NYSE$CXW

Corecivic Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CoreCivic reported strong financial results for Q1 2024, driven by higher occupancy and effective cost management.

CoreCivic's Q1 2024 results showed a 9% increase in revenue compared to Q1 2023, propelled by a 75.2% occupancy rate, the highest since Q1 2020. The company also made progress on capital structure initiatives, including share repurchases and debt refinancing.

  • Total revenue reached $500.7 million, a 9% increase year-over-year.
  • Occupancy rate reached 75.2%, the highest since Q1 2020.
  • The company repurchased 2.7 million shares for $39.4 million.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.25, compared to $0.13 in the first quarter of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$501M

Previous: $458M+9.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.46

Previous: $0.34+35.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$8.52M

Previous: -$6.82M-25.1%
Free Cash Flow

$1.02M

Previous: $5.59M-81.8%
Net Income

$9.54M

Previous: $12.4M-23.0%
Operating Income

$85.9M

Previous: $70.7M+21.5%
Gross Profit

$123M

Previous: $103M+18.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$111M

Previous: $51.5M+116.5%
Total Assets

$3.03B

Previous: $3.06B-0.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.08M

Previous: $4.88M+24.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Corecivic · Revenue · Quarterly

$501M

Q1 2024+9.3%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Corecivic · $484M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Safety
    $443M
  • Community
    $29.8M
  • Properties
    $10.5M

Forward guidance

CoreCivic updated its financial guidance for the full year 2024, anticipating adjustments due to expenses associated with debt repayments and refinancing transactions, as well as the expiration of the lease at the California City Correctional Center.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted net income is projected to be between $74.0 million and $85.0 million.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.66 to $0.76.
  • Normalized FFO per diluted share is anticipated to be between $1.56 and $1.66.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to be between $312.0 million and $321.0 million.
  • Company expects to invest $70.0 million to $76.0 million in capital expenditures.

Headwinds

  • Net income is now projected to be between $52.7 million and $63.7 million, a decrease from the prior guidance of $65.0 million to $80.0 million.
  • Diluted EPS is expected to be between $0.47 and $0.57, down from the previous guidance of $0.58 to $0.72.
  • FFO per diluted share is projected to be between $1.36 and $1.46, a decrease from the prior guidance of $1.46 to $1.61.
  • EBITDA is forecasted to be between $281.1 million and $290.1 million, a decrease from the prior guidance of $300.3 million to $313.3 million.
  • Per share results are expected to decline by approximately $0.06 per share during the second quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2024, and by approximately $0.15 to $0.16 per share for the year ended December 31, 2024 compared with the year ended December 31, 2023 due to California City Correctional Center lease expiration.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+62.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.7%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-7.7%+9.2%
Q4 2025-3.5%+1.0%-1.6%
Q3 2025-10.1%-7.6%+0.0%
Q1 2025-3.1%-3.9%-2.7%
Q4 2024-4.2%-0.1%+5.4%
Q3 2024+62.0%+75.6%+57.9%
Q2 2024+3.9%+3.4%+7.1%
Q1 2024+1.2%-0.5%+0.7%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.3%+5.1%
Q3 2023+6.2%+2.5%+3.2%
Q2 2023+4.6%+10.2%+11.1%
Q1 2023-3.5%+7.0%+2.8%
Q4 2022+11.9%+13.8%-6.0%
Q3 2022+2.8%+16.7%+25.2%
Q2 2022-2.4%-9.9%-9.7%
Q1 2022-9.3%-12.1%-6.0%
Q4 2021+0.9%+1.5%-7.8%
Q3 2021+2.3%+19.0%+4.8%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.0%-12.7%
Q1 2021-5.2%-3.2%+8.3%
Q4 2020-4.3%-2.9%+7.0%
Q3 2020-17.7%-17.2%+4.7%
Q2 2020-5.1%-2.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-6.9%-1.4%+16.8%
Q4 2019-0.3%-0.6%-28.6%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%-5.2%
Q2 2019+5.1%+6.6%+4.7%
Q1 2019+4.2%+4.7%+10.0%
Q4 2018+4.9%+8.4%-4.2%
Q3 2018-3.9%-3.7%-5.5%
Q2 2018-2.2%-2.8%-3.1%
Q1 2018+3.1%+5.8%+6.0%
Q4 2017+1.0%+0.2%+1.1%
Q3 2017+3.3%-2.5%-9.8%
Q2 2017-3.2%-4.4%-1.5%
Q1 2017-3.2%+1.0%-11.3%
Q4 2016+6.5%+9.0%+9.4%
Q3 2016+0.6%+2.1%+65.9%
Q2 2016-8.6%-10.4%-49.6%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015-3.5%
Q3 2015-4.3%
Q2 2015-2.8%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014+1.2%
Q2 2014+5.2%
Q1 2014+0.6%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q3 2013-2.1%
Q2 2013+4.1%
Q1 2013+1.7%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-3.9%
Q2 2012+4.6%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q2 2011-6.7%
Q1 2010+0.1%
Q1 2011-0.2%
Q4 2008+3.1%
Q4 2010+3.1%
Q3 2009-1.1%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010+2.6%
Q4 2009+2.6%
Q2 2009+2.6%

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