NYSE$CARS

Cars.com Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cars.com's Q4 2023 earnings exceeded guidance with 7% year-over-year revenue growth and 7% ARPD growth, driven by strong OEM performance.

Cars.com Inc. reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue for Q4 2023, reaching $179.6 million. Net income was $8.3 million, or $0.12 per diluted share. The company's ARPD grew by 7% year-over-year to $2,523, and Adjusted EBITDA reached $55.4 million, representing 31% of revenue.

  • Revenue increased by 7% year-over-year to $179.6 million.
  • Net income was reported at $8.3 million, or $0.12 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $55.4 million, representing 31% of revenue.
  • ARPD increased by 7% year-over-year to $2,523.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$180M

Previous: $168M+6.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: $0.15-20.0%
Average Monthly Unique Visitors

24.3M

Previous: 24.6M-1.2%
Monthly ARPD

$2.52K

Previous: $2.36K+6.9%
Dealer Customers

19.5K

Previous: 19.5K-0.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.31M

Previous: $5.32M-199.8%
Net Income

$8.35M

Previous: $10.3M-19.0%
Operating Income

$14.9M

Previous: $19.8M-24.6%
Gross Profit

$149M

Previous: $139M+6.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.56M

Previous: $5.24M+44.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Cars.com · Revenue · Quarterly

$180M

Q4 2023+6.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cars.com · $174M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Dealer
    $157M+8.1%
  • OEM and National
    $14.5M-2.4%
  • Other
    $2.67M-37.8%

Forward guidance

The Company expects to deliver another year of strong growth. First quarter revenue is expected to be between $179 million and $181 million, representing year-over-year growth of 7% to 8%. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the first quarter of 2024 is expected to be between 27% and 29%. The Company expects margins to improve over the course of the year and deliver a full year Adjusted EBITDA margin between 28% to 30%.

Tailwinds

  • Market conditions are improving, with increased OEM production, new model launches, and rising dealer inventory.
  • First quarter revenue is expected to be between $179 million and $181 million, representing year-over-year growth of 7% to 8%.
  • First quarter revenue outlook reflects continued strong growth in Dealer revenue driven by continued adoption of the Cars Commerce suite of products, the D2C acquisition, and the full period impact of the 2023 Marketplace Repackaging Initiative.
  • OEM and National Advertising spend is also expected to be up year-over-year
  • The Company anticipates continued growth across its platform with both dealer and OEM customers which is reflected in its revenue growth guidance of 6% to 8%.

Headwinds

  • Historically, OEM and National Advertising spend has experienced some seasonality from the fourth quarter to the first quarter.
  • The Company has seasonally higher investments in Marketing and sales in the first quarter, due to the timing of in-person industry events.
  • First quarter Adjusted EBITDA margin for the first quarter of 2024 is expected to be between 27% and 29%.
  • Consumer remains cautious
  • No further negatives were specified in the provided report.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

22 / 40 earnings

Positive

+23.2%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-42.4%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+10.1%-5.8%-18.3%
Q4 2025-15.4%-23.3%-25.9%
Q3 2025+6.9%+9.3%+16.3%
Q1 2025-11.2%+0.3%-8.3%
Q4 2024-21.4%-19.9%-26.1%
Q3 2024+10.1%+15.1%+11.7%
Q2 2024-5.8%-0.8%-2.9%
Q1 2024+3.1%+5.5%+19.3%
Q4 2023-2.9%+2.5%-6.1%
Q3 2023+20.4%+24.8%+22.7%
Q2 2023-7.9%-6.9%-16.5%
Q1 2023-9.0%-6.4%-3.5%
Q4 2022+13.1%+10.4%+4.9%
Q3 2022+15.3%+16.3%+15.0%
Q2 2022+5.6%+10.2%+3.9%
Q1 2022-15.0%-22.2%-11.5%
Q4 2021+12.7%+13.1%+5.0%
Q3 2021+2.9%+2.5%+22.2%
Q2 2021+11.0%+14.8%+7.1%
Q1 2021+6.7%+2.1%+10.7%
Q4 2020-18.4%-1.0%-11.1%
Q3 2020-4.6%-5.5%+26.5%
Q2 2020+17.9%+27.1%+33.1%
Q1 2020+23.2%+28.3%+69.7%
Q4 2019-22.3%-25.2%-65.0%
Q3 2019+7.5%+6.2%+4.9%
Q2 2019-42.4%-49.9%-50.3%
Q1 2019+5.2%+9.3%-1.1%
Q4 2018-2.8%-6.5%-7.7%
Q3 2018-2.3%-2.5%-7.7%
Q2 2018-0.4%-2.8%-6.7%
Q1 2018-5.5%-7.0%-0.5%
Q4 2015+2.3%+5.3%+0.9%
Q3 2016-2.3%-1.1%+16.4%
Q3 2017-2.3%-1.1%+16.4%
Q2 2016+2.0%+2.2%+11.0%
Q2 2017+2.0%+2.2%+11.0%
Q4 2016+0.2%-5.6%-12.2%
Q1 2016+0.2%+4.4%-14.4%
Q1 2017+0.2%+4.4%-14.4%
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014

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