NYSE$CXW

Corecivic Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CoreCivic's financial performance increased due to higher occupancy and effective cost management.

CoreCivic reported a 4% increase in revenue to $491.2 million compared to the prior-year quarter. The increase in FFO was driven by the higher federal and state populations combined with lower interest expense resulting from our debt reduction strategy.

  • Revenue increased by 4% year-over-year to $491.2 million, driven by strong occupancy and revenue growth in safety and community portfolios.
  • Normalized FFO increased to $51.3 million, or $0.45 per share, compared to $49.1 million, or $0.42 per share in the prior-year quarter.
  • Occupancy rates increased in both the safety and community segments, reaching the highest levels since the second quarter of 2020.
  • The company signed and commenced three new management contracts, boosting incremental occupancy at facilities with available capacity.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$491M

Previous: $471M+4.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.42+7.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$90K

No prior period
EBITDA

$90.1K

No prior period
Funds From Operations

$51K

No prior period
Normalized FFO

$51.3K

No prior period
FFO per Diluted Share

$0.44

No prior period
Normalized FFO per Diluted Share

$0.45

No prior period
Adjusted Diluted EPS

$0.23

No prior period
Net Income

$0.23

Previous: $24.4M-100.0%
Operating Income

$53.7M

Previous: $15.2M+253.3%
Gross Profit

$90.6M

Previous: $119M-24.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.32M

Previous: $5.86M-9.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Corecivic · Revenue · Quarterly

$491M

Q4 2023+4.2%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Corecivic · $484M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Safety
    $443M
  • Community
    $29.8M
  • Properties
    $10.5M

Forward guidance

CoreCivic introduced its 2024 full-year financial guidance, including a normalized FFO per share forecast of $1.46 to $1.61 and an EBITDA range of $300 million to $313 million.

Tailwinds

  • Growth in state and local residential populations, largely attributable to new contract awards.
  • Higher utilization than expected under existing contracts.
  • Increase in average daily federal populations compared with 2023.
  • Continuation of an improving hiring market for labor with less reliance on temporary incentives.
  • Operational efficiencies from new contracts.

Headwinds

  • Expiration of the lease with the state of California at the California City Correctional Center, effective March 31, 2024.
  • Potential impact from ICE funding levels approved by Congress.
  • Potential fluctuations in federal populations.
  • Higher staffing costs as the company continues to progress toward pre-COVID staffing levels.
  • Seasonally weaker Q1 results due to fewer days, higher utilities, and unemployment taxes.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+62.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.7%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-7.7%+9.2%
Q4 2025-3.5%+1.0%-1.6%
Q3 2025-10.1%-7.6%+0.0%
Q1 2025-3.1%-3.9%-2.7%
Q4 2024-4.2%-0.1%+5.4%
Q3 2024+62.0%+75.6%+57.9%
Q2 2024+3.9%+3.4%+7.1%
Q1 2024+1.2%-0.5%+0.7%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.3%+5.1%
Q3 2023+6.2%+2.5%+3.2%
Q2 2023+4.6%+10.2%+11.1%
Q1 2023-3.5%+7.0%+2.8%
Q4 2022+11.9%+13.8%-6.0%
Q3 2022+2.8%+16.7%+25.2%
Q2 2022-2.4%-9.9%-9.7%
Q1 2022-9.3%-12.1%-6.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%+1.5%-7.8%
Q3 2021+2.3%+19.0%+4.8%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.0%-12.7%
Q1 2021-5.2%-3.2%+8.3%
Q4 2020-4.3%-2.9%+7.0%
Q3 2020-17.7%-17.2%+4.7%
Q2 2020-5.1%-2.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-6.9%-1.4%+16.8%
Q4 2019-0.3%-0.6%-28.6%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%-5.2%
Q2 2019+5.1%+6.6%+4.7%
Q1 2019+4.2%+4.7%+10.0%
Q4 2018+4.9%+8.4%-4.2%
Q3 2018-3.9%-3.7%-5.5%
Q2 2018-2.2%-2.8%-3.1%
Q1 2018+3.1%+5.8%+6.0%
Q4 2017+1.0%+0.2%+1.1%
Q3 2017+3.3%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017-3.2%-4.4%-1.5%
Q1 2017-3.2%+1.0%-11.3%
Q4 2016+6.5%+9.0%+9.4%
Q3 2016+0.6%+2.1%+65.9%
Q2 2016-8.6%-10.4%-49.6%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015-3.5%
Q3 2015-4.3%
Q2 2015-2.8%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014+1.2%
Q2 2014+5.2%
Q1 2014+0.6%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013+4.1%
Q1 2013+1.7%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-3.9%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2010+0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q4 2008+3.1%
Q4 2010+3.1%
Q3 2009-1.1%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010+2.6%
Q4 2009+2.6%
Q2 2009+2.6%

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