NYSE$DFH

Dream Finders Homes Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dream Finders Homes reported record revenue and pre-tax income, driven by a significant increase in home sales and improved gross margins.

Dream Finders Homes announced record fourth quarter and full year 2020 results. The company reported significant increases in revenue, pre-tax income, and net new orders. The company's asset-light homebuilding model allowed it to rapidly adjust to the changing landscape brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • Pre-tax income for the fourth quarter increased by 133.5% compared to the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Total revenues increased by 82.0% compared to the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Net new orders increased by 189.0% over the net new orders in the fourth quarter of 2019.
  • Home closings increased by 78.0% over the home closings in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$461M

Previous: $253M+82.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.41

Previous: $109.74-99.6%
Net New Orders

1.4K

Previous: 480+189.0%
Average Sales Price

$394K

No prior period
Cancellation Rate

12.9%

Previous: 15.6%-17.3%
Ending Backlog Homes

2.4K

No prior period
Ending Backlog Value

$865M

No prior period
Active Communities

126

Previous: 85+48.2%
Net Income

$40.2M

Previous: $11M+266.7%
Operating Income

-$3.15M

Previous: $18.7M-116.8%
Gross Profit

$71.8M

Previous: $37.1M+93.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$35.5M

No prior period
Total Assets

$734M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Dream Finders Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$461M

Q4 2020+82%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 12 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Dream Finders Homes · $943M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Homebuilding
    $943M+19.2%

Forward guidance

The Company believes that the homebuilding sector will remain strong in 2021, and expects the positive demographic trends in the high growth markets in which it operates to continue. Dream Finders Homes remains focused on providing an affordable product for its entry-level and first-time move-up homebuyers.

Tailwinds

  • The company believes that the homebuilding sector will remain strong in 2021.
  • Expects the positive demographic trends in the high growth markets in which it operates to continue.
  • Dream Finders Homes remains focused on providing an affordable product for its entry-level and first-time move-up homebuyers.
  • Company believes it will have 5,000 to 6,000 home closings for the full year 2021.
  • Assumes that the Company is able to continue to increase its portfolio of controlled lots.

Headwinds

  • General economic conditions, including interest rates and mortgage availability, in 2021 remain similar to those experienced so far in the first quarter of 2021.
  • Construction costs and overall absorption rates in the remainder of 2021 are consistent with the Company’s recent experience.
  • Governmental regulations relating to land development, home construction and COVID-19 are similar to those currently in place.
  • Any further COVID-19 governmental restrictions on land development, home construction or home sales could negatively impact our ability to achieve this number of home closings in 2021.
  • Outlook assumes that the Company is able to continue to increase its portfolio of controlled lots.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

9 / 21 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-12.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.2%+0.4%+9.2%
Q4 2025-2.0%-11.8%-29.7%
Q3 2025-8.5%-11.8%-8.5%
Q1 2025-3.6%+0.6%-1.1%
Q4 2024+17.9%+13.9%+12.7%
Q3 2024-1.3%+4.0%+6.8%
Q2 2024-10.5%-13.2%+6.0%
Q1 2024-12.4%-13.7%-20.3%
Q4 2023+11.6%+9.3%+26.6%
Q3 2023+11.7%+13.3%+26.1%
Q2 2023+25.2%+25.6%+23.2%
Q1 2023+2.3%+5.6%+21.4%
Q4 2022-0.3%-0.8%+6.1%
Q3 2022+3.5%-0.6%-7.4%
Q2 2022-2.5%-3.5%-5.4%
Q1 2022-6.4%+1.6%-10.1%
Q4 2021+5.1%-6.3%-21.3%
Q3 2021+2.5%+9.7%+16.2%
Q2 2021-8.7%-13.8%-16.6%
Q1 2021-8.8%-7.7%-15.7%
Q4 2020-7.2%-17.7%-14.1%
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020
Q4 2019

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