NYSE$CXW

Corecivic Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

CoreCivic reported strong financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by higher occupancy and effective cost management, exceeding internal forecasts and analyst estimates.

CoreCivic concluded 2024 with robust financial performance, achieving a total revenue of $479.3 million and a net income of $19.3 million for the fourth quarter. The company's occupancy rate reached 75.5%, the highest since Q1 2020, despite contract terminations with ICE and CDCR. CoreCivic also provided optimistic full-year 2025 guidance, anticipating accelerated demand from government partners and leveraging its available capacity and strong balance sheet.

  • Total revenue for Q4 2024 was $479.3 million, with a net income of $19.3 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share were $0.17, and Adjusted Diluted EPS was $0.16.
  • Occupancy reached 75.5% of available capacity, the highest since Q1 2020, despite contract terminations.
  • The company repurchased 0.4 million shares for $9.0 million in Q4 2024, as part of its ongoing share repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$479K

Previous: $491M-99.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.16

Previous: $0.45-64.4%
Adjusted EBITDA

$74.2M

Previous: $90K+82335.3%
EBITDA

$75.7M

Previous: $90.1K+83883.1%
Funds From Operations

$43.3M

Previous: $51K+84738.0%
Normalized FFO

$43.3M

Previous: $51.3K+84307.7%
FFO per Diluted Share

$0.39

Previous: $0.44-11.4%
Normalized FFO per Diluted Share

$0.39

Previous: $0.45-13.3%
Adjusted Diluted EPS

$0.16

Previous: $0.23-30.4%
Occupancy Levels (Safety and Community)

75.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$22.2M

No prior period
Net Income

$19.3K

Previous: $0.23+8380334.8%
Operating Income

$38.1K

Previous: $53.7M-99.9%
Gross Profit

$78.7M

Previous: $90.6M-13.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Corecivic · Revenue · Quarterly

$479K

Q4 2024-99.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Corecivic · $484M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Safety
    $443M
  • Community
    $29.8M
  • Properties
    $10.5M

Forward guidance

CoreCivic anticipates accelerated demand from federal, state, and local government partners in 2025, driven by changes in presidential administration and immigration policies. The company expects to activate idle facilities to meet this demand, which may initially incur start-up expenses but will be favorable in 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipated accelerated demand from federal, state, and local government partners.
  • New administration's modification of immigration policy and enactment of new legislation expected to increase demand for services.
  • Reversal of executive order restricting contracts with privately operated criminal detention facilities.
  • Acquisition of all available detention beds for deportable migrants directed by the Secretary of Homeland Security.
  • New management contract with the state of Montana for additional inmates, increasing geographic reach.

Headwinds

  • Guidance reflects a reduction in facility net operating income due to the termination of the ICE contract at South Texas Family Residential Center and lease expiration with CDCR at California City Correctional Center.
  • New contract awards are not included in current guidance and will be revised throughout the year as they are signed.
  • Activation of idle facilities requires 4-6 months to hire, train, and prepare, resulting in substantial expenses before realizing additional revenue.
  • Start-up expenses for idle facility activations will negatively impact current year guidance, with more favorable impact expected in 2026.
  • Expected capital investments of $40.0 million to $45.0 million for potential facility activations and transportation services.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+62.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.7%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-7.7%+9.2%
Q4 2025-3.5%+1.0%-1.6%
Q3 2025-10.1%-7.6%+0.0%
Q1 2025-3.1%-3.9%-2.7%
Q4 2024-4.2%-0.1%+5.4%
Q3 2024+62.0%+75.6%+57.9%
Q2 2024+3.9%+3.4%+7.1%
Q1 2024+1.2%-0.5%+0.7%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.3%+5.1%
Q3 2023+6.2%+2.5%+3.2%
Q2 2023+4.6%+10.2%+11.1%
Q1 2023-3.5%+7.0%+2.8%
Q4 2022+11.9%+13.8%-6.0%
Q3 2022+2.8%+16.7%+25.2%
Q2 2022-2.4%-9.9%-9.7%
Q1 2022-9.3%-12.1%-6.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%+1.5%-7.8%
Q3 2021+2.3%+19.0%+4.8%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.0%-12.7%
Q1 2021-5.2%-3.2%+8.3%
Q4 2020-4.3%-2.9%+7.0%
Q3 2020-17.7%-17.2%+4.7%
Q2 2020-5.1%-2.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-6.9%-1.4%+16.8%
Q4 2019-0.3%-0.6%-28.6%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%-5.2%
Q2 2019+5.1%+6.6%+4.7%
Q1 2019+4.2%+4.7%+10.0%
Q4 2018+4.9%+8.4%-4.2%
Q3 2018-3.9%-3.7%-5.5%
Q2 2018-2.2%-2.8%-3.1%
Q1 2018+3.1%+5.8%+6.0%
Q4 2017+1.0%+0.2%+1.1%
Q3 2017+3.3%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017-3.2%-4.4%-1.5%
Q1 2017-3.2%+1.0%-11.3%
Q4 2016+6.5%+9.0%+9.4%
Q3 2016+0.6%+2.1%+65.9%
Q2 2016-8.6%-10.4%-49.6%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015-3.5%
Q3 2015-4.3%
Q2 2015-2.8%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014+1.2%
Q2 2014+5.2%
Q1 2014+0.6%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013+4.1%
Q1 2013+1.7%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-3.9%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2010+0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q4 2008+3.1%
Q4 2010+3.1%
Q3 2009-1.1%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010+2.6%
Q4 2009+2.6%
Q2 2009+2.6%

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