NYSE$DCI

Donaldson Company · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Donaldson's fourth quarter and full-year results saw increased gross margin amidst a volatile sales environment, with investments in long-term growth and returns to shareholders.

Donaldson Company reported fiscal year 2020 net earnings of $64.2 million for the fourth quarter, compared to $58.0 million in 2019. Fourth quarter sales declined by 15.1 percent to $617.4 million. The company is not issuing detailed guidance for full-year 2021 key performance metrics.

  • Fourth quarter sales declined 15.1 percent to $617.4 million.
  • Fourth quarter gross margin increased to 33.7 percent from 33.5 percent in the prior year.
  • Fourth quarter operating income as a rate of sales decreased to 13.4 percent from 14.4 percent in 2019.
  • The company invested $122 million for long-term growth and returned $201 million to shareholders.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$617M

Previous: $727M-15.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.50

Previous: $0.61-18.0%
Gross Margin

33.7%

Previous: 33.5%+0.6%
Operating Margin

13.4%

Previous: 14.4%-6.9%
Effective Tax Rate

21.1%

Previous: 41.2%-48.8%
Capital Expenditures

$18.2M

Previous: $38.3M-52.5%
Free Cash Flow

$104M

Previous: $84.3M+22.9%
Net Income

$64.2M

Previous: $58M+10.7%
Operating Income

$82.5M

Previous: $104M-21.0%
Gross Profit

$208M

Previous: $244M-14.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$237M

Previous: $178M+33.1%
Total Assets

$2.24B

Previous: $2.14B+4.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.6M

Previous: $1.2M+200.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Donaldson · Revenue · Quarterly

$617M

Q4 2020-15.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Donaldson continues to experience volatility related to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the magnitude and duration of the impact from the pandemic remains uncertain. Consequently, the Company is not issuing detailed guidance for full-year 2021 key performance metrics at this time.

Tailwinds

  • Sales in August 2020, the first month of fiscal 2021, were down sequentially from July, which is typical seasonality, and about 10 percent from the prior year, reflecting an increase in APAC, driven by growth in China, and continued pressure in the Americas.
  • Full-year sales trends are expected to vary widely by geography and market, and year-over-year performance of replacement parts and products related to new markets, like food and beverage, should continue to be better than the Company average.
  • Sales in the first half of fiscal 2021 will likely experience year-over-year declines, due in large part to the timing of when the pandemic began.
  • Optimization initiatives related to manufacturing, supply chain and procurement are expected to continue benefitting gross margin.
  • Free cash flow conversion is expected above 100 percent.

Headwinds

  • Donaldson continues to experience volatility related to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the magnitude and duration of the impact from the pandemic remains uncertain.
  • Gross margin benefits realized in fiscal 2020 from a favorable mix of sales and lower raw material costs are not expected to continue to the same degree in fiscal 2021.
  • Operating expense is expected to include a year-over-year increase of approximately $13 million associated with the standard process for resetting the annual incentive plans following a lower level of incentive compensation in the prior year.
  • The full-year 2021 effective income tax rate is expected to be in the range of Donaldson's post-tax reform long-term effective rate estimate of 24 to 27 percent.
  • Capital expenditures are planned meaningfully below fiscal 2020 as projects related to capacity expansion, manufacturing and supply chain optimization projects and Donaldson's new R&D facility are nearing completion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

36 / 67 earnings

Positive

+10.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-11.7%

Q2 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026-11.7%-10.9%-19.7%
Q1 2026+7.6%+2.9%+2.7%
Q4 2025+8.5%+5.3%+7.1%
Q3 2025-0.1%+1.7%+3.0%
Q2 2025-2.4%-2.5%-3.1%
Q1 2025-6.0%-6.6%-13.8%
Q4 2024-3.9%-2.3%-0.8%
Q3 2024+3.7%+1.7%-1.2%
Q2 2024+6.7%+8.3%+11.2%
Q1 2024+3.5%+5.3%+11.2%
Q4 2023+4.0%+5.8%-2.5%
Q3 2023-7.7%-8.9%-2.5%
Q2 2023+4.9%+4.5%+3.3%
Q1 2023+3.1%+0.7%-0.5%
Q4 2022-2.3%-3.9%-7.4%
Q3 2022+2.6%+1.9%-7.1%
Q2 2022+0.2%-7.5%+0.2%
Q1 2022+0.9%+2.2%+5.0%
Q4 2021-7.5%-9.5%-12.8%
Q3 2021+2.4%+0.5%+2.8%
Q2 2021-4.9%-4.4%-4.9%
Q1 2021+3.0%+3.0%+5.2%
Q4 2020-7.8%-10.3%-7.0%
Q3 2020+3.5%+7.2%-3.6%
Q2 2020-4.9%-4.1%-25.9%
Q1 2020-2.8%+0.7%+5.1%
Q4 2019+7.4%+8.7%+8.2%
Q3 2019+0.7%+1.2%+4.0%
Q2 2019-5.9%-4.6%+1.9%
Q1 2019-9.3%-13.7%-26.1%
Q4 2018+10.1%+13.1%+13.6%
Q3 2018-2.9%-1.2%-5.2%
Q2 2018-5.7%-3.1%-4.7%
Q1 2018-0.2%-0.7%+0.9%
Q4 2017-6.7%-5.1%-0.5%
Q3 2017-2.6%-5.8%-5.0%
Q2 2017+5.1%+5.0%+6.0%
Q1 2017+6.8%+8.6%+3.7%
Q4 2016-1.9%-2.8%-2.1%
Q3 2016+8.6%+9.4%+3.5%
Q2 2016+7.5%
Q1 2016+3.1%
Q4 2015-1.6%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-2.0%
Q1 2015-7.6%
Q4 2014+3.6%
Q3 2014-7.0%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014+0.0%
Q4 2013-3.5%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013+5.7%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012+6.0%
Q2 2012-3.5%
Q1 2012-2.8%
Q4 2011+2.4%
Q4 2009+2.4%
Q4 2010+2.4%
Q3 2010-2.9%
Q3 2011-2.9%
Q2 2011+1.2%
Q2 2010+1.2%
Q1 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010+0.0%

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