expansion of its share repurchase program.

DigitalOcean's Q4 2022 revenue reached $163.0 million, a 36% year-over-year increase. ARR ended the quarter at $658.8 million, representing 34% year-over-year growth. The company's free cash flow margin also saw significant increases. DigitalOcean announced a $500 million expansion of its share repurchase program.

  • Revenue increased by 36% year-over-year, reaching $163.0 million.
  • ARR grew by 34% year-over-year, ending the quarter at $658.8 million.
  • Net Dollar Retention Rate (NDR) was 112%.
  • Average Revenue Per Customer (ARPU) increased by 22% year-over-year to $80.27.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$163M

Previous: $120M+36.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.10+180.0%
Annual Run-Rate Revenue

$659M

No prior period
Net Dollar Retention Rate

112.0%

Previous: 116.0%-3.4%
Capital Expenditures

$28.7M

Previous: $30.6M-6.3%
Free Cash Flow

$35.7M

Previous: $2.15M+1562.8%
Net Income

-$10.1M

Previous: -$12.1M+17.0%
Operating Income

-$15.1M

Previous: -$10.1M-48.9%
Gross Profit

$99.6M

Previous: $75.3M+32.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$141M

Previous: $1.71B-91.8%
Total Assets

$1.82B

Previous: $2.1B-13.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$28.1M

Previous: $24.2M+16.0%

Revenue & EPS history

DigitalOcean · Revenue · Quarterly

$163M

Q4 2022+36.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Based on information available as of February 16, 2023, for the first quarter of 2023 we expect: Total revenue of $163 to $165 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 31% to 32%. Non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $0.28 to $0.29. Fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 113 to 115 million shares. For the full year 2023, we expect: Total revenue of $700 to $720 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 38% to 39%. Free cash flow in the range of 21% to 22% of revenue. Non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $1.65 to $1.69. Fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 114 to 116 million shares.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue of $163 to $165 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 31% to 32%.
  • Non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $0.28 to $0.29.
  • Fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 113 to 115 million shares.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 38% to 39%.

Headwinds

  • A reconciliation of non-GAAP guidance measures to corresponding GAAP measures is not available on a forward-looking basis without unreasonable effort due to the uncertainty regarding, and the potential variability of, expenses that may be incurred in the future.
  • stock-based compensation expense-related charges are impacted by the timing of employee stock transactions, the future fair market value of our common stock, and our future hiring and retention needs, all of which are difficult to predict and subject to constant change.
  • a reconciliation is not available without unreasonable effort and we are unable to assess the probable significance of the unavailable information, although it is important to note that these factors could be material to our results computed in accordance with GAAP.
  • New risks and uncertainties emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all risks and uncertainties that could have an impact on the forward-looking statements contained in this release.
  • The results, events and circumstances reflected in the forward-looking statements may not be achieved or occur.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+3.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+9.3%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

14 / 25 earnings

Positive

+40.8%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-25.3%

Q2 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+40.8%+51.1%+66.1%
Q4 2025+8.2%-5.4%+44.5%
Q3 2025+17.1%+33.1%+24.4%
Q1 2025-13.3%-11.0%-15.2%
Q4 2024+9.8%+15.3%-4.4%
Q3 2024-12.2%-5.7%-2.2%
Q2 2024+17.6%+29.6%+31.4%
Q1 2024+15.6%+19.0%+14.6%
Q4 2023+5.3%-2.2%+6.2%
Q3 2023+24.9%+32.5%+55.7%
Q2 2023-25.3%-23.3%-43.1%
Q1 2023-1.8%-2.6%+28.8%
Q4 2022+7.1%+2.0%+3.3%
Q3 2022-7.8%+8.3%-8.9%
Q2 2022+2.9%+6.4%-11.7%
Q1 2022-13.4%-21.8%+15.8%
Q4 2019+6.6%+13.9%+3.4%
Q4 2021+27.6%+29.4%+22.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%+2.3%-20.2%
Q3 2021+8.5%+23.4%-11.1%
Q2 2020-7.1%-2.8%+27.9%
Q2 2021-8.2%-2.0%+24.9%
Q4 2020-9.1%-11.5%-5.2%
Q1 2020-9.1%-11.5%-5.2%
Q1 2021-5.6%-14.5%-10.6%

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