NYSE$CMI

Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Cummins reported strong Q4 and full year results, with charges associated with the reorganization of Accelera.

Cummins delivered strong operational results in the fourth quarter and achieved record full year revenues, net income, EBITDA and EPS, despite a decline in heavy duty truck demand in North America. Fourth quarter revenues were $8.4 billion, and net income attributable to Cummins was $418 million, or $3.02 per diluted share.

  • Fourth quarter revenues reached $8.4 billion.
  • GAAP Net Income for the fourth quarter was $418 million, or 4.9% of sales.
  • Diluted EPS for the fourth quarter was $3.02.
  • Full year 2025 revenues are expected to range from down 2% to up 3%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.45B

Previous: $8.54B-1.1%
EPS (adj)

$5.16

Previous: $4.14+24.6%
EBITDA Margin

12.1%

No prior period
Effective Tax Rate

32.8%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$540M

Previous: -$519M-4.0%
Net Income

$418M

Previous: -$1.4B+129.9%
Operating Income

$732M

Previous: -$1.21B+160.4%
Gross Profit

$2.03B

Previous: $2B+1.6%
R&D Expense

$356M

Previous: $390M-8.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Cummins · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.45B

Q4 2024-1.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cummins · $10.1B total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Components
    $3.2B+18.4%
  • Engine
    $2.9B+4.4%
  • Distribution
    $2.5B+11.7%
  • Power Systems
    $1.4B
  • Accelera
    $103M

Forward guidance

Cummins projects full year 2025 revenue to be in the range of down 2% to up 3%, and EBITDA to be in the range of 16.2% and 17.2% of sales.

Tailwinds

  • Demand will be slightly weaker in the North America on-highway truck markets, particularly in the first half of the year, but offset by strength in other key markets.
  • Improve profitability and cash flow.
  • Cummins remains well-positioned to deliver strong financial performance.
  • Invest in future growth
  • Return cash to shareholders

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

41 / 73 earnings

Positive

+9.3%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-10.7%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.0%+3.4%+1.8%
Q4 2025-10.7%-2.9%-11.0%
Q3 2025+5.2%+8.4%+16.3%
Q2 2025+3.2%+7.0%+10.9%
Q1 2025+0.7%+2.3%+7.7%
Q4 2024+4.4%+6.8%-1.0%
Q3 2024+9.3%+9.5%+16.3%
Q2 2024-0.5%+0.2%+7.2%
Q1 2024-1.1%+1.1%-0.8%
Q4 2023+2.9%+4.4%+10.4%
Q3 2023+3.6%+0.7%+3.8%
Q2 2023-9.8%-9.1%-9.8%
Q1 2023-4.3%-3.5%-11.8%
Q4 2022-1.7%-3.6%+0.1%
Q3 2022-1.2%-0.9%+3.5%
Q2 2022-0.0%+1.0%-1.3%
Q1 2022+7.1%+3.5%+8.6%
Q4 2021+0.9%-1.3%-10.8%
Q3 2021-4.0%-3.4%-12.0%
Q2 2021+0.9%+0.0%+3.5%
Q1 2021+2.9%+5.0%+2.9%
Q4 2020-2.5%+4.0%+12.9%
Q3 2020-3.2%-0.4%+4.4%
Q2 2020+4.1%+1.2%+8.8%
Q1 2020+9.1%+4.0%+12.1%
Q4 2019+2.2%-1.3%-8.7%
Q3 2019-3.0%-1.9%+2.7%
Q2 2019-5.7%-8.8%-14.3%
Q1 2019+0.8%+3.1%-3.4%
Q4 2018-0.1%-1.1%+3.2%
Q3 2018+4.0%+8.0%+12.8%
Q2 2018+1.8%+3.2%+3.2%
Q1 2018-8.6%-9.6%-10.9%
Q4 2017-3.5%-8.4%-11.1%
Q3 2017-4.2%-4.0%-7.2%
Q2 2017-6.0%-4.6%-5.1%
Q1 2017+4.8%+2.7%+6.1%
Q4 2016+3.3%+4.3%+4.0%
Q3 2016-4.8%-2.7%+11.6%
Q2 2016+0.4%+2.9%+3.0%
Q1 2016-1.8%
Q4 2015+9.2%
Q3 2015-7.9%
Q2 2015+5.2%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-5.8%
Q3 2014+6.8%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+3.9%
Q4 2013+6.0%
Q3 2013-7.0%
Q2 2013+4.1%
Q1 2013-8.5%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012+5.3%
Q2 2012+3.5%
Q1 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011+8.3%
Q2 2011-1.5%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q2 2010+2.9%
Q1 2009-2.1%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q4 2007+5.2%
Q4 2009+5.2%
Q3 2008-4.0%
Q3 2009-4.0%
Q2 2009+8.3%
Q2 2008+8.3%
Q4 2008+8.3%

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